ATL: ERNESTO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

In the eye now. Dead calm. Quick run around outside, no serious damage. Looks like the second half will be calmer.

[abajan]

Bermuda weather service is already reporting tropical storm force conditions.

Ernesto is passing to the east of Bermuda so that should drop the max winds.
Lots of rain though and power outages start occuring with even tropical storm strength winds.

Actually, the center of the eye ended up passing directly over the western side of Bermuda about 90 minutes ago.

[abajan]

In the eye now. Dead calm. Quick run around outside, no serious damage. Looks like the second half will be calmer.

Thanks for your eyewitness update. Be safe and do keep us posted!

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Bermuda weather service is already reporting tropical storm force conditions.

Ernesto is passing to the east of Bermuda so that should drop the max winds.
Lots of rain though and power outages start occuring with even tropical storm strength winds.

Actually, its eye ended up passing directly over the western side of Bermuda about 90 minutes ago.

I am central, eye was clear here too. No word from the East End them byes still sleeping

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1824733082412613645

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Wind building back now. Haven’t lost power but most of my friends have.

Power company outage map shows 24,000 outages. They have about 36,000 customers so that’s two thirds without power.

https://portal.belco.bm/app/outage/outageMap.jsp

[Nimbus]

Wind building back now. Haven’t lost power but most of my friends have.

Power company outage map shows 24,000 outages. They have about 36,000 customers so that’s two thirds without power.

https://portal.belco.bm/app/outage/outageMap.jsp

At least one of the reported wind gusts from the east was 73 knots more like mid 50's sustained.
No cat 2 winds from the south which helped.
South side of the circulation may not be quite so bad but still could see more power outages.

[Sciencerocks]

[skyline385]

Not the best appearance on IR but looking pretty good on Vis from all the dry air in its core and acquiring some subtropical characteristics.

[hipshot]

Not the best appearance on IR but looking pretty good on Vis from all the dry air in its core and acquiring some subtropical characteristics.

https://i.imgur.com/WGnYUxn.gif

I wonder how long it will take for things to calm down and we/they can get an assessment of the damage...besides the power outages.

[skyline385]

Not the best appearance on IR but looking pretty good on Vis from all the dry air in its core and acquiring some subtropical characteristics.

https://i.imgur.com/WGnYUxn.gif

I wonder how long it will take for things to calm down and we/they can get an assessment of the damage...besides the power outages.

Bermuda is built like a tank, its the Guam of the NATL so they will be fine. Last time a major hit them they had zero fatalities and power restored within a day. Their topography also protects them from storm surge which is generally the biggest threat with these large systems.

[skyline385]

Ernesto's influence spans nearly across the entire NATL

[hipshot]

Ernesto's influence spans nearly across the entire NATL

https://i.imgur.com/F8j0jhp.gif

https://i.imgur.com/WZ4xwQC.gif

From that last loop, it looks like it is coming almost full circle!

[REDHurricane]

Ernesto's influence spans nearly across the entire NATL

https://i.imgur.com/F8j0jhp.gif

https://i.imgur.com/WZ4xwQC.gif

Very cool, you can kind of see the concept of how hurricanes transfer tropical OHC energy from the surface up to the atmosphere and then radiate it poleward (analogously to the "heat engine" metaphor) in action

[WaveBreaking]

Vis-Red + Tropical Airmass RGB Sandwich Loop:

[canebeard]

With Ernesto, typical of many hurricanes north of latitude 30, there is very little convection on the south side. Even many (not all of course) hurricanes we have experienced along the north Gulf, or at Hatteras, once the eye passes, very little extreme conditions occur as the south half of the circulation passes over.

Hurricane Michelle at Nassau-Paradise Island in 2001 brought gusts to 109 mph on the front side (NE semicircle as it was moving NE), including torrential flooding rains. After the clear eye passed, the winds picked up and stayed a steady 85-90 mph for nearly an hour; BUT the sun was out the whole time. Strange for sure. Below is image of Michelle's curved front side eyewall as seen from inside the eye, with a rainbow in the eye created by the sea spray still in the air from the front side 100+ mph gusts.

[Kazmit]

With Ernesto, typical of many hurricanes north of latitude 30, there is very little convection on the south side. Even many (not all of course) hurricanes we have experienced along the north Gulf, or at Hatteras, once the eye passes, very little extreme conditions occur as the south half of the circulation passes over.

Hurricane Michelle at Nassau-Paradise Island in 2001 brought gusts to 109 mph on the front side (NE semicircle as it was moving NE), including torrential flooding rains. After the clear eye passed, the winds picked up and stayed a steady 85-90 mph for nearly an hour; BUT the sun was out the whole time. Strange for sure. Below is image of Michelle's curved front side eyewall as seen from inside the eye, with a rainbow in the eye created by the sea spray still in the air from the front side 100+ mph gusts. https://i.imgur.com/po3YQd7.png

Interesting stuff. I’m guessing when hurricanes become embedded in the westerlies it’s more difficult to produce strong easterly winds on the south side?

[Sciencerocks]

[storm_in_a_teacup]

Yeah at least in my stories when I personify them I think of this as their real goal...not destroying cities or something like that.

Ernesto's influence spans nearly across the entire NATL

https://i.imgur.com/F8j0jhp.gif

https://i.imgur.com/WZ4xwQC.gif

Very cool, you can kind of see the concept of how hurricanes transfer tropical OHC energy from the surface up to the atmosphere and then radiate it poleward (analogously to the "heat engine" metaphor) in action