WPAC: BUALOI - Post-Tropical
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
Looks like the center is near Masbate (98543), 21z synop recorded 986mb mslp
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
Hayabusa wrote:Looks like the center is near Masbate (98543), 21z synop recorded 986mb mslp
Shell Masbate Depot AWS (Davis Vantage) registered a minimum pressure of 982.9 hPa at 5:12 AM PST (2112 UTC)
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
The capital got spared from the worst because of a much southern track of Bualoi, a win for the GFS forecast track...
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
Hayabusa wrote:The capital got spared from the worst because of a much southern track of Bualoi, a win for the GFS forecast track...
Pretty gusty in Alabang. Had pretty heavy rains in the morning. Expected worse, but our southern neighbors in Mindoro, Samar, Masbate didn't fare as well
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
Are there any reliable wind measurements from Masbate, Samar, or Romblon? The videos and reports I've seen have been quite bad --- and my amateur eye says this wasn't a TS at all
SAR also indicates a far stronger storm than what any agencies have depicted
https://x.com/joshuacagar/status/1971589109224489104
SAR also indicates a far stronger storm than what any agencies have depicted
https://x.com/joshuacagar/status/1971589109224489104
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Severe Tropical Storm
OSPO's subjective Dvorak fix for Bualoi @1730z was a T5.0 (up from T4.5) though objective numbers remain lower. Possibly JTWC will designate this a typhoon for the 18z best track point?
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
Bualoi finally has a decent eye and it's quite sizeable too at approximately 55 km across
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Typhoon
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cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: BUALOI - Post-Tropical
Bye.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK
NORTHWESTWARD WHILE RAPIDLY WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS INTO LAOS AND
ULTIMATELY DISSIPATES OVER NORTHEASTERN MYANMAR BY TAU 36.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI
NORTHWESTWARD WHILE RAPIDLY WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS INTO LAOS AND
ULTIMATELY DISSIPATES OVER NORTHEASTERN MYANMAR BY TAU 36.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI
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