ATL: FRED - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#961 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Wed Aug 11, 2021 1:30 pm

If this holds together better than expected Florida better watch out.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#962 Postby drezee » Wed Aug 11, 2021 1:31 pm

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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#963 Postby StPeteMike » Wed Aug 11, 2021 1:32 pm

tolakram wrote:saved loop
https://imgur.com/QChLQ2S

Will be interesting to see if Fred just allows itself to be ripped apart by the island or starts forming a new LLC closer to the north and off the coast later in the evening.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#964 Postby Woofde » Wed Aug 11, 2021 1:32 pm

Fred is now right at the edge of the central mountains. Time to see how much they actually damage it.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#965 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 11, 2021 1:33 pm

[youtube]https://youtu.be/Cz-YKyCmJBg[/youtube]
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#966 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Aug 11, 2021 1:37 pm

LLC is about to jump. This should be good.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#967 Postby jconsor » Wed Aug 11, 2021 1:38 pm

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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#968 Postby Hurricane Mike » Wed Aug 11, 2021 1:54 pm

Afternoon video update on Fred and 95L
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tp8Mga3Jxs0
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#969 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Aug 11, 2021 1:58 pm

Going to be a tricky situation go forward with the intensity, light shear, warm waters but islands in the way make it a difficult call.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#970 Postby captainbarbossa19 » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:00 pm



Fred is trying to stay over water it sounds like.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#971 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:05 pm

It looks like it is making its turn inland now
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#972 Postby AtlanticWind » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:08 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:It looks like it is making its turn inland now


Yeah, could be wobble or optical illusion but it look like it took a Northwest move in last few frames.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#973 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:09 pm

AtlanticWind wrote:
ScottNAtlanta wrote:It looks like it is making its turn inland now


Yeah, could be wobble or optical illusion but it look like it took a Northwest move in last few frames.



Maybe it is trying to run the valley between the two mountain ranges (not likely), but it could happen

Image
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#974 Postby chaser1 » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:14 pm



I absolutely still see Fred's core to presently be over water, but not for too much longer though. It's putting up a might tantrum with that bursting convection over center. Then, just wait for the satellite transformation beginning this evening when King Fred gets royally undressed over mountainous terrain.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#975 Postby BobHarlem » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:18 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:

Maybe it is trying to run the valley between the two mountain ranges (not likely), but it could happen

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/bb/Hispaniola_lrg.jpg


If it did that that would be one hellishly flooded valley after that.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#976 Postby ConvergenceZone » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:26 pm

I'm just glad this season is much slower than last year....If memory serves me correctly we were much further than the 'F' storm the middle of last August. Looks like this might be a normal season for a change....
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#977 Postby Cat5James » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:27 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:
AtlanticWind wrote:
ScottNAtlanta wrote:It looks like it is making its turn inland now


Yeah, could be wobble or optical illusion but it look like it took a Northwest move in last few frames.



Maybe it is trying to run the valley between the two mountain ranges (not likely), but it could happen

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/bb/Hispaniola_lrg.jpg


This is what I believe we are watching take place… the center appears to have stayed offshore long enough to pass just south of that main mountain range
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#978 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:30 pm

Is the LLC likely going through the area of lowest elevation because of lower pressure?
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#979 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:31 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm just glad this season is much slower than last year....If memory serves me correctly we were much further than the 'F' storm the middle of last August. Looks like this might be a normal season for a change....

you jinxed it. We will now proceed to have 60 NS this year.
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Re: ATL: FRED - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#980 Postby Zonacane » Wed Aug 11, 2021 2:36 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:I'm just glad this season is much slower than last year....If memory serves me correctly we were much further than the 'F' storm the middle of last August. Looks like this might be a normal season for a change....

Models are showing the basin active well into October like last year. We still have a long way to go
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