ATL: MARGOT - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Teban54]

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/6590/735Vgj.gif

Poor Margot isn't getting any attention, but that's the best it had looked. Well on track to add to the season's hurricane count (which has been somewhat lacking compared to average).

[weeniepatrol]

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/6590/735Vgj.gif

Poor Margot isn't getting any attention, but that's the best it had looked. Well on track to add to the season's hurricane count (which has been somewhat lacking compared to average).

?

Current hurricane count is 4 and the average for the date is 3.4. So it's actually slightly above average before factoring in the context of strengthening moderate nino

On average the fourth hurricane forms 16 Sept. As you stated Margot is well on track to become our fifth. Average fifth hurricane forms 28 Sept

[weeniepatrol]

Latest NHC advisory has this moving an incredible 55 miles between day-4 and day-5, an average of 2.3mph over this period, all at hurricane strength. Margot could be a substantial ACE producer when all is said and done, as we might be dealing with this thing for another 7-10 days.

[Ubuntwo]

Cyan ring.

[cycloneye]

Up to 60kt.

AL, 14, 2023091112, , BEST, 0, 257N, 400W, 60, 993, TS

[Buck]

Almost there! You can do it girl. Go ahead and overperform. We won’t mind.

[KirbyDude25]

Almost there! You can do it girl. Go ahead and overperform. We won’t mind.

Given that (at least according to the Lee model discussion I've read) a strong Margot would pull Lee eastward away from the East Coast, it'd be in our best interest for it to overperform, especially since Margot itself won't get close to any land, at least in the short term.

[cycloneye]

Hints of eye feature.

[Sciencerocks]

[kevin]

[ElectricStorm]

Looks solid, just needs to mix out that dry slot and wrap convection around the north side and it should be ready to go for more significant strengthening. Not sure if it can become a major but it might get pretty close. Would be nice to have an OTS major.

[cycloneye]

Up to Hurricane

AL, 14, 2023091118, , BEST, 0, 265N, 398W, 65, 988, HU

[Sciencerocks]

[AnnularCane]

From sickly and frail to possibly 100 mph.

Actually come to think of it she probably wasn't really all that frail.

[Kazmit]

Margot is showing Lee up.

[WalterWhite]

This could possibly become a major hurricane.

[cycloneye]

[cycloneye]

TXNT23 KNES 120028
TCSNTL

A. 14L (MARGOT)

B. 12/0000Z

C. 27.5N

D. 39.6W

E. ONE/GOES-E

F. T4.5/4.5

G. IR/EIR/SWIR

H. REMARKS...OW EYE IS SURROUNDED BY DG AND EMBEDDED IN DG, WHICH
RESULTS IN AN EYE NUMBER OF 4.5 AND NO EYE ADJUSTMENT. DT IS 4.5. MET
AND PT ARE 4.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...ZH

[cycloneye]

Up to 70kt.

AL, 14, 2023091200, , BEST, 0, 275N, 397W, 70, 984, HU

[Sciencerocks]