ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[xironman]

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/901200087761682432

he is going to have to move to the north .. he wont make it into the eye where he is at..


I take that back.. had the wrong location.

With the recent left turn he is going to be close in Rockport

http://i.imgur.com/FdaYUQ6.gif

[Kazmit]

Look at this eye!

[tolakram]

Harvey just hit a brick wall, no progress on radar

saved loop

[ROCK]

yeah I can see 5 mph...EURO had a similar scenario a few runs back. barely gets on the coast if at all before moving east into LA.

[Cunxi Huang]

newest info:
Aransas Pass at 2242z: 76 mph wind + 96 mph gust.

[Ntxw]

Eye continues to warm and has expanded considerably

[tolakram]

[CycloneGuru]

Local weatherman in Beamount just said that it wont be moving east anymore, how is he so sure?

[tarheelprogrammer]

Look at this eye!

Do not care what NHC says that is a cat 4 IMHO.

[northjaxpro]

I will say this. Harvey may make landfall, but I can say with confidence he won't get far inland at all. Harvey may stall within only 20 miles of the coast at best imo.

Harvey is probably moving northwest closer to about 5 mph now. And I do think it will get more than 20 miles inland. NHC track still looks good to me.

I respect your thoughts. I just am thinking steering will collapse a bit quicker later this evening. At this juncture, it really is a mute point as the meandering cyclone is well on its way of unfortunately bringing massive flooding of unreal proportions to South and SE TX for days to come.

[Langinbang187]

Are we done with RECON?

[La Sirena]

yeah I can see 5 mph...EURO had a similar scenario a few runs back. barely gets on the coast if at all before moving east into LA.

I remember that, too

[Ntxw]

Local weatherman in Beamount just said that it wont be moving east anymore, how is he so sure?

Some latest guidance suggest Harvey will miss the incoming trof and meander in Texas for days to a week. It's a possibility, that does not mean your area is out of the woods. Prolific rainfall is still a problem.

[JaxGator]

The eye and the general appearance of Harvey is just classic. Lots of tornado warnings along the coast up to Free Port and Galveston and Corpus Christie has been getting pounded in the last hour. Good thing NAS Corpus evcauted most of it's aircraft and non-estential personnel to Fort Worth yesterday. Hope whoever is in harms way can get out now.

[wkwally]

looking a cc radar it seems as if it is crawling

[Aric Dunn]

cant even see any motion the last 30 min.. crazy..

[davidiowx]

Is anyone else having issues with HGX radar??

[storm_in_a_teacup]

as long as the eyewall is offsure it can maintain.. upwelling is the only thing that would weaken it right now.

It is in 120 feet of water ---- will that have a noticeable upwelling effect?

At 120 feet there's no cold water to upwell in the first place.

This reminds me a lot of how in Kerry Emmanuel's book Divine Wind, he spoke of how the 1900 hurricane could have intensified just before landfall due to there only being warm water near the coast.

Of course there's no way Harvey's going to top 1900 in deaths but...it's almost like this thing is sentient and knows what it is doing. Hesitant to go onto land...I mean if I were a hurricane I'd be nervous about stepping onto land. *shudders*

[GCANE]

Basehunter Chasing is on the west quad.
Streaming early damage.

http://www.severestudios.com/

[CryHavoc]

What a monster storm. Intensifying as it hits land is worst case for wind damage.