ATL: FRANKLIN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ElectricStorm]

First forecast has a 55kt TS before Hispanola and then becomes a hurricane once it gets further north

[aspen]

First forecast has a 55kt TS before Hispanola and then becomes a hurricane once it gets further north

This might even have a shot of becoming a hurricane before making landfall in Hispaniola. The big question is, how will Franklin’s land interaction pan out? Will it get ripped to shreds, or will its circulation get refocused like Isaias?

[ElectricStorm]

First forecast has a 55kt TS before Hispanola and then becomes a hurricane once it gets further north

This might even have a shot of becoming a hurricane before making landfall in Hispaniola. The big question is, how will Franklin’s land interaction pan out? Will it get ripped to shreds, or will its circulation get refocused like Isaias?

Seems like most of the storms interacting with Hispanola in recent years have managed to survive. I think Franklin will make it and become a hurricane further north, although I wouldn't be surprised if it overperforms a bit in the near-term.

[Jr0d]

First forecast has a 55kt TS before Hispanola and then becomes a hurricane once it gets further north

This might even have a shot of becoming a hurricane before making landfall in Hispaniola. The big question is, how will Franklin’s land interaction pan out? Will it get ripped to shreds, or will its circulation get refocused like Isaias?

Obviously the exact track is crucial. Currently it tracks right over Hispaniola. If the track deviates east or west, land interaction will be significantly less.

I find it fascinating how Hispaniola is like a magnet for tropical systems.

[Sciencerocks]

[aspen]

This pass supports 45 kt/1000 mbar.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

This will be an interesting one to track. Amazing how quick the "switch" in the Atlantic came on -- we are now tracking three systems in the Atlantic.

[wxman57]

It should survive the crossing. Maybe hurricane threat to Bermuda in 7-8 days. Going right up the Haiti/DR border. Lots of rain for them. Not so much for Luis in PR or the U.S./BVI

Time for a break, been issuing advisories since 4:30am. Was thinking NHC would start advisories on Gulf system.

[cheezyWXguy]

It should survive the crossing. Maybe hurricane threat to Bermuda in 7-8 days. Going right up the Haiti/DR border. Lots of rain for them. Not so much for Luis in PR or the U.S./BVI

Time for a break, been issuing advisories since 4:30am. Was thinking NHC would start advisories on Gulf system.

You thought correct, looks like that one’s being designated ptc8, or so says tropicaltidbits

Edit: I was wrong, looks like their floater for Franklin is named PTC8 for some reason. That’s confusing.

[msbee]

The outflow from this storm gave us 6 inches of rain today. We have some localized flooding, but nothing too serious.

[cycloneye]

The outflow from this storm gave us 6 inches of rain today. We have some localized flooding, but nothing too serious.

Hi Barbara. Here in PR, we have been dealing with rainbands with some winds and looks like they will continue to arrive as TS Franklin turns north, but hopefully, no big flooding issues occur.

[Teban54]

A TC genesis in the Eastern Caribbean graveyard isn't very Nino-like at all, is it?

[tropicwatch]

HH continuing to record pressure drops.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082023
800 PM AST Sun Aug 20 2023

...NOAA AIRCRAFT DATA SHOWS FRANKLIN MAINTAINING STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 67.8W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSE OF ISLA SAONA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SSW OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

[Hurricane Mike]

Here's my video update on Franklin, among the others:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u4WHe9sAbR8

[msbee]

The outflow from this storm gave us 6 inches of rain today. We have some localized flooding, but nothing too serious.

Hi Barbara. Here in PR, we have been dealing with rainbands with some winds and looks like they will continue to arrive as TS Franklin turns north, but hopefully, no big flooding issues occur.

Be careful, Luis. We had some really bad flooding from all the rain. Things pretty much back to normal now.

[msbee]

The outflow from this storm gave us 6 inches of rain today. We have some localized flooding, but nothing too serious.

Hi Barbara. Here in PR, we have been dealing with rainbands with some winds and looks like they will continue to arrive as TS Franklin turns north, but hopefully, no big flooding issues occur.

Be careful, Luis. We had some really bad road flooding from all the rain. Things pretty much back to normal now.

[cycloneye]

Up to 45 flashes.

[aspen]

A TC genesis in the Eastern Caribbean graveyard isn't very Nino-like at all, is it?

Definitely not what I expected. I was thinking the ECar would be a graveyard and killer of any MDR system that got to close a la 2018.

[Hurricane2022]

 https://twitter.com/FranklinJamesL/status/1693363053532782752



Franklin (the forecaster, not the storm) is also following closely Franklin (the storm, not the forecaster).