ATL: JOSE - Remnants - Discussion

[Teban54]

92L has done a good job maintaining convection:

[Iceresistance]

Double Direct hit from ASCAT-B and ASCAT-C


https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgISI.png

[Extratropical94]

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
an area of low pressure located midway between the Cabo Verde
Islands and the northern Lesser Antilles. While environmental
conditions are marginal for additional development, they could
become more conducive in a few days. A tropical depression could
form by early next week while the system moves west-northwestward to
northwestward into the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

[Sciencerocks]

[cycloneye]

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
an area of low pressure located midway between the Cabo Verde
Islands and the northern Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions
could become more conducive for development in a few days, and a
tropical depression could form by early next week while the system
moves generally northwestward toward the central subtropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

[Sciencerocks]

[cycloneye]

AL, 92, 2023082512, , BEST, 0, 198N, 445W, 25, 1009, DB

[Sciencerocks]

[ScottNAtlanta]

Check out the energy wave that comes out of 92L. Looks like the energy wave of a volcano

[cycloneye]

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
an area of low pressure located about midway between the Cabo Verde
Islands and the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions
could become more conducive for development over the weekend, and a
tropical depression could form by early next week while the system
moves generally northwestward toward the central subtropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

[cycloneye]

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental
conditions could become more conducive for development over the
weekend, and a tropical depression could form early next week while
the system moves generally northwestward over the central
subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

[Extratropical94]

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental
conditions could become more conducive for development over the
weekend, and a tropical depression could form early next week while
the system moves generally northwestward over the central
subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

[cycloneye]

AL, 92, 2023082612, , BEST, 0, 240N, 490W, 25, 1011, DB

[Sciencerocks]

Looking better organized with a elongated LLC becoming better defined.

[cycloneye]

Bye.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to diminish near a
trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles east-southeast of
Bermuda. Development of this system is no longer expected, as it
moves slowly northwestward to north-northwestward over the central
subtropical Atlantic over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

[cycloneye]

Bye.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to diminish near a
trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles east-southeast of
Bermuda. Development of this system is no longer expected, as it
moves slowly northwestward to north-northwestward over the central
subtropical Atlantic over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

[Extratropical94]

Hello again

AL, 92, 2023082900, , BEST, 0, 278N, 517W, 30, 1016, LO

[Extratropical94]

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms have recently become more concentrated
with an area of low pressure located about 1000 miles northeast of
the northern Leeward Islands. Recent satellite wind data also
indicates that its circulation has become better defined.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for additional development
over the next couple of days before becoming more unfavorable by the
latter part of this week as the system drifts slowly over the
central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

[zhukm29]

What the heck, this is close to TS strength with a slightly elongated (but defined) center... can even argue it has TS strength gales with the multiple 30kt+ barbs for a tiny system due to undersampling. This just had to wait for 10L to take the cursed I name, didn't it...

[cycloneye]