ATL: HENRI - Remnants - Discussion

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Shell Mound
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Hurricane - Discussion

#561 Postby Shell Mound » Sat Aug 21, 2021 10:31 am


 https://twitter.com/JeremyDeHart53d/status/1429079285688635392




Given the highly asymmetric structure, I personally question whether 65-kt winds are actually present at the surface. Actual MSW are likely lower than 65 kt.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#562 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:12 am

CAPE infeed is backing off some.
Maybe now a low to mid Cat 1.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#563 Postby aspen » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:13 am

Even if the 11am upgrade is questionable, Henri was still almost certainly a hurricane earlier this week before shear picked up. I remember someone posted a satellite pass that found 65 kt winds when an eye was present on visible satellite imagery.

Also, what the heck is AF302 doing?
Last edited by aspen on Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#564 Postby grapealcoholic » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:13 am

Just woke up and checking in -- storm looks a lot healthier right now. The ingredients are there, we'll see what it can do
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#565 Postby GCANE » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:15 am

Rain rate has significantly diminished.
Doubt it gets more than a low Cat 1.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#566 Postby grapealcoholic » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:16 am

GCANE wrote:CAPE infeed is backing off some.
Maybe now a low to mid Cat 1.

Looking at this upper divergence product and I'm thinking... It won't have problems in the convection department
Image
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#567 Postby Woofde » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:18 am

The time to watch for any big strengthing will be when it crosses the Gulf Stream. Very hot moving water can do a lot for a storm.Image
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#568 Postby Sciencerocks » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:20 am

Image
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#569 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:27 am

Agree, lets see if it helps it when it tracks over the gulf stream.

 https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1429112639888793604


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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#570 Postby BobHarlem » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:34 am

Mark Sudduth up in Long Island (Although they just stepped out to get food)

https://youtu.be/q4yuspNC9CY

[youtube]https://youtu.be/q4yuspNC9CY[/youtube]
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#571 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:38 am

new towers are firing near the center. lets see if they can wrap around the center. Shear is abating but the towers need to overpower the feeder band to really get the storm cooking.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#572 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:52 am

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1429122610382610434


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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#573 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 21, 2021 11:59 am

Image
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#574 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 21, 2021 12:13 pm

saved loop
Image
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#575 Postby Ken711 » Sat Aug 21, 2021 12:17 pm

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1429124022701371393


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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#576 Postby SunnyThoughts » Sat Aug 21, 2021 12:18 pm

Recon headed that way...will be interesting to see what they find.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#577 Postby Kohlecane » Sat Aug 21, 2021 12:19 pm

tolakram wrote:saved loop
https://i.imgur.com/0hW8mCV.gif

reminds me of Joaquin and the moisture it tapped into of the trough coming through the E coast
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#578 Postby xironman » Sat Aug 21, 2021 12:24 pm

tolakram wrote:saved loop
https://i.imgur.com/0hW8mCV.gif


lol, donut... Let's see how long that lasts. Henri has an odd look to him.

Image
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#579 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 21, 2021 12:45 pm

I put the center near 35.3N / 71.65W, which is a good 30-40 miles east of the NHC's forecast. May swing out enough to the east to miss Long Island before the NW curve.
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Re: ATL: HENRI - Hurricane - Discussion

#580 Postby MGC » Sat Aug 21, 2021 12:50 pm

Looks like Henri core is being starved of moisture. Appears weaker than earlier today.....MGC
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