ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/jonrunderwood/status/1843332610728317040

[ConvergenceZone]

If there's ANY silver lining, it's that I'm so glad this is such a small storm. Yikes, can you imagine if this was as large as Helene?

[ROCK]

almost at the center for drop...maybe 918ish...my guess..

[zal0phus]

What are the chances Milton wrecks itself on the Yucatan?

Hurricanes have a weird way of avoiding land if they can. Beryl refused to make landfall on Jamaica as it grazed on by, and it did nothing to weaken it. And Jamaica is heavily mountainous, where the Yucatan is flat.

If they had feelings, they probably wouldn't like land much at all, for obvious reasons.
At least this is why despite their destructiveness, I don't really interpret them as evil. (Aside from you know, them only being alive in my imagination)

Yeah same. Funny enough, I too have had a story concept in the works about anthropomorphized hurricanes/beings that control hurricanes, and they're more just misguided and hurting than anything else.

[Drewsey]

For those wondering what the lines and flags on wind barbs mean

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/descript/misc_graphics/wind_barb3.png

https://i.imgur.com/kqM4MVY.png

I’ve wondered about this but didn’t want to ask a stupid question lol. Thanks this is awesome info.

[weeniepatrol]

914.4mb xtrap.....

[GCANE]

If there's ANY silver lining, it's that I'm so glad this is such a small storm. Yikes, can you imagine if this was as large as Helene?

Just wait until after the EWRC

[Travorum]

URNT15 KNHC 071700
AF309 0814A MILTON HDOB 52 20241007
165200 2205N 09153W 6971 03078 9978 +092 +018 039044 046 057 004 00
165230 2204N 09151W 6967 03080 9959 +105 +020 040045 047 058 004 00
165300 2202N 09150W 6963 03079 9955 +104 +022 039047 049 059 005 00
165330 2201N 09149W 6967 03072 9957 +100 +022 042050 052 063 006 00
165400 2200N 09147W 6967 03066 9953 +098 +022 036050 051 064 007 00
165430 2159N 09146W 6967 03060 9947 +097 +020 036050 051 062 010 00
165500 2158N 09145W 6966 03056 9935 +102 +018 039054 056 058 007 00
165530 2156N 09143W 6963 03054 9931 +100 +019 040059 061 054 003 00
165600 2155N 09142W 6969 03037 9908 +110 +018 038062 063 057 002 00
165630 2154N 09141W 6966 03027 9895 +109 +020 034065 069 061 004 00
165700 2153N 09139W 6967 03005 9902 +086 +021 032068 071 063 008 00
165730 2151N 09138W 6978 02982 9876 +092 +022 035075 076 069 018 00
165800 2150N 09137W 6951 02982 9839 +098 +022 035075 078 072 014 00
165830 2149N 09135W 6980 02923 9817 +092 +028 036083 087 085 012 00
165900 2148N 09134W 6954 02910 9764 +094 +027 040099 106 097 015 00
165930 2147N 09133W 6972 02824 9690 +093 +024 041119 126 119 012 00
170000 2146N 09132W 6939 02763 9568 +103 +035 039135 143 144 022 00
170030 2145N 09130W 6938 02583 9385 +104 +051 037131 154 177 024 00
170100 2143N 09129W 7023 02354 9198 +171 +046 021043 102 167 003 03
170130 2142N 09127W 6958 02419 9144 +203 +031 274012 018 046 001 00
$$
;

914.4mb extrap

[sicktght311]

I'm calling for 913mb. This is insanity

[weeniepatrol]

[HurricaneAndre2008]

914.4 mb
(~ 27.01 inHg)

[3090]

If there's ANY silver lining, it's that I'm so glad this is such a small storm. Yikes, can you imagine if this was as large as Helene?

More like Katrina. Katrina was a monster 5 in size. This is more compact and intense then Helene was.

[Stormybajan]

Possibly 915 mb Category 5 Hurricane in October..welcome back 2005! This is why everyone had their expectations so high pre-season!! Ive never tracked anything like this from start to finish!

[sicktght311]

I'm calling for 913mb. This is insanity

Holy hell. 914 extrap. This thing seems to definitely be shooting for MPI at this point

[Travorum]

Could be potentially a bit lower, HDOB got cut off with 18kt FL/46kt SFMR

[ScottNAtlanta]

For those wondering what the lines and flags on wind barbs mean

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/descript/misc_graphics/wind_barb3.png

https://i.imgur.com/kqM4MVY.png

I’ve wondered about this but didn’t want to ask a stupid question lol. Thanks this is awesome info.

Thanks...I actually wondered for years what they meant before I found some info that explained it in a way I could figure it out. Oh, and the only stupid questions...are the ones you don't ask!

[SecondBreakfast]

What are the chances Milton wrecks itself on the Yucatan?

Hurricanes have a weird way of avoiding land if they can. Beryl refused to make landfall on Jamaica as it grazed on by, and it did nothing to weaken it. And Jamaica is heavily mountainous, where the Yucatan is flat.

If they had feelings, they probably wouldn't like land much at all, for obvious reasons.
At least this is why despite their destructiveness, I don't really interpret them as evil. (Aside from you know, them only being alive in my imagination)

They don’t mean anything by it, they’re just trying to redistribute thermal energy.

[CrazyC83]

I know the SFMR is wonky, but using the pressure drop as a proxy, I would estimate the winds are now 150 kt.

[aspen]

Almost 180 kt SFMR

[GCANE]

Est. Sfc. Wind (30 sec. Avg.) Using Est. Red. Factor

150.6 knots (~ 173.3 mph)
Category Five Hurricane