ATL: HENRI - Remnants - Discussion

[aspen]

What a weird structure. The feeder band has become the starver band, it seems. That hasn’t stopped Henri from developing a mid-level eye. It could be slightly stronger (986-989mb and 70 kt) when recon arrives.

[tolakram]

I can't tell if it's building an eyewall or ingesting dry air.

[grapealcoholic]

Slowly coming together. DMAX should be interesting

[Sciencerocks]

Likes like an eye to me. We'll have to see if it maintains.

[Blown Away]

What a weird structure. The feeder band has become the starver band, it seems. That hasn’t stopped Henri from developing a mid-level eye. It could be slightly stronger (986-989mb and 70 kt) when recon arrives.

Convection around the LLC doesn’t look deep.

[grapealcoholic]

Likes like an eye to me. We'll have to see if it maintains.

Higher latitude storms can open them much easier with the stronger coriolis

[xironman]

Looks like Henri core is being starved of moisture. Appears weaker than earlier today.....MGC

Sure there is a dry slot, but not that dry

[grapealcoholic]

Looks like Henri core is being starved of moisture. Appears weaker than earlier today.....MGC

Sure there is a dry slot, but not that dry

https://i.imgur.com/mYmx7gb.gif

No way to look at that and think it's getting weaker lol

[Blown Away]

Looks like Henri core is being starved of moisture. Appears weaker than earlier today.....MGC

Sure there is a dry slot, but not that dry

https://i.imgur.com/mYmx7gb.gif

No way to look at that and think it's getting weaker lol

Agree, but the lack of deep convection around the eye/LLC not a clear sign Henri will get much stronger at the moment.

[grapealcoholic]

Sure there is a dry slot, but not that dry

https://i.imgur.com/mYmx7gb.gif

No way to look at that and think it's getting weaker lol

Agree, but the lack of deep convection around the eye/LLC not a clear sign Henri will get much stronger at the moment.

You spoke it into existence

[CronkPSU]

i seem to get this wrong a lot but doesn't looks so great right now to me...looks like it is being sheared from the west or maybe some dry air screwing it up?

[wxman57]

Agree, current weak convection near center is not a sign that it's going to intensity quickly. Note that the position is east of the 15Z NHC track. New consensus shifted to the eastern tip of Long Island, about 30 miles east of last NHC forecast. Look for them to nudge the track east at 21Z.

[SconnieCane]

Slowly coming together. DMAX should be interesting

By the time of DMAX it will be moving over colder waters.

[tolakram]

saved loop

[tolakram]

It looks well aligned, so in my opinion it's how quickly new convection can build an eyewall. Not a lot of time left, fortunately.

saved loop, sandwich view

[grapealcoholic]

If this storm was in the gulf people would be clamoring about RI, and yet it's probably in an even better environment than the gulf

[AtlanticWind]

If this storm was in the gulf people would be clamoring about RI, and yet it's probably in an even better environment than the gulf

Its going to be in the very favorable environment a short time,I think if it was
a little better organised at this point it would have a better chance at RI.

[grapealcoholic]

Center at 71.5 apparently

[Blown Away]

If this storm was in the gulf people would be clamoring about RI, and yet it's probably in an even better environment than the gulf

Upper air environment is always a big part of RI, but you normally don’t see RI in Henri’s spot b/c there is no comparing August boiling GOM SST’s vs mild mid Atlantic SST’s.

[drezee]

 https://twitter.com/KeviShader/status/1429164027280769024