
ATL: HELENE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
Walked down as far as I could towards the intercoastal in Dunedin, ended up getting to alt-19 before storm surge was too high:

I looked at the survey data, the house in the far left of the image is at 6.40ft elevation. The house immediately behind me is at 10.70ft. Water had come across alt-19 but not up into the yard of the houses on its inland side, so I would estimate storm surge here at about 7-8 feet.

I looked at the survey data, the house in the far left of the image is at 6.40ft elevation. The house immediately behind me is at 10.70ft. Water had come across alt-19 but not up into the yard of the houses on its inland side, so I would estimate storm surge here at about 7-8 feet.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
It looks like the NOAA recon circling in the eye for about half an hour earlier tonight was to release a UAV into Helene to take additional measurements as the storm was landfalling. If this is the flight and UAV I think it is I believe I have friends who are involved in its development.
https://x.com/NOAA_HurrHunter/status/1839492670848127367
https://x.com/NOAA_HurrHunter/status/1839492670848127367
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
Interesting that Tallahassee radar has stayed up but KVAX (Moody AFB, GA), where the eyewall is now, went down at 0212 UTC (9:12 PM CDT).
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
The eye looks to be in Georgia now. I'm guessing winds are down to about 95 kt now, and I think this will be a category 2-level impact for Georgia.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
I'll be honest, I expected this to be much worse. Now of course I'm basing this on the live footage I've seen on the weather channel thus far. Perry took a decent hit, but where Cantore is in Tallahassee the trees aren't moving more than just a windy winter storm. Just a bit shocked considering this storm was 140 mph. And really haven't seen any footage that made me go "OMG" like I've seen in other storms. Perhaps it's a location thing? I don't know.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
ConvergenceZone wrote:I'll be honest, I expected this to be much worse. Now of course I'm basing this on the live footage I've seen on the weather channel thus far. Perry took a decent hit, but where Cantore is in Tallahassee the trees aren't moving more than just a windy winter storm. Just a bit shocked considering this storm was 140 mph. And really haven't seen any footage that made me go "OMG" like I've seen in other storms. Perhaps it's a location thing? I don't know.
did you miss the flooding and storm surge videos? gonna be tremendous damage all along the coast from SIesta Key all the way to the Big Bend
https://x.com/wxkaitlin/status/1839514976626561453
Last edited by CronkPSU on Thu Sep 26, 2024 11:57 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
ConvergenceZone wrote:I'll be honest, I expected this to be much worse. Now of course I'm basing this on the live footage I've seen on the weather channel thus far. Perry took a decent hit, but where Cantore is in Tallahassee the trees aren't moving more than just a windy winter storm. Just a bit shocked considering this storm was 140 mph. And really haven't seen any footage that make me go "OMG" like I've seen in other storms. Perhaps it's a location thing? I don't know.
It missed Tallahassee altogether. The surge has been the main story thus far, and to be honest the rain in North Carolina will probably be the other. I've been whelmed by the wind footage, although this is at night and storm came in at a very rural area so probably a lot wasn't seen. Reminds me of Irma's 2nd Florida landfall in 2017 where I was also whelmed by what I saw there.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
CronkPSU wrote:ConvergenceZone wrote:I'll be honest, I expected this to be much worse. Now of course I'm basing this on the live footage I've seen on the weather channel thus far. Perry took a decent hit, but where Cantore is in Tallahassee the trees aren't moving more than just a windy winter storm. Just a bit shocked considering this storm was 140 mph. And really haven't seen any footage that made me go "OMG" like I've seen in other storms. Perhaps it's a location thing? I don't know.
did you miss the flooding and storm surge videos? gonna be tremendous damage all along the coast
Yea, I should have been more specific, I'm just speaking of the wind only. The surge seems to have lived up to the hype unfortunately. But I was expecting horrific wind damage based on the landfall intensity. Perhaps the forward speed make it less intense.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
I can only speak for the part of Tally I'm in (near FSU campus) but we are super lucky to have dodged this one. Power is still on and damage is minimal. This was nothing like the tornado event in May. Points east were not so lucky.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
hurricane is moving well east compared to what it was forecast to go. May miss ATL altogether if these trends continue.
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Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.
Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
This is looking very good for a storm so far inland.


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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
Teban54 wrote:This is looking very good for a storm so far inland.
https://i.postimg.cc/VNTyQNpc/image.png
It looks better than it did just over 30 minutes ago too.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
Worst flooding in Tampa Bay Area in decades. Countless houses flooded that have never flooded before. Seems surge just peaked as it is slowly dropping at a buoy near me. Can’t help but think we dodged a bullet with the storm track, but this storm will be talked about for a long time for the likely unprecedented damage in modern era.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
The unmanned drone released inside of Helene may have recorded 135mph and 946mb, was decreasing through landfall.
https://x.com/MichaelRLowry/status/1839513795661574492
https://x.com/MichaelRLowry/status/1839513795661574492
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
Teban54 wrote:This is looking very good for a storm so far inland.
https://i.postimg.cc/VNTyQNpc/image.png
That's an impressive pic!
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
ConvergenceZone wrote:I'll be honest, I expected this to be much worse. Now of course I'm basing this on the live footage I've seen on the weather channel thus far. Perry took a decent hit, but where Cantore is in Tallahassee the trees aren't moving more than just a windy winter storm. Just a bit shocked considering this storm was 140 mph. And really haven't seen any footage that made me go "OMG" like I've seen in other storms. Perhaps it's a location thing? I don't know.
Eyewall footage from Timmer South of Perry
https://x.com/ReedTimmerUSA/status/1839534347285615101
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
Just watched power flashes over near Beaufort from across the bay on a warned storm 

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Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!
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This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: HELENE - Hurricane - Discussion
fllawyer wrote:Worst flooding in Tampa Bay Area in decades. Countless houses flooded that have never flooded before. Seems surge just peaked as it is slowly dropping at a buoy near me. Can’t help but think we dodged a bullet with the storm track, but this storm will be talked about for a long time for the likely unprecedented damage in modern era.
yea the surge damage seems really bad.
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