ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

[Highteeld]

148/130

[Jr0d]

https://twitter.com/JackSillin/status/1431958887700340745?s=20

Unfortunately that station failed over an hour ago, likely before the peak winds. That was the last report before it went offline.
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php ... _label=CDT

[kronotsky]

Eye, 47% RH @ 700mb.
Still dry, could get an EWRC before landfall.

Do you have a reference for relationships between upper layer eye moisture and EWRCs? Not a rhetorical question; I don't know what the mechanism would be and I am curious.

[drewschmaltz]

I fear that oil platform that was entering the western eyewall is down for the count now... the site at the delta (Southwest Pass) currently reporting 105G121... outside of the eyewall

This is the stuff thats stressing me out in california. When katrina hit gas was 2.50 a gallon, the morning after she hit, it was 5.00+ a gallon for a short time. Cheapest gas for me is 4.09, im scared to see what happens in 24 hrs to the prices

count yourself lucky if the cost of your gas gets a little high for a while.
For weeks after Katrina Gas..... Ice..... Water ...... food were very hard to even find while people searched for loved ones

Distribution channels are much more fragile that they were then. Shortages of all types will be a problem, no doubt. Not trying to be dramatic. Ugh. It's going to be ugly.

[Socalhurcnegirl227]

I fear that oil platform that was entering the western eyewall is down for the count now... the site at the delta (Southwest Pass) currently reporting 105G121... outside of the eyewall

This is the stuff thats stressing me out in california. When katrina hit gas was 2.50 a gallon, the morning after she hit, it was 5.00+ a gallon for a short time. Cheapest gas for me is 4.09, im scared to see what happens in 24 hrs to the prices

Gas prices? I fear a super spreader event with CV19. LA is one of the states that has been in big trouble with positive cases. The poor folks in the hospitals, it will become a priority to be able to get oxygen into them as most hospitals only keep about 2 days supply on hand. Then there is all those possible cases that evacuated into neighboring states. It will be interesting to see what happens in the next two weeks. There are so many ripple effects this storm is going to create.

Prayers to all there and who had to evacuate.

Of course theres those concerns but im referring to the ripple effect to people who arent in the immediate or neighboring areas.

[xironman]

Miss Canyon no longer reporting obs
https://i.imgur.com/Wt4rQDB.png
https://i.imgur.com/ZdRICH6.png

Yeah, hopefully the platform is ok. I am wondering if this one will make it through https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=gisl1 it would seem like the go to at landfall.

[AJC3]

saved loop
https://i.imgur.com/ZCJqtUQ.gif

The radial rings emanating out from the eye at outflow level are stunning. More noticeable if you run the RSO visible loop at very high speed.

[RL3AO]

Distribution channels are much more fragile that they were then. Shortages of all types will be a problem, no doubt. Not trying to be dramatic. Ugh. It's going to be ugly.

Yep. Distribution and supply chains are still stretched from COVID. While the US is not going to be short on food, it is and will be short on drivers and employees needed to get the food to stores and onto shelves.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Does appear the rapid intensification episode has paused for now. Last dropsonde was about ~930mb when accounting for wind.

[tolakram]

big picture loop

[emings]

Important reminder for those in Ida's path:

https://twitter.com/bnorcrossWPLG/status/1431964378488782859?s=20

don't forget an axe you might need it if you're south of I-10

[RL3AO]

Does appear the rapid intensification episode has paused for now. Last dropsonde was about ~930mb when accounting for wind.

Seems to be. Only question now is 130, 135, or 140 kt.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

SFMR 148 knots just came in seconds ago, but remember that SFMR does struggle around >130-135 knots. Shallow waters too.

[Iceresistance]

NOAA3 931 MB Dropsonde in the eye . . .

[KBBOCA]

 https://twitter.com/weatherdak/status/1431962620848865281

[weathaguyry]

Really getting nervous about Western metropolitan areas of New Orleans, some of those high rises could see some very destructive gusts coming through. Recon showing 140kt winds VERY close to the surface.

[GCANE]

Eye, 47% RH @ 700mb.
Still dry, could get an EWRC before landfall.

Do you have a reference for relationships between upper layer eye moisture and EWRCs? Not a rhetorical question; I don't know what the mechanism would be and I am curious.

https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~kossin/artic ... l_2012.pdf

[Steve]

drizzle here in Pensacola amend some lightning and thunder. Thinking of everyone back home. People are stubborn down in the bayou, so hard lessons are going to be learned. This precursor to this scenario is exactly what I’ve been looking at all season. Freaking fear of intensifying systems coming up across 28/29N. Here it is.

[kronotsky]

SFMR 148 knots just came in seconds ago, but remember that SFMR does struggle around >130-135 knots. Shallow waters too.

Seems very suspicious -- far out from the eyewall, a bunch of missing readings and one at 168 too.

[cajungal]

Pray for our bayou communities of Lafourche parish. (Where I live) it will never be the same