WPAC: YAGI - Post-Tropical

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/arielrojasPH/status/1830356931460149725

[underthwx]

1st warning aggressive cat 4 forecast
https://i.imgur.com/uZG2h1m.gif

Hello Hayabusa!....im not liking this system....im sorry fit my bias...but I have family in Igbarras...and Metro Manila.....can you please share with me your thoughts on any impacts there from this developing cyclone?.....thanks bro!...

I am just basing on the model forecasts but it seems Yagi would bring some precipitation over the capital region in the coming week that could cause flooding but this is based on global models, they overhype, they underhype the total precipitation (due to being coarser resolution, uncertainty of forecast, etc), but I would prepare for heavy rain and flooding regardless because Yagi's official track is primed (especially that the southwest monsoon is still prevailing) to bring heavy precipitation over the western section of the Philippines.

Its epic you replied brah....thankyou.....I do worry about the flood potential....do you feel Igbarras will be okay?....correct me if my geography is a bit sketchy...but the cyclone center is northwest of Visayas province by a safe distance?....again....thankyou for your reply!.....be safe!....be well!....

[underthwx]

The track shifted west....now over Luzon...

[Hayabusa]

Hello Hayabusa!....im not liking this system....im sorry fit my bias...but I have family in Igbarras...and Metro Manila.....can you please share with me your thoughts on any impacts there from this developing cyclone?.....thanks bro!...

I am just basing on the model forecasts but it seems Yagi would bring some precipitation over the capital region in the coming week that could cause flooding but this is based on global models, they overhype, they underhype the total precipitation (due to being coarser resolution, uncertainty of forecast, etc), but I would prepare for heavy rain and flooding regardless because Yagi's official track is primed (especially that the southwest monsoon is still prevailing) to bring heavy precipitation over the western section of the Philippines.

Its epic you replied brah....thankyou.....I do worry about the flood potential....do you feel Igbarras will be okay?....correct me if my geography is a bit sketchy...but the cyclone center is northwest of Visayas province by a safe distance?....again....thankyou for your reply!.....be safe!....be well!....

Yes Igbarras is now seem to be safe from heavy rainfall but southwest monsoon is still affecting it.

[underthwx]

I am just basing on the model forecasts but it seems Yagi would bring some precipitation over the capital region in the coming week that could cause flooding but this is based on global models, they overhype, they underhype the total precipitation (due to being coarser resolution, uncertainty of forecast, etc), but I would prepare for heavy rain and flooding regardless because Yagi's official track is primed (especially that the southwest monsoon is still prevailing) to bring heavy precipitation over the western section of the Philippines.

Its epic you replied brah....thankyou.....I do worry about the flood potential....do you feel Igbarras will be okay?....correct me if my geography is a bit sketchy...but the cyclone center is northwest of Visayas province by a safe distance?....again....thankyou for your reply!.....be safe!....be well!....

Yes Igbarras is now seem to be safe from heavy rainfall but southwest monsoon is still affecting it.

Yeah....true that brah........I check weather there everyday....gonna be heading there soon....I miss my family there...btw....my oldest brother lives in the Luzon area.....it looks like he will experience a bit more there.....anyways...thx Hayabusa...peace bro...

[dexterlabio]

Looks like the core is wrapping around nicely as soon as it emerged over water

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/mscuyugan/status/1830724915567435839

[cycloneye]

Organizing fast now that is entering the South China Sea.

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/Yellow_Evan/status/1830791119673925673

[mrbagyo]

Different track over the Philippines but this might end up being similar to SCS version of Rammasun

[mrbagyo]

[cycloneye]

Going to typhoon status very soon.

[Hurricane2022]

RI? VRI? ERI?

[1900hurricane]

Not bad.

[Hurricane2022]

TPPN11 PGTW 040023

A. TROPICAL STORM 12W (YAGI)

B. 03/2330Z

C. 19.06N

D. 117.92E

E. FIVE/GK2A

F. T4.5/4.5/D2.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG YIELDS A DT OF
4.5. MET YIELDS 4.0. PT YIELDS 4.5. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
03/1953Z 18.98N 118.30E SSMS
03/2203Z 19.05N 118.15E SSMS


TIMMERMAN

Lol

[cycloneye]

JMA upgrades to typhoon.

T2411(Yagi)
Issued at 2024/09/04 00:45 UTC
Analysis at 09/04 00 UTC
Grade TY
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N19°00′ (19.0°)
E117°35′ (117.6°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slow
Central pressure 975 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area 85 km (45 NM)
Radius of 30-kt wind area 280 km (150

[Hurricane2022]

12W YAGI 240904 0000 19.1N 117.7E WPAC 70 977

And JTWC too.

[Kingarabian]

Almost doesn't fit the floater page. Sheesh.

[mrbagyo]

HKO is expecting a super typhoon (>100 knots - 10 minute)

This storm is massive

[Hayabusa]

Strongest members have this going sub 920s