NATL: IMELDA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Imelda is pumping moisture here into EC NC which we really need.
A hurricane on land we *dont* need , but this is welcomed!
A hurricane on land we *dont* need , but this is welcomed!
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I'm not a meteorologist, I'm an electronics engineer. While I can probably fix your toaster oven, you're not going to learn about storms from me!
New Mexico had no hurricanes. Then I moved to NC right before Fran.....
New Mexico had no hurricanes. Then I moved to NC right before Fran.....
- eastcoastFL
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
It poured here all morning and then it was sunny and breezy all afternoon. My entire ride from Stuart to Juno was soaked. But it seems like she has become more organized and now the storms are no longer reaching out coast.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- cheezyWXguy
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Imelda’s made a few attempts, albeit unsuccessfully, to establish an inner core today. I think we’ll see that change with dmax tonight. Seems like a good bet to me given the steady pressure drops observed by recon and the development of stronger banding over the last couple of hours.
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Hurricane Mike
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Video on Imelda
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFDjfptKcgo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFDjfptKcgo
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Looks like Imelda is already a hurricane based on recon. 
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Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019, Imelda 2025
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- cheezyWXguy
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Kazmit wrote:Looks like Imelda is already a hurricane based on recon.
That windfield is bizarre and that has to be one of the loosest pressure gradients I’ve seen on recon in a strengthening system. Gonna need some strong convection over the center tonight to tighten things up.
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- cycloneye
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
No hurricane yet.
AL, 09, 2025093000, , BEST, 0, 281N, 773W, 55, 985, TS
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Sciencerocks
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
cheezyWXguy wrote:Kazmit wrote:Looks like Imelda is already a hurricane based on recon.
That windfield is bizarre and that has to be one of the loosest pressure gradients I’ve seen on recon in a strengthening system. Gonna need some strong convection over the center tonight to tighten things up.
It's definitely a wacky structure based on recon data, a 987mb and deepening system with no established core, a very broad pressure gradient, and maximum winds a degree and a half north of the center.
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
You can see the vortex tilt just comparing the FL wind minimum to the extrap MSLP minimum, there's still a northward vertical tilt:

for reference the first pass here was SW to NE, the second NW to SE.

for reference the first pass here was SW to NE, the second NW to SE.
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emeraldislenc
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
This storm looks very weak and I don't see it making it to
A hurricane anytime soon!
A hurricane anytime soon!
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Interesting to see the 0z GFS, rather than spinning the systems around one another, looks more like a solution where the two systems become closer in appearance to one elongated system over the next 72 hours


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- WaveBreaking
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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I am NOT a professional meteorologist, so take all of my posts with a grain of salt. My opinions are mine and mine alone.
Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
To suggest that T.S. Imelda looks like crap, would be an insult to crap worldwide
Imelda, prepare to be assimilated
Imelda, prepare to be assimilated
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Andy D
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
(For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.)
- KirbyDude25
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
zhukm29 wrote:What happened…
https://i.ibb.co/mrn5dcmy/IMG-1662.png
And it's not only near hurricane status with a pressure in the low-mid 980s, it's somehow deepening. This storm doesn't make any sense
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New Jersey, Rutgers '27
Irene 2011 | Sandy 2012 | Fay 2020 | Isaias 2020 | Ida 2021
Irene 2011 | Sandy 2012 | Fay 2020 | Isaias 2020 | Ida 2021
Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Looks like it's strongly affected by interaction with Humberto (and of course vice versa). However, as recon has showed the core remains intact and is still deepening so it might only be an appearance issue. A new blob of convection has popped up since the last hour. I wouldn't be surprised if in ~12 hours people will have a similar shocked reaction as now, but then because of how good Imelda suddenly looks. Humberto looks done for though, Imelda defeated the giant.


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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Well, it’s looking better than it did last night, but still quite subtropical. This is gonna be a very weird storm, I don’t know what to expect.
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Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019, Imelda 2025
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
zhukm29 wrote:What happened…
https://i.ibb.co/mrn5dcmy/IMG-1662.png
Hurricane models predicted a similar structure on its way to the Carolinas. If those hold up, it should start looking a lot better as it turns away and perhaps makes a run at MH status (very similar to Humberto ‘19).
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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