NATL: MELISSA - Aftermath - Discussion: Josh Morgerman video of Melissa is up

[Teban54]

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/9149/u6iCRf.gif

It's amazing that Melissa's eyewall is still filled with lightning, even at this intensity. I know that it's not necessarily a robust and scientific indicator, but it could mean that Melissa is still strengthening.

[Beef Stew]

The last vortex msg had the remark
Birds in the eyewall (I think they mean in the eye itself)
I guess if you are a bird, you dont have much choice but to ride it out in the eye

I remember it happened in Milton as well.

[WaveBreaking]

[cycloneye]

Screenshot this historic list that Melissa has joined as the driest WV eye.

[hipshot]

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/9149/u6iCRf.gif

I don't remember lightning like that in an eye before, really scary.

[Hurricane2022]

 https://x.com/PettusWX/status/1982872109421568235

[hipshot]

 https://x.com/PettusWX/status/1982872109421568235

What exactly are we looking at?

[aspen]

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/9149/u6iCRf.gif

It's amazing that Melissa's eyewall is still filled with lightning, even at this intensity. I know that it's not necessarily a robust and scientific indicator, but it could mean that Melissa is still strengthening.

If this keeps up for the next several hours, perhaps recon could find a sub-900 system when it gets there. And what’s scary is that could actually happen. Seems like it just continues to undergo eyewall melds and not a full EWRC that would permanently halt its intensification.

[WaveBreaking]

 https://x.com/PettusWX/status/1982872109421568235

What exactly are we looking at?

A GOES-19 mesoscale sector that just got switched from looking at the US Northeast to Hurricane Melissa.

[Kazmit]

 https://x.com/PettusWX/status/1982872109421568235

Virginia Beach’s worst nightmare.

[rwfromkansas]

 https://x.com/PettusWX/status/1982872109421568235

What exactly are we looking at?

A GOES-19 mesoscale sector that just got switched from looking at the US Northeast to Hurricane Melissa.

Why did they move the one that was there? That seems crazy in the middle of this major event. I was on the other one and it suddenly jumped to the East Coast.

[WaveBreaking]

[kevin]

With every video coming from Jamaica & many people deciding not to evacuate to a shelter, I'm getting more afraid we're looking at a disaster in the making. The strongest hurricane to ever make landfall on the island was Gilbert at 115 kt. There is a good chance that Melissa will make landfall at 140 - 160 kt. On top of that an estimated 25+ inches of rain will fall on a large portion of the island.

[Hurricane2022]

I would like you guys to enjoy this great article by Matthew Cappucci, where he writes about his experience of being inside a violent Category 5 hurricane. It's worth reading!

"What it was like to fly into Hurricane Melissa’s eye"

[BobHarlem]

Radar Loop showing the current motion.

[WaveBreaking]

What exactly are we looking at?

A GOES-19 mesoscale sector that just got switched from looking at the US Northeast to Hurricane Melissa.

Why did they move the one that was there? That seems crazy in the middle of this major event. I was on the other one and it suddenly jumped to the East Coast.

I'm not sure tbh. Never found out how they decide where a meso sector should be. I think NOAA workers can request a meso sector to image a specific place.

[CrazyC83]

Radar Loop showing the current motion.

https://i.postimg.cc/k5jgKX9z/Jamaica-Radar-Melissa-3.gif

Nothing to suggest weakening. If anything, it's still strengthening.

[ATDoel]

With every video coming from Jamaica & many people deciding not to evacuate to a shelter, I'm getting more afraid we're looking at a disaster in the making. The strongest hurricane to ever make landfall on the island was Gilbert at 115 kt. There is a good chance that Melissa will make landfall at 140 - 160 kt. On top of that an estimated 25+ inches of rain will fall on a large portion of the island.

I hope it's because there's still a decent amount of time to get to a shelter and they likely don't have far to go. Staying in a shelter for 2 days sounds horrible. Also it isn't like the states where you can hop on the interstate and drive a couple hundred miles away from a storm, so they're pretty stuck in the local area.

[Nimbus]

The last vortex msg had the remark
Birds in the eyewall (I think they mean in the eye itself)
I guess if you are a bird, you dont have much choice but to ride it out in the eye

I sure wouldn't want to be the new guy flagging contaminated dropsonde data.
What do I do with these they look like a Russian Submarine?
Not Melissa Flag them as lost data.
What do I do with these they look like a pair of Sandhill cranes?
Not Melissa Flag them as rain.

[psyclone]

looks like a northward bump and a little more speed. this is likely the beginning of the long anticipated turn and eventual acceleration