Edit: This run does weaken it to 967 mb at landfall, unlike 12z which continued deepening down to 957 mb.
ATL: FRANCINE - Models
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
18z GFS has 964 mb just offshore, just like 12z...
Edit: This run does weaken it to 967 mb at landfall, unlike 12z which continued deepening down to 957 mb.
Edit: This run does weaken it to 967 mb at landfall, unlike 12z which continued deepening down to 957 mb.
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cajungal
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
MOGSY31 wrote:My house too in Acadia Parish
Lafourche parish here. Would put me on the dirty side only 3 years after Ida
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
18z Euro comes in with a 974mb landfall @ Marsh Island, LA
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Kendall -> SLO -> PBC
Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
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PTrackerLA
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
Ubuntwo wrote:18z Euro comes in with a 974mb landfall @ Marsh Island, LA
974 is typically Cat 2. So strong hit on the US. That’s basically Morgan City, Franklin, (Lydia, Patterson, Centerville, Bayou Vista as well)
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Drewsey
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
cajungal wrote:MOGSY31 wrote:My house too in Acadia Parish
Lafourche parish here. Would put me on the dirty side only 3 years after Ida
Ditto. Central Laf here. Not ready for another Ida. Folks / businesses still making repairs.
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sphelps8681
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South Texas Storms
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
Good luck Louisiana friends. I've seen enough today to think we'll likely have a hurricane making landfall there on Wednesday. Probably somewhere along the south central coast. I was a little concerned Houston could get hit again but that looks very unlikely now.
Models have definitely trended stronger today. I feel like cat 1 is most likely but definitely can't rule out a cat 2.
Models have definitely trended stronger today. I feel like cat 1 is most likely but definitely can't rule out a cat 2.
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MONTEGUT_LA
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
Drewsey wrote:cajungal wrote:MOGSY31 wrote:My house too in Acadia Parish
Lafourche parish here. Would put me on the dirty side only 3 years after Ida
Ditto. Central Laf here. Not ready for another Ida. Folks / businesses still making repairs.
If the storm comes in anywhere btw new iberia to terrebonne, lafourche will be affected. Prepare now.
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sphelps8681
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
Based on the comments thank goodness SE Tx is out of the mix. Praying for Louisiana.
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
sphelps8681 wrote:Based on the comments thank goodness SE Tx is out of the mix. Praying for Louisiana.
If you live near Beaumont you’ll probably still get some wind and a little rain outta it, but nothing crazy. For most of SETX this will be a nonevent. Will have to watch the coastal areas though for some flooding from the surge and high tides.
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
Pretty good Cameron Parish consensus there which is in my range but perhaps 40-60 miles west of what I think.
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
cajungal wrote:I think it will shift closer to Vermillion Bay.
Anywhere between there and Grand Chenier is a good bet.
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Frank P
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
18z EURO ensembles, looks like half of the members are near Vermilion Bay, but also as many members are now clustered in SELA, at least that what it looks like to me.
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MississippiWx
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
Frank P wrote:18z EURO ensembles, looks like half of the members are near Vermilion Bay, but also as many members are now clustered in SELA, at least that what it looks like to me.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/Gdw0QFc/IMG-3905-20240908-201521.jpg [/url]
https://x.com/raleighwx/status/1832955969451549017
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This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Frank P
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Re: ATL: SIX - Models
MississippiWx wrote:Frank P wrote:18z EURO ensembles, looks like half of the members are near Vermilion Bay, but also as many members are now clustered in SELA, at least that what it looks like to me.
[url]https://i.ibb.co/Gdw0QFc/IMG-3905-20240908-201521.jpg [/url]
https://x.com/raleighwx/status/1832955969451549017
Nice image of the shift west, up close view of the tracks an pressures
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