WPAC: BUALOI - Post-Tropical
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dexterlabio
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
Looks to be intensifying but I don't know if it's vertically stacked.
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
Might be a tight core pinhole type storm like Parma
That tightly curved band looks scary
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
No longer forecast to be a Typhoon.
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
Could be suspect but SMAP at 09z found 10 min 72 kt winds = 1 min 77 kts
WP, 26, 202509240856, 30, SMAP, IR, , 1000N, 13180E, , 1, 72, 1, , , , 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 107, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 26, 202509240856, 30, SMAP, IR, , 1000N, 13180E, , 1, 72, 1, , , , 50, NEQ, 0, 54, 60, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 26, 202509240856, 30, SMAP, IR, , 1000N, 13180E, , 1, 72, 1, , , , 64, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 26, 202509240856, 30, SMAP, IR, , 1000N, 13180E, , 1, 72, 1, , , , 50, NEQ, 0, 54, 60, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 26, 202509240856, 30, SMAP, IR, , 1000N, 13180E, , 1, 72, 1, , , , 64, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
Up to typhoon
T2520(Bualoi)
Issued at 2025/09/24 19:05 UTC
Analysis at 09/24 18 UTC
Grade TY
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N10°20′ (10.3°)
E130°20′ (130.3°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 975 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area 85 km (45 NM)
Radius of 30-kt wind area SW390 km (210 NM)
NE330 km (180 NM)
Issued at 2025/09/24 19:05 UTC
Analysis at 09/24 18 UTC
Grade TY
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N10°20′ (10.3°)
E130°20′ (130.3°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 975 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area 85 km (45 NM)
Radius of 30-kt wind area SW390 km (210 NM)
NE330 km (180 NM)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
NE shear still affecting it
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
sheared
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
The center went under the convection again, let's see
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
If the vertical shear would just abate a little, this could really explode, but until then this will remain a tilted storm
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
There seem to be something opening at the center but could be a false one
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
Absolute Convective monster
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
JMA 18Z upgraded the CI to 5.0
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
mrbagyo wrote:https://s14.gifyu.com/images/bwHLI.png
Kinda doubt the result, the violet/purple color in that image I get a 46 mps which translate to 90kts, could be rain contaminated
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
Hayabusa wrote:JMA 18Z upgraded the CI to 5.0
Down to STS still though
T2520(Bualoi)
Issued at 2025/09/25 18:45 UTC
Analysis at 09/25 18 UTC
Grade STS
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N12°30′ (12.5°)
E125°05′ (125.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35 km/h (19 kt)
Central pressure 985 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area 55 km (30 NM)
Radius of 30-kt wind area E280 km (150 NM)
W220 km (120 NM)
Issued at 2025/09/25 18:45 UTC
Analysis at 09/25 18 UTC
Grade STS
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N12°30′ (12.5°)
E125°05′ (125.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35 km/h (19 kt)
Central pressure 985 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area 55 km (30 NM)
Radius of 30-kt wind area E280 km (150 NM)
W220 km (120 NM)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
Hayabusa wrote:mrbagyo wrote:https://s14.gifyu.com/images/bwHLI.png
Kinda doubt the result, the violet/purple color in that image I get a 46 mps which translate to 90kts, could be rain contaminated
That's actually also what i suspect. Anyhow, PAGASA upgraded Bualoi / Opong to Typhoon status just before it made landfall near San Policarpo, Eastern Samar.
https://twitter.com/gmanews/status/1971267700866339116
Interestingly, a more potent typhoon affected the same area almost exactly 120 years ago.
https://twitter.com/WXappraiser/status/1309456912119771136
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
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