ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Impressive!
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Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
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Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
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eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Satan Shoal Buoy with a 24 foot wave
5-day plot - Wave Height Wave Height (WVHT): 23.9 ft
5-day plot - Dominant Wave Period Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 10 sec
5-day plot - Average Period Average Period (APD): 8.2 sec
5-day plot - Mean Wave Direction Mean Wave Direction (MWD): SSW ( 197 deg true )
5-day plot - Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 79.5 °F
5-day plot - Wave Height Wave Height (WVHT): 23.9 ft
5-day plot - Dominant Wave Period Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 10 sec
5-day plot - Average Period Average Period (APD): 8.2 sec
5-day plot - Mean Wave Direction Mean Wave Direction (MWD): SSW ( 197 deg true )
5-day plot - Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 79.5 °F
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Eyewall getting much closer to closing off on the SE side.
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Special Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1230 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022
...IAN EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC
WINDS AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...
...STORM SURGE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...
SUMMARY OF 1230 AM EDT...0430 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.0N 82.9W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SW OF NAPLES FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES
Hurricane Ian Special Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
1230 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022
...IAN EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC
WINDS AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...
...STORM SURGE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...
SUMMARY OF 1230 AM EDT...0430 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.0N 82.9W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SW OF NAPLES FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Ian is firing on all cylinders. CDO significantly better organized and plenty of time before landfall.
7 likes
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
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eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
wx98 wrote:UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 28 SEP 2022 Time : 032020 UTC
Lat : 24:58:47 N Lon : 82:51:36 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.4 / 933mb / 125kts
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.4 6.7 6.7
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 13 km
Center Temp : -5.1C Cloud Region Temp : -72.1C
Scene Type : EYE
Subtropical Adjustment : OFF
Extratropical Adjustment : OFF
Positioning Method : ARCHER POSITIONING
Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : ON
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
Raw Ts are ticking back up.
Did it top out at 6.8 earlier ?
1 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
eastcoastFL wrote:wx98 wrote:UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 28 SEP 2022 Time : 032020 UTC
Lat : 24:58:47 N Lon : 82:51:36 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.4 / 933mb / 125kts
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.4 6.7 6.7
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 13 km
Center Temp : -5.1C Cloud Region Temp : -72.1C
Scene Type : EYE
Subtropical Adjustment : OFF
Extratropical Adjustment : OFF
Positioning Method : ARCHER POSITIONING
Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : ON
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
Raw Ts are ticking back up.
Did it top out at 6.8 earlier ?
Yes I believe so.
1 likes
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Kazmit
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Ian is firing on all cylinders. CDO significantly better organized and plenty of time before landfall.
https://i.imgur.com/nwFoAt6.jpg
It has gotten massive today.
3 likes
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Pressure's rising almost as fast as it dropped ever since the ERC completed.
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The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Amazingly both Ft Lauderdale and Miami Intl Airports are open and have commercial passenger flights operating. Same with Orlando.
(Airsick bags are in the seat back pocket)
(Airsick bags are in the seat back pocket)
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Ian appears to have been moving steadily N instead of NNE recently. If so, was this expected?
4 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
hiflyer wrote:Amazingly both Ft Lauderdale and Miami Intl Airports are open and have commercial passenger flights operating. Same with Orlando.
(Airsick bags are in the seat back pocket)
orlando closes at 10:30 tomorrow morning
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Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC
Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
LarryWx wrote:Ian appears to have been moving steadily N instead of NNE recently. If so, was this expected?
It appeared that way to me too
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PandaCitrus
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dukeblue219
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
TEAL72 just made a U-turn to the west? That's an odd maneuver if they're not calling it an early night. Shoot, looks like they turned around back to Mississippi.
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skillz305
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
caneman wrote:LarryWx wrote:Ian appears to have been moving steadily N instead of NNE recently. If so, was this expected?
It appeared that way to me too
I believe its about to turn NE very soon
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Hurricanes: Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Katrina 2005 - Wilma 2005 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022 - Milton 2024-
eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
Whoever gets that NW quad is in for a ride
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Hurricane2022
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion
What is heppening to recon now??
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
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Keldeo1997
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