ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[InfernoFlameCat]

Neat how the storm when it got closer to the radar the mid level eye wall “disappeared” when actually it was no longer visible because the beams are now showing a lower part of the center. Really cool to see the tilted velocity in effect.

[wxman57]

60 mph wind gusts at Sand Key C-MAN station to the SW of Key West. Anometer 50' above the surface.

06 Jul 8:10 am 75 73 92 ESE 47G60 29.83 1010.3

That's in that one heavy squall. Outside of that, winds are a lot lower. I was expecting 25-30 mph wind in Miami this morning, not 10-15 mph. Key west now SE 31 kts gusting 48 kts.

[wxman57]

I know I see low-level rotation at the tip of the red arrow, but it could be a small vortex rotating around a larger center. Also, a face has appeared on the left side of that squall.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

I don't think I've ever tracked a storm that was more reluctant to become vertically stacked than Elsa. I feel like we get one or two a season like this, but this one has particularly struggled.

[eastcoastFL]

60 mph wind gusts at Sand Key C-MAN station to the SW of Key West. Anometer 50' above the surface.

06 Jul 8:10 am 75 73 92 ESE 47G60 29.83 1010.3

That's in that one heavy squall. Outside of that, winds are a lot lower. I was expecting 25-30 mph wind in Miami this morning, not 10-15 mph. Key west now SE 31 kts gusting 48 kts.

Sand key now reporting 40kts sustained gusting over 50kts

[Kazmit]

Convection keeps being knocked to the east by the shear when it tries to wrap it around it.
Too bad the buoy by the Dry Tortugas is not reporting.

https://i.imgur.com/5pzSc7b.gif

That's fascinating. That must be the best way to see shear at work.

[tolakram]

Destructive shear in the latest analysis.

[eastcoastFL]

Decent bit of dry air to her west and NW

[eastcoastFL]

[InfernoFlameCat]

Destructive shear in the latest analysis.

https://i.imgur.com/eojhK0x.png

Wxman57 called it. Nice job, well I guess it is your job but nice job anyways!

[boca]

Here is Boca Raton no wind no rain as I’m looking out the window. Rain chance at 60% big bust.

[eastcoastFL]

Just had a storm pass through palm city with some small hail

[crimi481]

I think we get hammered here in Englewood/ Venice area

[wxman57]

Key West SE 33kts gusting 46 kts. Right at the TS wind threshold.

[AnnularCane]

Destructive shear in the latest analysis.

https://i.imgur.com/eojhK0x.png

Somehow I have a feeling Elsa's problem isn't "reluctance."

[eastcoastFL]

Does it just look like it’s heading north because it’s getting chopped up on its NW Side?

[eastcoastFL]

Little naked swirl trying to run away

[jlauderdal]

Here is Boca Raton no wind no rain as I’m looking out the window. Rain chance at 60% big bust.

Are you west or east boca? I am east in Pompano right now and its a steady breeze.

[InfernoFlameCat]

Shear is certainly looking destructive due to that HP area to its west strengthening. If it continues to strengthen which it looks like it very well will, Elsa will get shredded not by land, but by wind itself.

[InfernoFlameCat]

Radar showed a 90mph wind gust(little dark blue blob) south of the radar site in keys west