ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[CrazyC83]

I would go with 130 kt for the landfall intensity if no other data comes in. The NW quad supports 120-125 kt and that is the back side of the storm. Pressure looks to be steady too.

[StAuggy]

Tornado threat increasing

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1842.html

[skillz305]

Tornado threat increasing

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1842.html

Indian River county here - lots of rain overnight. Expecting some winds this evening thru tomorrow. Thanks for the tornado threat update for my area

[Hurricane Mike]

Recent video update as Ian's eyewall pounds Sanibel
https://youtu.be/qkOI0UXcJH8

[dpep4]

A poster said regarding this traffic camera “That site is 14 ft absl according to en-us.topographic.”

https://twitter.com/birdingpeepwx/status/1575159647660654592?s=46&t=6mUWuhRnsFJvgI7ack-UkA

en-us.topographic has a very high margin of error. That same location shows at 4' elevation on Google Earth. I don't know which is closer to the actual elevation, but do know that en-us.topographic has been significantly off for other areas.

[CrazyC83]

 https://twitter.com/CC_StormWatch/status/1575174383571587072

[decgirl66]

Titusville, Brevard County. Steady rain with incremental wind gusts. Roads are starting to flood. Prayers for everyone..stay safe!

[Teban54]

The CDO has notably warmed in recent frames, so there might have been some weakening just before landfall. Recon probably arrived 1 hour too late.

[eastcoastFL]

Is Stephanie Abrams wearing a baseball helmet?

[sbcc]

Ft. Myers Beach surge cam in the eyewall - incredible.

Bathing suits on hangers in the debris. Wow

https://www.severestudios.com/livechase/

Alternate link to same live cast

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x2aticerEcs

[Hurricane2022]

Looks like that Ian weakened somewhat.
Only 104 kt FL in the N eyewall.

I remember a very good phrase that my grandmother always said to me:
"The hasty eats raw."

[eastcoastFL]

Rain has stopped for the moment here in Palm City but wind is steady 25-30mph gusting 40+

[FLLurker32]

From satellite it looks to be keeping that more North than East path. I wonder how much of the coast it’s going to scrape while keeping the eye partially over water. Not good.

[dhweather]

Looks like that Ian weakened somewhat.
Only 104 kt FL in the N eyewall.

I suspect the strongest parts are still over water, in the western eyewall. Splitting hairs at this point, it's a major hurricane doing catastrophic damage over a very large area. This is going to significantly and dramatically impact people's lives - my thoughts and prayers go out to them.

[cheezyWXguy]

Looks like that Ian weakened somewhat.
Only 104 kt FL in the N eyewall.

I suspect the strongest parts are still over water, in the western eyewall. Splitting hairs at this point, it's a major hurricane doing catastrophic damage over a very large area. This is going to significantly and dramatically impact people's lives - my thoughts and prayers go out to them.

FL winds maxed out above 130 kt, sfmr 113kt in the N quad, and the strongest winds are likely going to be found in the W quad

[Teban54]

136 kt FL, 121 kt unflagged SFMR in the SE quad. That was one of the weaker quads in the earlier mission IIRC (correct me if I'm wrong).

[Texas Snowman]

Looks like that Ian weakened somewhat.
Only 104 kt FL in the N eyewall.

I suspect the strongest parts are still over water, in the western eyewall. Splitting hairs at this point, it's a major hurricane doing catastrophic damage over a very large area. This is going to significantly and dramatically impact people's lives - my thoughts and prayers go out to them.

Yup, very well put…

[tolakram]

[FLLurker32]

Looks like that Ian weakened somewhat.
Only 104 kt FL in the N eyewall.

I suspect the strongest parts are still over water, in the western eyewall. Splitting hairs at this point, it's a major hurricane doing catastrophic damage over a very large area. FL winds maxed out above 130 kt, sfmr 113kt in the N quad, and the strongest winds are likely going to be found in the W quad This is going to significantly and dramatically impact people's lives - my thoughts and prayers go out to them.

Talk about a 1-2 punch. What a nightmare in SW FL right now.

[cheezyWXguy]

136 kt FL, 121 kt unflagged SFMR in the SE quad. That was one of the weaker quads in the earlier mission IIRC.

I would guess the N quad is now the weakest due to it being the most impacted by land friction to its west.