ATL: NICHOLAS - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[LSU Saint]

NW Houston isn't getting much of anything. It actually feels like a Fall cool front outside.

I’m in the Memorial area, it hasn’t rained really at all over here. Not sure if I expect much tonight

[emings]

NW Houston isn't getting much of anything. It actually feels like a Fall cool front outside.

I’m in the Memorial area, it hasn’t rained really at all over here. Not sure if I expect much tonight

I'm in Houston northwest of the beltway near 249 other than the shower that came through earlier no rain to speak of

[ROCK]

NW Houston isn't getting much of anything. It actually feels like a Fall cool front outside.

I’m in the Memorial area, it hasn’t rained really at all over here. Not sure if I expect much tonight

I'm in Houston northwest of the beltway near 249 other than the shower that came through earlier no rain to speak of

drive down to Surfside.

[grapealcoholic]

New CB trying to wrap

[Texashawk]

Is this thing moving East now??

[CrazyC83]

I'm not seeing anything yet that justifies hurricane intensity. There was a 63 kt SFMR reading (right on the edge) but SFMR readings at the coast are likely unreliable.

[lisa0825]

Texas City, Galveston County checking in. Steady light to moderate rain with occasional gusts. Hoping it will continue to be quite the non-event as it has been so far.

[ROCK]

Is this thing moving East now??

its another sheared center relo....IMO...

[Hypercane_Kyle]

I'm not seeing anything yet that justifies hurricane intensity. There was a 63 kt SFMR reading (right on the edge) but SFMR readings at the coast are likely unreliable.

I think the 74 knot flight level winds might justify it.

[CyclonicFury]

FWIW, the 75 kt flight-level wind measured by recon was at 850 mb. The typical flight-to-surface ratio at 850 mb is around 80%, so that may not be enough for an upgrade to hurricane intensity.

[IcyTundra]

Imagine if Nicholas makes landfall in SW Louisiana would be one of the biggest modeling busts I can remember in recent years.

[galvbay]

Guy on my fishing page said his roof reportedly blew off his rental house in Matagorda.

[CrazyC83]

I'm not seeing anything yet that justifies hurricane intensity. There was a 63 kt SFMR reading (right on the edge) but SFMR readings at the coast are likely unreliable.

I think the 74 knot flight level winds might justify it.

At 850, we'd want to see flight level winds of at least 80 kt to justify hurricane intensity.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Reed Timmer reporting lightning and thunder in the eyewall.

[ncforecaster89]

I'm not seeing anything yet that justifies hurricane intensity. There was a 63 kt SFMR reading (right on the edge) but SFMR readings at the coast are likely unreliable.

I think the 74 knot flight level winds might justify it.

The ones I saw, if I’m not mistaken, were at 850 mb. It’s close but not quite there for the upgrade. Then again, it’s a subjective decision the NHC will make. Of course, if it continues to intensity, which I expect it will, it’ll be somewhat irrelevant.

[grapealcoholic]

I think they'll get hurricane readings on this pass

[emings]

I’m in the Memorial area, it hasn’t rained really at all over here. Not sure if I expect much tonight

I'm in Houston northwest of the beltway near 249 other than the shower that came through earlier no rain to speak of

drive down to Surfside.

I've been watching a few of the live feeds weather deteriorates closer to the coast you are

[ncforecaster89]

Based on trends, baring any unexpected changes, I suspect the NHC will upgrade to H warnings at 10 pm CDT as well as upgrade Nicholas to hurricane intensity.

[ROCK]

I'm in Houston northwest of the beltway near 249 other than the shower that came through earlier no rain to speak of

drive down to Surfside.

I've been watching a few of the live feeds weather deteriorates closer to the coast you are

yeah I saw enough...exposed is like sand blasting your face. grab me a 12 and watch from the front porch.

[loon]

Reed Timmer reporting lightning and thunder in the eyewall.

Does this mean its made landfall? I did see a dark dark spot pop on sandwich right at the coast.. but is that the center? Wait for recon i guess.