ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

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Teban54
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ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#1 Postby Teban54 » Thu Sep 12, 2024 2:23 pm

I understand why there isn't a 94L models thread (yet) and there's probably no need for one, but for what seemed like a nothing burger like this, the 12z hurricane model runs are a bit more interesting than you'd expect.

Both HWRF and HMON show a little bit more "strengthening" in the next 12-24 hours. HMON is the most aggressive (not a very common occurrence), making it a minimal TS that landfalls in Barbuda. While I can't tell whether HAFS-A and B keep 94L a TD/TS, they do seem to keep its 850 mb vorticity somewhat intact (even organizing a bit on HAFS-B), only to run into Puerto Rico and die. None of this is significant, but still notable for a system that went under everyone's eyes.

The caveat is that hurricane models are best used for TCs that already formed, but I'm sure some (if not many) think this is already a TC.

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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 12, 2024 3:40 pm

Now there is a 94L models thread, thanks to your post. :D
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#3 Postby Teban54 » Thu Sep 12, 2024 4:16 pm

cycloneye wrote:Now there is a 94L models thread, thanks to your post. :D

Thanks! I expect this to be one of the shortest model threads ever, lol.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models

#4 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 14, 2024 6:56 am

Teban54 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Now there is a 94L models thread, thanks to your post. :D

Thanks! I expect this to be one of the shortest model threads ever, lol.


In fact it was the shortest. :D
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