jinftl wrote:Ever notice how the NHC very rarely (if ever) uses language such as 'not a chance' or 'guaranteed'...they speak in terms of probability....even a weak td has the potential of becoming a cat 5....but the probability may be well under 1%....but there is still some very very limited chance...
There's a difference between what I would tell a client and what I would say in this discussion here. We're telling our clients (none of whom would be impacted) that there is only a slight chance of development but that the threat would only be to Nicaragua and Costa Rica. I think those that see this developing are being a bit "hopeful". Probably the same reason I don't see it developing, as we've disbanded our hurricane team for the holiday week. I wold have been perfectly comfortable with the season ending after Ike. And I hope we don't see another development until late next August.