NATL: IMELDA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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syfr
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#481 Postby syfr » Mon Sep 29, 2025 4:37 pm

Imelda is pumping moisture here into EC NC which we really need.

A hurricane on land we *dont* need , but this is welcomed!
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#482 Postby eastcoastFL » Mon Sep 29, 2025 4:40 pm

It poured here all morning and then it was sunny and breezy all afternoon. My entire ride from Stuart to Juno was soaked. But it seems like she has become more organized and now the storms are no longer reaching out coast.
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#483 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Sep 29, 2025 4:45 pm

Imelda’s made a few attempts, albeit unsuccessfully, to establish an inner core today. I think we’ll see that change with dmax tonight. Seems like a good bet to me given the steady pressure drops observed by recon and the development of stronger banding over the last couple of hours.
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#484 Postby Hurricane Mike » Mon Sep 29, 2025 4:55 pm

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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#485 Postby Kazmit » Mon Sep 29, 2025 7:29 pm

Looks like Imelda is already a hurricane based on recon. :roll:
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#486 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Sep 29, 2025 7:48 pm

Kazmit wrote:Looks like Imelda is already a hurricane based on recon. :roll:

That windfield is bizarre and that has to be one of the loosest pressure gradients I’ve seen on recon in a strengthening system. Gonna need some strong convection over the center tonight to tighten things up.
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#487 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 29, 2025 7:50 pm

No hurricane yet.

AL, 09, 2025093000, , BEST, 0, 281N, 773W, 55, 985, TS
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#488 Postby Sciencerocks » Mon Sep 29, 2025 7:57 pm

Image
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#489 Postby Travorum » Mon Sep 29, 2025 8:20 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:
Kazmit wrote:Looks like Imelda is already a hurricane based on recon. :roll:

That windfield is bizarre and that has to be one of the loosest pressure gradients I’ve seen on recon in a strengthening system. Gonna need some strong convection over the center tonight to tighten things up.


It's definitely a wacky structure based on recon data, a 987mb and deepening system with no established core, a very broad pressure gradient, and maximum winds a degree and a half north of the center.
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#490 Postby Travorum » Mon Sep 29, 2025 8:37 pm

You can see the vortex tilt just comparing the FL wind minimum to the extrap MSLP minimum, there's still a northward vertical tilt:

Image

for reference the first pass here was SW to NE, the second NW to SE.
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#491 Postby emeraldislenc » Mon Sep 29, 2025 9:55 pm

This storm looks very weak and I don't see it making it to
A hurricane anytime soon!
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#492 Postby Teban54 » Mon Sep 29, 2025 10:55 pm

???

Image
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#493 Postby mitchell » Mon Sep 29, 2025 11:16 pm

Interesting to see the 0z GFS, rather than spinning the systems around one another, looks more like a solution where the two systems become closer in appearance to one elongated system over the next 72 hours

Image
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#494 Postby WaveBreaking » Mon Sep 29, 2025 11:27 pm



Hurricane Sandy from Temu
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#495 Postby chaser1 » Tue Sep 30, 2025 12:42 am

To suggest that T.S. Imelda looks like crap, would be an insult to crap worldwide :P
Imelda, prepare to be assimilated
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#496 Postby zhukm29 » Tue Sep 30, 2025 1:29 am

What happened…
Image
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#497 Postby KirbyDude25 » Tue Sep 30, 2025 1:49 am

zhukm29 wrote:What happened…
https://i.ibb.co/mrn5dcmy/IMG-1662.png

And it's not only near hurricane status with a pressure in the low-mid 980s, it's somehow deepening. This storm doesn't make any sense
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#498 Postby kevin » Tue Sep 30, 2025 2:14 am

Looks like it's strongly affected by interaction with Humberto (and of course vice versa). However, as recon has showed the core remains intact and is still deepening so it might only be an appearance issue. A new blob of convection has popped up since the last hour. I wouldn't be surprised if in ~12 hours people will have a similar shocked reaction as now, but then because of how good Imelda suddenly looks. Humberto looks done for though, Imelda defeated the giant.

Image
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#499 Postby Kazmit » Tue Sep 30, 2025 6:15 am

Well, it’s looking better than it did last night, but still quite subtropical. This is gonna be a very weird storm, I don’t know what to expect.
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Re: NATL: IMELDA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#500 Postby aspen » Tue Sep 30, 2025 6:55 am

zhukm29 wrote:What happened…
https://i.ibb.co/mrn5dcmy/IMG-1662.png

Hurricane models predicted a similar structure on its way to the Carolinas. If those hold up, it should start looking a lot better as it turns away and perhaps makes a run at MH status (very similar to Humberto ‘19).
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