ATL: IDALIA - Models

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#521 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 5:42 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#522 Postby Spacecoast » Sun Aug 27, 2023 5:44 pm

18z GEFS:
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#523 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 5:49 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#524 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 5:51 pm

HAFS-B a little north of last run, no dramatic changes so far.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#525 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 5:58 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#526 Postby IcyTundra » Sun Aug 27, 2023 5:59 pm

HAFS-A doing some odd thing 990 to 974 mb and then back up to 985.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#527 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:06 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#528 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:07 pm

IcyTundra wrote:HAFS-A doing some odd thing 990 to 974 mb and then back up to 985.


Yea, almost seems like that's a bad frame.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#529 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:08 pm

HWRF has 978mb at hour 18
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#530 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:11 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#531 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:14 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#532 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:16 pm

HAFS-A nearly same location
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#533 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:18 pm

HWRF sticking to it's western Cuba solution

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#534 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:19 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#535 Postby otowntiger » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:20 pm

Looks to me like no big shifts by any models. I’d wager that the NHC forecast is pretty much locked in as it usually is this close in.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#536 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:27 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#537 Postby GTStorm » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:31 pm



HWRF is shifting east and intensifying? More in line w/ HAFS?
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#538 Postby IcyTundra » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:32 pm

Winds are pretty low relative to pressure on all of these hurricane models.
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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#539 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:33 pm

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Re: ATL: IDALIA - Models

#540 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2023 6:34 pm

Trend is west and a little slower.

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