ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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aspen
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2141 Postby aspen » Tue Aug 29, 2023 1:57 pm

I thought recon was supposed to head out at 2:30pm EST? It’s already almost 3:00pm EST.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2142 Postby MississippiWx » Tue Aug 29, 2023 1:59 pm

The striations forming in the CDO are beautiful. I believe there has been research in the past that shows this is a sign of significant strengthening.

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Last edited by MississippiWx on Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2143 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Aug 29, 2023 1:59 pm

aspen wrote:I thought recon was supposed to head out at 2:30pm EST? It’s already almost 3:00pm EST.

Saw a discord post about TEAL73

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https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgRTP.png
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2144 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:03 pm

Looks primed to go to me. I am going with 115 knots at landfall just north of Cedar Key.

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2145 Postby Poonwalker » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:07 pm

psyclone wrote:Just enjoyed my first rainband in a pavilion at the top of tampa bay in Oldsmar. It was great. Water in the bay is high and coming up fast. Good luck to everyone up north
In the path of this beast

I have a townhouse in oldsmar right near McMullen booth and curlew. Looks like we are dodging another bullet.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2146 Postby canebeard » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:10 pm

Camille was forecast repeatedly to change trajectory about 10 degrees to the right for two days before landfall. Never did. Of course, back then only one prog--the AVN. Euro, GFS, and HWRF all now take Idalia over TLH, best I can see on maps.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2147 Postby TallyTracker » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:12 pm

Water levels are already 0.6 feet above normal at St. Marks.

https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?gage=mrkf1&wfo=tae
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ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2148 Postby jasons2k » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:14 pm

This is shaping up to be a massive surge event. The story of Idalia will be about the surge when it’s over.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2149 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:14 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2150 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:16 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
aspen wrote:I thought recon was supposed to head out at 2:30pm EST? It’s already almost 3:00pm EST.

Saw a discord post about TEAL73

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgRTP.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SgRTP.png

Nothing is showing up on Google Earth currently
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2151 Postby Michele B » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:17 pm

TallyTracker wrote:This is shaping up to be a devastating hit for my area. The power outages are going to be horrid due to trees. I fear the building codes are not up to this.


As far as I'm concerned, ALL of Florida should have the strict hurricane codes of S. FL.

These storms seem to be coming north just as strong as anything the south ever gets.

Maybe after this there will be changes to building codes in rural areas in the north.

In fact, maybe some areas did. Can anyone near Mexico Beach tell me? Did they update your building codes due to Michael's devastation?
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2152 Postby cheezyWXguy » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:18 pm

With the way Idalia is coming together it’s hard for me to believe this will be any less than a cat4. Comparing its current appearance to even 12 hours ago is dramatic.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2153 Postby MississippiWx » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:18 pm

The eye is beginning to show itself in visible imagery. Hot towers are rotating quickly around it. Won't be long until she opens up.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2154 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:19 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2155 Postby Bostonriff » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:20 pm

tolakram wrote:Tampa saved loop. Remember at this distance the radar is looking near the top of the eye. https://i.imgur.com/bnsvCI1.gif
What site is that imagery from? TIA.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2156 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:20 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2157 Postby Michele B » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:20 pm




Was just playing cards with the "girls."

They think it'll call be cleared out by tomorrow and they're going out to lunch!

I tried to tell them we're due to get all the "training" clouds coming in behind the storm through the middle of the state, some of them capable of producing tornadoes. They acted like *I'm* the one who doesn't know where the storm is.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2158 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:20 pm

AF304 shows up on TT now about to take off
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2159 Postby USTropics » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:20 pm

MississippiWx wrote:The striations forming in the CDO are beautiful. I believe there has been research in the past that shows this is a sign of significant strengthening.

https://i.postimg.cc/26NB6VYH/Screenshot-2023-08-29-at-1-54-46-PM.png


Indeed, it's related to the intense convection and strong updrafts that have occurred over the past several hours. When there is a sudden rush of warm, moist air in the core of the system, it can create vertical perturbations that propagate upwards as gravity waves. This causes those striation patterns in the CDO.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2160 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 29, 2023 2:22 pm

Here we go!!. Air Force plane is taxing to then depart.

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