ATL: FRED - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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- InfernoFlameCat
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
If this holds together better than expected Florida better watch out.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
tolakram wrote:saved loop
https://imgur.com/QChLQ2S
Will be interesting to see if Fred just allows itself to be ripped apart by the island or starts forming a new LLC closer to the north and off the coast later in the evening.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Fred is now right at the edge of the central mountains. Time to see how much they actually damage it.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
[youtube]https://youtu.be/Cz-YKyCmJBg[/youtube]
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
LLC is about to jump. This should be good.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Afternoon video update on Fred and 95L
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tp8Mga3Jxs0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tp8Mga3Jxs0
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Going to be a tricky situation go forward with the intensity, light shear, warm waters but islands in the way make it a difficult call.
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- captainbarbossa19
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
jconsor wrote:https://twitter.com/yconsor/status/1425526858867777539
Fred is trying to stay over water it sounds like.
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- ScottNAtlanta
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
It looks like it is making its turn inland now
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- AtlanticWind
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
ScottNAtlanta wrote:It looks like it is making its turn inland now
Yeah, could be wobble or optical illusion but it look like it took a Northwest move in last few frames.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
AtlanticWind wrote:ScottNAtlanta wrote:It looks like it is making its turn inland now
Yeah, could be wobble or optical illusion but it look like it took a Northwest move in last few frames.
Maybe it is trying to run the valley between the two mountain ranges (not likely), but it could happen

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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
jconsor wrote:https://twitter.com/yconsor/status/1425526858867777539
I absolutely still see Fred's core to presently be over water, but not for too much longer though. It's putting up a might tantrum with that bursting convection over center. Then, just wait for the satellite transformation beginning this evening when King Fred gets royally undressed over mountainous terrain.
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Andy D
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Maybe it is trying to run the valley between the two mountain ranges (not likely), but it could happen
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/bb/Hispaniola_lrg.jpg
If it did that that would be one hellishly flooded valley after that.
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- ConvergenceZone
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
I'm just glad this season is much slower than last year....If memory serves me correctly we were much further than the 'F' storm the middle of last August. Looks like this might be a normal season for a change....
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
ScottNAtlanta wrote:AtlanticWind wrote:ScottNAtlanta wrote:It looks like it is making its turn inland now
Yeah, could be wobble or optical illusion but it look like it took a Northwest move in last few frames.
Maybe it is trying to run the valley between the two mountain ranges (not likely), but it could happen
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/bb/Hispaniola_lrg.jpg
This is what I believe we are watching take place… the center appears to have stayed offshore long enough to pass just south of that main mountain range
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Is the LLC likely going through the area of lowest elevation because of lower pressure?
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm just glad this season is much slower than last year....If memory serves me correctly we were much further than the 'F' storm the middle of last August. Looks like this might be a normal season for a change....
you jinxed it. We will now proceed to have 60 NS this year.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion
ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm just glad this season is much slower than last year....If memory serves me correctly we were much further than the 'F' storm the middle of last August. Looks like this might be a normal season for a change....
Models are showing the basin active well into October like last year. We still have a long way to go
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