ATL: DANIELLE - Models

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Europa non è lontana
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ATL: DANIELLE - Models

#1 Postby Europa non è lontana » Wed Aug 31, 2022 11:51 am

12z GFS run very unfriendly to the Açores.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#2 Postby ElectricStorm » Wed Aug 31, 2022 12:20 pm

Both 12z HWRF and HMON have this becoming a TS in the next 36 hours and a hurricane a couple days later
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#3 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 31, 2022 3:50 pm

Split from the main discussion thread to make this 93L models thread.

12z Euro.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#4 Postby Jelmergraaff » Wed Aug 31, 2022 5:03 pm

GFS (18z) shows a decent intensification the coming 48 - 72 hours for this latitude I guess. Saturday at 8 AM CEST (2 AM EDT) the MSLP would already drop below 1000 mb with sustained winds around 45 mph. Interested in whether this could impact Europe (maybe also indirectly).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#5 Postby Jelmergraaff » Wed Aug 31, 2022 5:11 pm

Jelmergraaff wrote:GFS (18z) shows a decent intensification the coming 48 - 72 hours for this latitude I guess. Saturday at 8 AM CEST (2 AM EDT) the MSLP would already drop below 1000 mb with sustained winds around 45 mph. Interested in whether this could impact Europe (maybe also indirectly).


At +102 hours (Sunday, September 4th at 8 PM EDT) already sustained winds of 120 kmh/75 mph/65 kt. Might become the first hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic season, as the other system will have slighly lower wind speeds according to GFS (18z).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#6 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Sep 01, 2022 12:37 am

0z HWRF and HMON both have this becoming a hurricane on Friday, seems pretty reasonable to me. Probably will be the first cane of the season
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