Now a hurricane in the WCaribbean
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ScottNAtlanta wrote:Can anyone think of a named storm or any tropical storm (pre names) that went straight into SA? I can't and I've been looking for one.
aspen wrote:The Yucatán gets some 4th of July fireworks on the 18z GFS. I’m not really buying a gap in the ridge that draws the system further north than Nicaragua/Honduras because the GFS has failed with ridging over and over again during the last month. Its intensity might be excessive. However, the wave not developing until just after passing through the Lesser Antilles is something I can believe happening.
cycloneye wrote:Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jun 23 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic continues
to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This activity has
become a bit more concentrated this evening, and environmental
conditions appear conducive for additional development over the next
few days. A tropical depression could form by early next week as
this system moves westward at around 15 mph over the tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
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