ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
I thought recon was supposed to head out at 2:30pm EST? It’s already almost 3:00pm EST.
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- MississippiWx
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
The striations forming in the CDO are beautiful. I believe there has been research in the past that shows this is a sign of significant strengthening.


Last edited by MississippiWx on Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
aspen wrote:I thought recon was supposed to head out at 2:30pm EST? It’s already almost 3:00pm EST.
Saw a discord post about TEAL73

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgRTP.png
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Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks primed to go to me. I am going with 115 knots at landfall just north of Cedar Key.


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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
psyclone wrote:Just enjoyed my first rainband in a pavilion at the top of tampa bay in Oldsmar. It was great. Water in the bay is high and coming up fast. Good luck to everyone up north
In the path of this beast
I have a townhouse in oldsmar right near McMullen booth and curlew. Looks like we are dodging another bullet.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Camille was forecast repeatedly to change trajectory about 10 degrees to the right for two days before landfall. Never did. Of course, back then only one prog--the AVN. Euro, GFS, and HWRF all now take Idalia over TLH, best I can see on maps.
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List of 79 tropical cyclones intercepted by Richard Horodner:
http://www.canebeard.com/page/page/572246.htm
former storm2k screenname Beoumont 2009+
http://www.canebeard.com/page/page/572246.htm
former storm2k screenname Beoumont 2009+
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Water levels are already 0.6 feet above normal at St. Marks.
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=mrkf1&wfo=tae
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=mrkf1&wfo=tae
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ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
This is shaping up to be a massive surge event. The story of Idalia will be about the surge when it’s over.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Iceresistance wrote:aspen wrote:I thought recon was supposed to head out at 2:30pm EST? It’s already almost 3:00pm EST.
Saw a discord post about TEAL73
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgRTP.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgRTP.png
Nothing is showing up on Google Earth currently
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
TallyTracker wrote:This is shaping up to be a devastating hit for my area. The power outages are going to be horrid due to trees. I fear the building codes are not up to this.
As far as I'm concerned, ALL of Florida should have the strict hurricane codes of S. FL.
These storms seem to be coming north just as strong as anything the south ever gets.
Maybe after this there will be changes to building codes in rural areas in the north.
In fact, maybe some areas did. Can anyone near Mexico Beach tell me? Did they update your building codes due to Michael's devastation?
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
With the way Idalia is coming together it’s hard for me to believe this will be any less than a cat4. Comparing its current appearance to even 12 hours ago is dramatic.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
The eye is beginning to show itself in visible imagery. Hot towers are rotating quickly around it. Won't be long until she opens up.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
What site is that imagery from? TIA.tolakram wrote:Tampa saved loop. Remember at this distance the radar is looking near the top of the eye. https://i.imgur.com/bnsvCI1.gif
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Was just playing cards with the "girls."
They think it'll call be cleared out by tomorrow and they're going out to lunch!
I tried to tell them we're due to get all the "training" clouds coming in behind the storm through the middle of the state, some of them capable of producing tornadoes. They acted like *I'm* the one who doesn't know where the storm is.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
AF304 shows up on TT now about to take off
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
MississippiWx wrote:The striations forming in the CDO are beautiful. I believe there has been research in the past that shows this is a sign of significant strengthening.
https://i.postimg.cc/26NB6VYH/Screenshot-2023-08-29-at-1-54-46-PM.png
Indeed, it's related to the intense convection and strong updrafts that have occurred over the past several hours. When there is a sudden rush of warm, moist air in the core of the system, it can create vertical perturbations that propagate upwards as gravity waves. This causes those striation patterns in the CDO.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Here we go!!. Air Force plane is taxing to then depart.


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