NATL: MELISSA - Aftermath - Discussion: Josh Morgerman video of Melissa is up

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2841 Postby toad strangler » Wed Oct 29, 2025 10:36 am

MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS wrote:
syfr wrote:
galaxy401 wrote:No update yet from Josh Morgerman. Hope he's doing fine over there. Not surprising though since the whole area is in complete blackout. He went silent for days too back during Dorian.


Kind of surprising given that all one should need is a car battery and the Starlink


He usually stays off the grid for a couple of days after landfall. There is always a big clamor about it, then he reemerges.


Yep, 99.99% chance this is the standard ICyclone blackout after a storm. He's probably assisting the locals around him. Don't forget, he lived near Hollywood for many years! He was a marketing pro first before a chaser :wink:
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2842 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 10:53 am

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2843 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 10:58 am

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2844 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 11:03 am

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2845 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 11:30 am

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2846 Postby Kazmit » Wed Oct 29, 2025 11:38 am

Finally generating convection again. Cuba seemed to temporarily zombify Melissa.
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2847 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 11:42 am

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2848 Postby Teban54 » Wed Oct 29, 2025 12:00 pm

Melissa seems to be holding steady in pressure after re-emerging from Cuba. The three eye drops in the past 3 hours had: 976/14, 977/24, and 976/24.

That said, Melissa may be working on structural reorganization. The first pass (NOAA) reported no eyewall as per VDM, but the second pass, a bit more than an hour ago, reported a 40 nm eye open E-SE.

Cuba seems to have taken a bigger toll on Melissa's structure than Jamaica did, likely owing to taller mountains and worsening conditions.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2849 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 12:41 pm

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2850 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 12:47 pm

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2851 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Wed Oct 29, 2025 1:01 pm

Anyone have any pics or videos of the damage from the New Hope to Crawford area?
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2852 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 1:28 pm

Tower going up on UpShear Left.
Watching how far this rotates.
Wouldn't be surprised if this goes back to a major.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2853 Postby Travorum » Wed Oct 29, 2025 1:28 pm

FLpanhandle91 wrote:Anyone have any pics or videos of the damage from the New Hope to Crawford area?


There was this post from the minister of agriculture of Fyffes Pen/Brompton, which is inland and slightly east of Crawford:

 https://x.com/floydgreenja/status/1983549319962579455



Also just found this from the Sandals resort just west of New Hope:

 https://x.com/BradArnoldWX/status/1983558851967541365

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2854 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 1:49 pm

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2855 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 4:02 pm

Rapid increase in helicity.
Radial fingers opposing shear.
That didn't take long,

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2856 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 4:07 pm

Anticyclone keeps about the same relative position and intensity as pre-Jamacia landfall
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2857 Postby Hurricane Mike » Wed Oct 29, 2025 4:34 pm

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2858 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 4:56 pm

RMW maybe larger than what models are forecasting.
Bermuda better batten the hatches.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2859 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 29, 2025 5:00 pm

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

#2860 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Wed Oct 29, 2025 5:00 pm

GCANE wrote:RMW maybe larger than what models are forecasting.
Bermuda better batten the hatches.


This is our sixth time in the cone and third hurricane warning of the season. People are over it, and no one is preparing much.
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