ATL: BERYL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[GCANE]

With the eye rapidly heating, ADT is going hockey stick

[Extratropical94]

https://i.imgur.com/HxBHX68.jpeg
Talking about ERi here. Beryl became a TD on 6.28 at 18z. It's only been 42h since the designation.

Sort of an update to this plot, highlighting only those storms that formed in June or earlier. This plot uses the 6-hourly data from HURDAT, not the intermediate (landfall, peak intensity, ...) data points.

[Xyls]

With the eye rapidly heating, ADT is going hockey stick

Not really surprising since she is getting an annular look almost.

[NDG]

Pressure down to 964mb per the latest AF recon vortex, wow!

URNT12 KNHC 301300
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL022024
A. 30/12:26:50Z
B. 10.51 deg N 054.10 deg W
C. 700 mb 2851 m
D. EXTRAP 964 mb
E. NA
F. CLOSED
G. C20
H. 111 kt
I. 019 deg 14 nm 12:23:00Z
J. 109 deg 110 kt
K. 021 deg 15 nm 12:22:30Z
L. 91 kt
M. 263 deg 8 nm 12:39:30Z
N. 328 deg 95 kt
O. 263 deg 8 nm 12:39:30Z
P. 18 C / 3047 m
Q. 20 C / 3050 m
R. 10 C / NA
S. 12345 / 7
T. 0.02 / 0.5 nm
U. AF300 0102A BERYL OB 13
MAX FL WIND 110 KT 021 / 15 NM 12:22:30Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
;

[Chemmers]

Unfortunately I think this season will break the record for retired name storms stay safe everyone

[Cyclenall]

Beryl is already the most beautiful June Atlantic TC I've ever seen, its not even close. The rapid symmetrization of the eye and CDO got me. Wouldn't be surprised if 130 kts or greater is achieved. Ridiculous hurricane.

[Category5Kaiju]

Best way I can describe this is, it’s like seeing a wild polar bear in Texas.

[eastcoastFL]

Best way I can describe this is, it’s like seeing a wild polar bear in Texas.

Perfect analogy. Beryl is quite a sight to see. Every time the sat imagery updates its structure is more impressive. I keep wondering if it’s august or June.

[MarioProtVI]

This is absolutely insane and it’s still not even July yet. We’re in for probably the worst season on record (think 2005+2017) with this kind of setup.

[GCANE]

Sticking a long straw into that West-Basin Amazon Juice
The lower the pressure, the deeper the straw goes.

https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/ ... anim=html5

Very surprised no convection with this feed.
All the energy is going straight into the core.
A nearly perfect thermodynamic machine.

[Cerlin]

Beryl intensifying quickly overnight is not surprising to me given the preference for strong hurricanes to see rapid intensification in the absence of incoming shortwave radiation. Still just surprised to even see a major in June of all times. Plus, it's heading for Barbados and IIRC this would be the strongest that country has seen since at least the early 80s.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Might just be a wobble, but it looks like it is gaining a little latitude

[Kazmit]

With the eye rapidly heating, ADT is going hockey stick

Not really surprising since she is getting an annular look almost.

The CDO is round and symmetrical but keep in mind a storm needs minimal banding to be annular, and it's got a huge one on its northwestern side.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Best way I can describe this is, it’s like seeing a wild polar bear in Texas.

I don't think it's quite that rare. If this were, like, February and somehow happening then yes. I think we all knew eventually this would be possible after last year's Brett and Cindy, as well as Elsa in 2021.

[Xyls]

With the eye rapidly heating, ADT is going hockey stick

Not really surprising since she is getting an annular look almost.

The CDO is round and symmetrical but keep in mind a storm needs minimal banding to be annular, and it's got a huge one on its northwestern side.

Agreed. Although I did say "almost" as I see the banding. But it's CDO is definitely very impressive. Almost Otis like even.

[OtherHD]

When was the last June major? Not Audrey...?

[Xyls]

Alma 1966.

[Weatherwatcher2018]

Might just be a wobble, but it looks like it is gaining a little latitude

Oops Barbados

[toad strangler]

Best way I can describe this is, it’s like seeing a wild polar bear in Texas.

Perfect analogy. Beryl is quite a sight to see. Every time the sat imagery updates its structure is more impressive. I keep wondering if it’s august or June.

It’s definitely eye opening to see, even with all of the preseason discussions talking about how conducive the basin was setting up to be. It’s also basically July now. Standard climatology track maps drawn up by NOAA do allow for something like this in July. The status of becoming a MAJOR is certainly more anomalous than this track on this date IMO.

[LadyBug72]

When was the last June major? Not Audrey...?

Agnes in 1972, I think?