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ATL: DON - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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HurricaneBelle
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Sciencerocks
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
A bit generous.
a recent scatterometer pass indicate that
the storm remains well-organized around a clear circulation center.
Subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates continue to
support an initial intensity of 45 kt, which is unchanged from the
prior advisory. However, this may be a bit generous based on the
late-arriving scatterometer pass.
the storm remains well-organized around a clear circulation center.
Subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates continue to
support an initial intensity of 45 kt, which is unchanged from the
prior advisory. However, this may be a bit generous based on the
late-arriving scatterometer pass.
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Sciencerocks
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Hmmm. What do these images imply for the strength? It seems very well organized for a TS though the convection isn't strong. Is this close to H strength? Last chance for that may be near DMAX tonight.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Sciencerocks
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Sciencerocks wrote:I'd estimate 55 knots...
They kept it at 45 knots with no further strengthening.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Sciencerocks
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Sciencerocks
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Sciencerocks
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Sciencerocks wrote:https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/4329/A7UltJ.gif
DMAX seems to be doing its thing with much colder cloud tops finally wrapping around the well defined center. What looks to me like sub -65C cloud tops are now covering the entire southern half of Don around the center. Note this from the 11PM NHC discussion:
"Don's structure appears quite healthy in the low-levels, per earlier 37 GHz microwave imagery which showed evidence of a closed cyan ring. However, the combination of dry mid-level air and marginal
(24-25 C) sea surface temperatures appear to be keeping deep convection (below -50C) in check while it attempts to wrap around the center"
So, then deep convection was being held in check. Three hours later, however, that doesn't seem to be as much the case. Am I again making too much of this? Or is it different this time? Is this just temporary due to D-Max?
Any thoughts?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Don is looking extremely healthy right now. I wouldn't be suprised if he's close to hurricane strength. Deep convection has wrapped around most of the system, and there seems to be an eye-like feature.
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
tiger_deF wrote:Don is looking extremely healthy right now. I wouldn't be suprised if he's close to hurricane strength. Deep convection has wrapped around most of the system, and there seems to be an eye-like feature.
I suspect Don will be considered for a post season upgrade to at least a stronger tropical storm.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
12z BT is still holding at 45 kt. I strongly disagree. This is likely at least 55 kt. Not sure it’s a hurricane because sometimes these higher latitude storms can look deceiving.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Hurricane2022
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Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
Una cvm Christo, pro Christo, et in Christo. Sit nomen Domini benedictvm.
Re: ATL: DON - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Don being held at 45 knots at 11AM with still no forecasted strengthening.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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