WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Post-Tropical
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
IR presentation screams EWRC. Unfortunately, there hasn't been a clear microwave pass all day to get a good idea as to what's going on inside there.
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
My estimate for Hinnamnor's peak intensity is 135 kts as well
https://twitter.com/zeb199818/status/1564406150514507776
https://twitter.com/zeb199818/status/1564406150514507776
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
Down to min cat 4
12W HINNAMNOR 220830 0000 26.8N 137.4E WPAC 115 945
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
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ElectricStorm
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
Definitely looked better earlier, might be some northerly shear perhaps? It will probably bomb out again in the next few days
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
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ElectricStorm
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
Wow that was one heck of a smooth ERC or eyewall meld, eye very well defined and cleared already, CDO might need to expand to the north again but this will probably still make a run at Cat 5
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doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
Last edited by doomhaMwx on Mon Aug 29, 2022 9:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
Mesovortices spotted
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
mrbagyo wrote:Mesovortices spotted
https://i.imgur.com/mqbJ50k.gif
Looks like the EWRC has wrapped up, now it’s back off to the races. Should be a Cat 5 tomorrow.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Hurricane2022
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
Last edited by Hurricane2022 on Sun Apr 23, 2023 3:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
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ElectricStorm
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 30 AUG 2022 Time : 051000 UTC
Lat : 26:48:35 N Lon : 135:37:11 E
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.3 / 935mb / 122kts
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.3 6.6 6.6
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 17 km
Center Temp : +19.4C Cloud Region Temp : -71.7C
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 30 AUG 2022 Time : 051000 UTC
Lat : 26:48:35 N Lon : 135:37:11 E
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.3 / 935mb / 122kts
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.3 6.6 6.6
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 17 km
Center Temp : +19.4C Cloud Region Temp : -71.7C
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Yellow Evan
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
Surely stronger than current estimates.
Absence of colder shade is understandable since this is in the higher latitudes - cant support cloud tops colder than -80°C.
Hinnamnor is basically WPAC's Dorian
Absence of colder shade is understandable since this is in the higher latitudes - cant support cloud tops colder than -80°C.
Hinnamnor is basically WPAC's Dorian
Last edited by mrbagyo on Tue Aug 30, 2022 1:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Yellow Evan
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
TPPN13 PGTW 300610
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (HINNAMNOR)
B. 30/0530Z
C. 26.78N
D. 135.57E
E. ONE/HMWRI8
F. T6.5/6.5/D2.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 03A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E#
OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. MET
YIELDS A 6.0. PT YILEDS A 6.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
AMARAL
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (HINNAMNOR)
B. 30/0530Z
C. 26.78N
D. 135.57E
E. ONE/HMWRI8
F. T6.5/6.5/D2.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 03A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E#
OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. MET
YIELDS A 6.0. PT YILEDS A 6.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
AMARAL
JTWC has this weird habit of using PT in RIing cases like this.
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doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
Invest 98W has been looking promising today and could make Hinnamnor's future even more complicated (just when you thought things couldn't get crazier). Classic binary interaction between the two on the latest HWRF run.
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Yellow Evan
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
TXPQ25 KNES 300620
TCSWNP
A. 12W (HINNAMNOR)
B. 30/0530Z
C. 26.8N
D. 135.5E
E. ONE/HIMAWARI-8
F. T6.0/6.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS/AMSR2
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY A W RING AND EMBEDDED IN B RESULTS
IN A DT OF 6.5 AFTER ADDING 1.0 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT. THE MET IS 5.5 BASED
ON A 24 HOUR RAPID DEVELOPING TREND. THE PT IS 6.0. THE FT IS BASED ON
THE CONSTRAINTS LIMITING THE FT TO A CHANGE IN 1.0 OVER 6 HOURS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
30/0412Z 26.9N 136.0E AMSR2
...GATLING
TCSWNP
A. 12W (HINNAMNOR)
B. 30/0530Z
C. 26.8N
D. 135.5E
E. ONE/HIMAWARI-8
F. T6.0/6.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS/AMSR2
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY A W RING AND EMBEDDED IN B RESULTS
IN A DT OF 6.5 AFTER ADDING 1.0 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT. THE MET IS 5.5 BASED
ON A 24 HOUR RAPID DEVELOPING TREND. THE PT IS 6.0. THE FT IS BASED ON
THE CONSTRAINTS LIMITING THE FT TO A CHANGE IN 1.0 OVER 6 HOURS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
30/0412Z 26.9N 136.0E AMSR2
...GATLING
Definitely not embedded in B. Are we doing the same technique?
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
JMA at 06z
935 hPa / 100 knots
935 hPa / 100 knots
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Typhoon
2022AUG30 061000 6.4 933 125 6.4 6.6 6.6 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF 20.84 -71.51 EYE 16 IR 98.3 26.80 -135.32 ARCHER HIM-8 31.8
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