WPAC: HINNAMNOR - Post-Tropical

[doomhaMwx]

 https://twitter.com/Carl225126302/status/1564217320767102977

[cycloneye]

Cat 3.

12W HINNAMNOR 220829 1200 27.3N 141.3E WPAC 100 959

[aspen]

It kind of looks like there's a bit of a smooth EWRC or eyewall meld going on. You can see >-20C temps in the original pinhole eye, but the clear rim of a slightly larger eye on IR imagery. The CDO is also cooling significantly.

[cycloneye]

Very impressive.

[Hayabusa]

Latest warning peak increased to 145 knots

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/wxtrackercody/status/1564265633793118209

[Subtrop]

TPPN13 PGTW 291459
A. TYPHOON 12W (HINNAMNOR)
B. 29/1430Z
C. 27.08N
D. 140.39E
E. ONE/HMWRI8
F. T6.0/6.0/D3.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 05A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY B YIELDS
AN E# OF 5.5. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A DT OF 6.0.
MET YIELDS 4.0. PT YIELDS 5.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
29/0910Z 27.32N 142.25E SSMS
29/0912Z 27.28N 142.27E SSMS
29/1117Z 26.95N 141.58E MMHS

DESSINO

[Yellow Evan]

T7.0 now at this frame without constraints.

[qscdefb]

https://imgur.com/lHCIQsr.jpg

For what it's worth, there's no sign that the station crossed the eyewall, but peak winds didn't align with minimum pressure (i.e. closest approach) because this station is very insensitive to westerly winds.

[Kingarabian]

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/733552978572869632/1013825985327661126/unknown.png

T7.0 now at this frame without constraints.

Pretty close. Though based on IR would like the eye to become a little bit better defined for Cat.5

[doomhaMwx]

 https://twitter.com/COweatherman/status/1564279636082626560

[ElectricStorm]

This might become the storm of the year globally. What a beast

[Hayabusa]

This might become the storm of the year globally. What a beast

Still too early to call it. We still have yet to pass September, October, November, most of the strongest storms of the planet form at that months
Surigae was a special case it formed in the tropics and it was accompanied by a WWB.

[ElectricStorm]

This might become the storm of the year globally. What a beast

Still too early to call it. We still have yet to pass September, October, November, most of the strongest storms of the planet form at that months
Surigae was a special case it formed in the tropics and it was accompanied by a WWB.

Yeah for sure but if this reaches it's full potential it might be tough to beat

[Ntxw]

A cyclone moving southwest and bombing? Who would've guessed it .

[aspen]

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/733552978572869632/1013825985327661126/unknown.png

T7.0 now at this frame without constraints.

Pretty close. Though based on IR would like the eye to become a little bit better defined for Cat.5

It has probably been a Cat 4 for hours now, but I’m hesitant to say it’s probably a 5. It looks like it’s been about to undergo an EWRC for a while and probably has an outer eyewall, so the winds might not be as high as Dvorak suggests because the wind gradient will be more spread out. This does still have plenty of time to undergo an EWRC and bomb out again, though.

[cycloneye]

12W HINNAMNOR 220829 1800 27.1N 139.3E WPAC 125 936

[MarioProtVI]

12W HINNAMNOR 220829 1800 27.1N 139.3E WPAC 125 936

More then makes up for the trash WPac has been putting up but god damn it’s doing this at the worst location and is a C5 super typhoon at this point IMO. This could literally be the equivalent of Dorian for those Japanese islands (perhaps at a similar intensity if it REALLY gets up there) and then not to mention the future threat to South Korea which could be the worst there since at least the early 2000s.

[Hayabusa]

12Z run

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/Sausius_wx/status/1564362217797083137