ATL: FRANKLIN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hurricane2022]

It appears that Franklin died at the end of the war against the Wind Shear. See you in 2029, Franklin!

[ScottNAtlanta]

Franklin ATE Jose

[Europa non è lontana]

Hah, I think the 18z GFS redevelops Franklin off of the Iberian coast in about a week.

[TallyTracker]

Who thought Gert would still be a TS after Franklin died?!? What a weird season…

[cycloneye]

Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin):
Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin is located several hundred miles
north of the Azores and is forecast to move quickly southeastward
towards warmer waters east of Azores. This system could acquire some
subtropical or tropical characteristics late this week or this
weekend while it moves erratically between the Azores and Portugal.
For additional information on this system, including gale warnings,
see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent

[zzzh]

Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin):
Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin is located several hundred miles
north of the Azores and is forecast to move quickly southeastward
towards warmer waters east of Azores. This system could acquire some
subtropical or tropical characteristics late this week or this
weekend while it moves erratically between the Azores and Portugal.
For additional information on this system, including gale warnings,
see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

So many zombie storms this year

[zhukm29]

If this redevelops, I propose we name it (sub)tropical storm Franklinose (if you know you know)

[CrazyC83]

It has some model support too, so it isn't unreasonable to get another lease on life.

[Europa non è lontana]

Franklin should interact with the cut-off low which brought torrential rains to Spain yesterday over the next 36 hours and move into an area with higher (22-24C) SSTs, which is enough to sustain development when considering the cold upper atmosphere.

[galaxy401]

Sure why not.

[cycloneye]

Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin):
Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin is located several hundred miles
north of the Azores and is forecast to move quickly southeastward
towards warmer waters east of the Azores. This system could acquire
some subtropical or tropical characteristics late this week or this
weekend while it moves erratically between the Azores and Portugal.
For additional information on this system, including gale warnings,
see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

[SconnieCane]

If this redevelops, I propose we name it (sub)tropical storm Franklinose (if you know you know)

It's pronounced "Franklin-oh-say."

[AnnularCane]

Yeah, I keep wanting to say Franklin Nose.

[FireRat]

If this redevelops, I propose we name it (sub)tropical storm Franklinose (if you know you know)

It's pronounced "Franklin-oh-say."

Haha might as well get called Franklin-stein!

[Iceresistance]

I know it's a piece of news from August 20th, but I thought this was very cool.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/photographer-captures-rare-gigantic-jets-of-upside-down-lightning-blasting-out-of-atlantic-hurricane/ar-AA1ghila?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=5fa7e019ecde423db42a8b7388303b1f&ei=26

[cycloneye]

Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin):
Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin is located a few hundred miles
northeast of the Azores, and is forecast to move quickly
east-southeastward towards warmer waters east of the Azores. This
system could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics
later this week or this weekend while it moves erratically between
the Azores and Portugal. For additional information on this system,
including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo
France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

[cycloneye]

Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin):
Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin, located a few hundred miles
east-northeast of the Azores, is producing limited shower activity
to the south and east of its center. This system could briefly
acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics during the next
couple of days while it makes a counterclockwise loop over the
northeastern Atlantic. By late this week, further development is not
expected as the system is forecast to become increasingly elongated
and weaken. For additional information on this system, including
gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

[cycloneye]

Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin):
Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin, located a few hundred miles
east-northeast of the Azores, is producing disorganized shower
activity mostly to the east of its center. This system could briefly
acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics during the next
day or so while it moves northeastward or northward over the
northeastern Atlantic. By late this week, further development is not
expected as the system is forecast to move into unfavorable
environmental conditions, which should cause it to weaken.
For additional information, including gale warnings, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

[ChrisH-UK]

That wasn't Franklin at all.

[Vince_and_Grace_fan]

This is what Franklin looks like now. The circulation is at the upper levels 500mb, looking at the models 96L combines with the remains of Franklin.

This is an upper-level low, not Franklin. Franklin currently locates west of the Iberian Peninsula and although it is heading northward to cooler water and is affected by some southerly shear, it has produced sustained and quite deep convection (with cloud top temperature between -50 and -60 °C) trough the day. ASCAT measurements also indicate well-defined circulation with 35-40 kt winds, so it may classifiable.