TallyTracker wrote:Clearcloudz wrote:6Z EURO ensembles are showing stronger members turning more north and weaker members into Mexico.
https://i.imgur.com/lVwlcmB.gif
The stronger options are the ones that barely hit the Yucatan while the weaker ones spend more time over land and emerge weak into the Gulf. The Yucatan took Dean from a Cat 5 to minimal Cat 1 after crossing the breadth of the peninsula. Land interaction is going to be key to Beryl’s intensity in the Gulf and ability to rebound in potentially favorable conditions after.
The key thing to watch is how close to Cozumel Beryl gets. The closer to Cozumel she is (or if she's right over it), the less land interaction she will have and the stronger ensemble members will likely win out. If she passes well south of Cozumel, then the weaker ensemble members will likely win out. This is what I am looking at over the next 36-48 hours.
