ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[MOGSY31]

Betting 908mb and 155kt surface

I second this guess

[SFLcane]

Gonna go way high, price is right rules

Ill take 880/190mph. It looks good here and i think they will find a monster

So am I seeing this correct that its of track to the east and south of official track?

yes slight wobble but the overall NHC track is intact

Agh nope.. about 30 miles of the NHC track currently.

 https://x.com/BMcNoldy/status/1843751160991338656

[skillz305]

Well.. the south shift is real... Treasure coast here.... just finished prepping....

[tropicwatch]

HH is outside the CDO and already reporting TS level winds. Northwest side of system.

[SFLcane]

 https://x.com/MikeD2061383/status/1843753114555560064

[kevin]

New recon update, down to 999.5 mb so far. The plane is about 90 miles or 150 km removed from the center, should reach it within 2 more 10-minute updates.

[FLLurker32]

So am I seeing this correct that its of track to the east and south of official track?

yes but last couple frames seem to be correcting a bit back but still gonna miss the forecast point

I mentioned this several pages back but no one appeared to have seen it. When you look at the history of Milton’s track thus far it has done these significant wobbles back and forth. This time it was to the East and south a bit, in the past it’s been to the north. There’s so much energy in this storm that it seems to be pulsing in and out of the path. More than I’ve seen others we’ve tracked in the past 10 or so years that I can think of. When I looked at the NHC cone, it was within 24 hours before we had even somewhat of an idea that it would pass so close to the Yucatan. I think we’ll be rightfully wobble watching up through landfall and maybe even after landfall (Some models have indicated some wobbles inland.) I don’t envy the job our Mets at the NHC have right now.

[Gums]

So this is a NOAA bird up real high? Sensor suite? Dropsondes? Forgive me if I haven't done my homework, as I am more familiar with the Teal birds outta Keesler.

Gums sends...

[tropicwatch]

So this is a NOAA bird up real high? Sensor suite? Dropsondes? Forgive me if I haven't done my homework, as I am more familiar with the Teal birds outta Keesler.

Gums sends...

AF

[psyclone]

So am I seeing this correct that its of track to the east and south of official track?

You know it. Pucker watch SW FL

[ConvergenceZone]

910 mb winds 160 mph... bank it..

All the pressure drops people are talking about and it's only going to increase 5 mph? that doesn't seem right.

[cheezyWXguy]

So this is a NOAA bird up real high? Sensor suite? Dropsondes? Forgive me if I haven't done my homework, as I am more familiar with the Teal birds outta Keesler.

Gums sends...

AF

Looks like there’s one of each, both low level recon

[Woofde]

I'm gonna guess 910mb, 150kts. It's a very impressive look, but its very hard to go sub 900 without a pinhole eye.

[FLpanhandle91]

I'll go 160kt and 906mb.

[Iceresistance]

I have never seen ADT this high before


https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SBlHm.png

[Frank P]

910 mb winds 160 mph... bank it..

All the pressure drops people are talking about and it's only going to increase 5 mph? that doesn't seem right.

I only missed it last time by I think about 3 mb... thinking it will take time for the winds to catch up with the pressure... I just wanted to be the outlier just in case since no one else was... going to find out soon though

[ElectricStorm]

So this is a NOAA bird up real high? Sensor suite? Dropsondes? Forgive me if I haven't done my homework, as I am more familiar with the Teal birds outta Keesler.

Gums sends...

AF

Looks like there’s one of each, both low level recon

NOAA9 is also up there

[Charleswachal]

I have never seen ADT this high before

https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SBlHm.png
https://s11.gifyu.com/images/SBlHm.png

He got up to a 7.7 earlier when at his previous peak

[SFLcane]

LIVE WOBBLE TRACKER: Hurricane Milton’s wobbles off path, could have huge impacts

https://www.wfla.com/weather/tracking-t ... pacts/amp/

[Frank P]

4:00 PM CDT Tue Oct 8
Location: 22.7°N 87.5°W
Moving: ENE at 9 mph
Min pressure: 918 mb
Max sustained: 165 mph
I predicted 910 mb and winds 160 mph... I'll take that as a win thank you very much...