ATL: IDALIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/WeatherGoinWILD/status/1696876127719977130

[ElectricStorm]

Not sure if this has been posted but SPC has upgraded to enhanced for the tornado threat

[Sanibel]

Some standing water in yard here on Sanibel...Tarps were flapping and ripping all night...Doubt we got over 50-60mph last night...I'll have to replace the tarps...Windy but winding down here...This was a Big Bend hurricane...Dodged a bullet...House not affected...

[canebeard]

Looking at the radar as the storm comes inland, usually most of the rain and storms are on the NE / East of a hurricane. This storm has most of the rain on the West side of the storm. Not sure why, maybe someone can explain it. Also watching the various cameras set up on the beach areas near landfall, the flooding is every bit what was expected if not more.

Not all the time are the largest echos and highest wind in the NE quadrant. Maybe 60-70% of the time. When Katrina moved through Florida early on moving WSW the strongest quadrant was in the SE.
Hurricane Isabel in NC the strongest quadrant was the NW.
Andrew's NW quadrant was the most destructive when it hit S. FL. My area had sustained 145 with gusts to 175 mph, in the NW quadrant.

[MGC]

Sure was a well timed EWRC. So far surge reports not as bad as expected. Lots of wind damage to trees. Everyone it Idalia's path stay safe.....MGC

[ronjon]

I haven't seen any sustained hurricane force winds at any reporting stations in Florida or Georgia. Surge was very similar to CAT 1 hurricane Hermine in 2016. Think it helped with storm coming in at low tide and it's relative small size of intense winds to limit surge more than it was.

[eastcoastFL]

Power outages skyrocketing now:

https://poweroutage.us/area/state/florida

Also tornado threat.

We were just issued a tornado warning, and we're almost 200 miles south of the eye. Lots of "training" clouds going on here with lots of nasty weather associated.

I'm Well south of it as well and we are getting more wind right now than we did from some tropical storms in the past. Just had a few 40MPH gusts with mostly clear skies besides a few low clouds racing across the sky

[SunnyThoughts]

https://twitter.com/BradArnoldWX/status ... 5922239771

[Iceresistance]

 https://twitter.com/BradArnoldWX/status/1696890475922239771

Fixed the Tweet for you

[snowpocalypse]

I haven't seen any sustained hurricane force winds at any reporting stations in Florida or Georgia. Surge was very similar to CAT 1 hurricane Hermine in 2016. Think it helped with storm coming in at low tide and it's relative small size of intense winds to limit surge more than it was.

Similar inland track as Hermine also

[chris_fit]

All the reports/videos/pictures I'm seeing of flooding (surge) on the West Coast of FL - Naples, Ft Myers, Sarasota, Bradenton, St Pete, Clearwater, and on up - just wow. Imagine if this was a direct hit (or slightly) north) of Tampa Area. Wake up call for sure. Ian, Irma, Charley had none of this as they hit south.

[cycloneye]

Panoramic view of eyewall in Madison from Mark Sudduth.

 https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/1696891604718543097

[Jr0d]

I haven't seen any sustained hurricane force winds at any reporting stations in Florida or Georgia. Surge was very similar to CAT 1 hurricane Hermine in 2016. Think it helped with storm coming in at low tide and it's relative small size of intense winds to limit surge more than it was.

The speed and the lack of a SE eyewall and core at landfall likely prevented much worse surge. Had the SE quadrant looked like the NW side of the storm, I believe it would be much worse. 8' is bad enough in Steinhatchee...it could have been twice that.

Generally the right side of the storm relative to its forward motion is the strongest side, fortunately for Idalia that was not the case.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Total rain so far at my house: 4.5in since yesterday afternoon when this started. We had winds of 54mph. Each band had winds in the 40’s-50’s max, so overall this was just a tropical storm for us in Clearwater.
I’m lucky I don’t live in a flood zone. The upcoming high tide is gonna add another 4ft to the current water levels we’re seeing.

[TallyTracker]

I haven't seen any sustained hurricane force winds at any reporting stations in Florida or Georgia. Surge was very similar to CAT 1 hurricane Hermine in 2016. Think it helped with storm coming in at low tide and it's relative small size of intense winds to limit surge more than it was.

The speed and the lack of a SE eyewall and core at landfall likely prevented much worse surge. Had the SE quadrant looked like the NW side of the storm, I believe it would be much worse. 8' is bad enough in Steinhatchee...it could have been twice that.

Generally the right side of the storm relative to its forward motion is the strongest side, fortunately for Idalia that was not the case.

The tide still has to come in. Water May peak at 10-12 feet in the next few hours before dropping off.

[Iceresistance]

Over 95% of Suwannee County, FL is without power, per Poweroutage.us

Other Florida Counties with high Power outage rates (Rounded to the nearest precent unless between .40 and .70%):

Madison: 82%
Taylor: 81.3%
Dixie: 78.52%
Layfette: 76.66%
Jefferson: 76.64%
Columbia: 76.29%
Wakulla: 69.63%
Hamilton: 59.41%

Georgia Counties
Echols: 99.55%
Brooks: 76%
Lowndes: 59%
Thomas: 26.13%

(Rates will go up)

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/VortixWx/status/1696901963143614780

[Steve]

Here in Beaufort County expecting power outages some minor surge just because we haven't had an approach like this in quite some time. Elsa came through a bit more NE than ENE approach how this seems to swing by. Elsa also was getting sheared off from the north and was a minimum TS and yet it still produced power outages from down trees and a few Tornadoes EF0/1 in our County with only about 3-4 hours of on and off storms/bands. Last storm we had with significant impact was Matthew in 2016. I'm honestly more concerned for significant flooding and surge in parts of Charleston.

Keep us posted. Story of Idalia goes beyond landfall. Gonna be nasty in coastal SC and also Valdosta looks to to take a big punch. Lots of bands coming for central and north Florida. Some are lined up to dump tons if you get stuck under as many N/S bands are setting up to refeed over themselves per radar. Biggest deal for the west coast of FL is the backside which in this case as the center moves north of your latitude and the winds go to the SSW/SW, water’s coming in.

Yep, bracing for the whooping in Valdosta while my family in Jacksonville and Lake City will be getting in some action too. Praying for them and all in Idalia‘s path. Hopefully the brick and concrete building I’m in will help shelter-wise.

How you making out Jax?

[Jr0d]

I haven't seen any sustained hurricane force winds at any reporting stations in Florida or Georgia. Surge was very similar to CAT 1 hurricane Hermine in 2016. Think it helped with storm coming in at low tide and it's relative small size of intense winds to limit surge more than it was.

The speed and the lack of a SE eyewall and core at landfall likely prevented much worse surge. Had the SE quadrant looked like the NW side of the storm, I believe it would be much worse. 8' is bad enough in Steinhatchee...it could have been twice that.

Generally the right side of the storm relative to its forward motion is the strongest side, fortunately for Idalia that was not the case.

The tide still has to come in. Water May peak at 10-12 feet in the next few hours before dropping off.

Water is going down in Steinhatchee. Peaked just over 8',
last observed at 6.65'

Edit...now 5.44' and dropping. Good news for those who were inundated.

https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrogr ... gage=stif1

[Hurricane Mike]

11am Video Update on Idalia
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PeC6mrNv3cg