ATL: MARGOT - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Hurricane - Discussion
Nice burst of convection north of the center. Looks really good overall. Could be approaching 85kts if it isn't already there
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Hurricane - Discussion
AL, 14, 2023091212, , BEST, 0, 296N, 394W, 75, 977, HU
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Hurricane - Discussion
AL, 14, 2023091218, , BEST, 0, 311N, 395W, 70, 977, HU, 64, NEQ, 60, 70, 50, 60, 1012, 280, 60, 0, 20, L, 0, , 0, 0, MARGOT, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 028,
Hurricane Margot has weakened to 70 knots.
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Hurricane - Discussion
Up to 75kt. Looks good again.

AL, 14, 2023091300, , BEST, 0, 323N, 396W, 75, 975, HU

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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Hurricane - Discussion
I would not be surprised if Margot ends up being a major hurricane.
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Hurricane - Discussion
How can you say that without being tongue twisted? 

TXNT23 KNES 130029
TCSNTL
A. 14L (MARGOT)
B. 13/0000Z
C. 32.2N
D. 39.6W
E. ONE/GOES-E
F. T4.5/4.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...LG EYE IS SROUNDED BY LG AND EMBEDDED IN LG, WHICH RESULSTED
IN AN EYE NUMBER OF 5.0 AND -0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT. DT IS 4.5. MET AND PT
AGREE. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
TCSNTL
A. 14L (MARGOT)
B. 13/0000Z
C. 32.2N
D. 39.6W
E. ONE/GOES-E
F. T4.5/4.5
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...LG EYE IS SROUNDED BY LG AND EMBEDDED IN LG, WHICH RESULSTED
IN AN EYE NUMBER OF 5.0 AND -0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT. DT IS 4.5. MET AND PT
AGREE. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
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Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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- AnnularCane
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Hurricane - Discussion
I've noticed the cone is starting to take on a rather, ummm....interesting zig-zag look.
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Hurricane - Discussion
That doesn’t look like 75 kts. Probably more like 85 - 90 kts.
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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Hurricane - Discussion
I think Margot is going through an EWRC but honestly it’s hard to tell when it has so little deep convection. Might be more apt to say it’s filing for convective bankruptcy and is doing some restructuring.
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Hurricane - Discussion
cheezyWXguy wrote:I think Margot is going through an EWRC but honestly it’s hard to tell when it has so little deep convection. Might be more apt to say it’s filing for convective bankruptcy and is doing some restructuring.
NHC mentioned a double eyewall structure in the latest discussion so I wouldn't be surprised if it is
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