Deep South Winter 2024-2025

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
ArcticOutbreak1989
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 29
Age: 49
Joined: Thu Jan 11, 2024 9:28 pm
Location: South Ms

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#161 Postby ArcticOutbreak1989 » Thu Jan 16, 2025 6:59 pm

For whatever reason, maybe it’s -removed- but I’m feeling a major event is about to go down for many.
1 likes   

3090
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 548
Age: 65
Joined: Fri Aug 19, 2011 4:01 pm

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#162 Postby 3090 » Thu Jan 16, 2025 7:48 pm

ArcticOutbreak1989 wrote:For whatever reason, maybe it’s -removed- but I’m feeling a major event is about to go down for many.

Safe bet if it is as widespread and as heavy as being indicated it will be a bench mark historical weather event for a century or MORE!
0 likes   

hurricanehunter69
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 342
Joined: Sun May 16, 2010 5:21 pm
Location: New Orleans

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#163 Postby hurricanehunter69 » Thu Jan 16, 2025 7:53 pm

Okay, I'm calling it! It's forecast time for the girlfriends kids, co-workers, and family. Man, if this one busts out, it'll be way worse than the big gulp getting thrown at Nicholas Cage!
1 likes   

User avatar
ArcticOutbreak1989
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 29
Age: 49
Joined: Thu Jan 11, 2024 9:28 pm
Location: South Ms

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#164 Postby ArcticOutbreak1989 » Thu Jan 16, 2025 8:05 pm

3090 wrote:
ArcticOutbreak1989 wrote:For whatever reason, maybe it’s -removed- but I’m feeling a major event is about to go down for many.

Safe bet if it is as widespread and as heavy as being indicated it will be a bench mark historical weather event for a century or MORE!

I also have a feeling the precipitation shield moves further north as we get closer to the event. I’m not a meteorologist and won’t pretend to be, just a Winter Weather fan but keeping up with winter weather forecast in the south for almost 35 years, if it shows up in the 7-day, the models often lose it 5-6 days before the event then find it, as the case with this potential event. Hoping this ends up being one of those storms we look back on and say wow. I told my 15 year old son, this could be his ‘93.
0 likes   

BigB0882
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2284
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 12:08 am
Location: Baton Rouge, LA
Contact:

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#165 Postby BigB0882 » Thu Jan 16, 2025 11:18 pm

Latest GFS still looking great, especially for SETX but extending into LA. Models seem to be going away from the ice storm idea and going all snow. Would love for that to hold. We are threading the needle here so hopefully things can just stay like this. I would normally get excited but I feel like I need models to be showing this all the way to Saturday or even Sunday to feel confident.
3 likes   

User avatar
ArcticOutbreak1989
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 29
Age: 49
Joined: Thu Jan 11, 2024 9:28 pm
Location: South Ms

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#166 Postby ArcticOutbreak1989 » Thu Jan 16, 2025 11:22 pm

BigB0882 wrote:Latest GFS still looking great, especially for SETX but extending into LA. Models seem to be going away from the ice storm idea and going all snow. Would love for that to hold. We are threading the needle here so hopefully things can just stay like this. I would normally get excited but I feel like I need models to be showing this all the way to Saturday or even Sunday to feel confident.

Thanks for the update
0 likes   

BigB0882
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2284
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2003 12:08 am
Location: Baton Rouge, LA
Contact:

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#167 Postby BigB0882 » Thu Jan 16, 2025 11:22 pm

And the CMC had an epic snowstorm. Just insane.
1 likes   

Jag95
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 438
Joined: Sat Aug 15, 2009 8:43 pm
Location: Mobile, AL

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#168 Postby Jag95 » Fri Jan 17, 2025 12:03 am

BigB0882 wrote:And the CMC had an epic snowstorm. Just insane.


If the Canadian came true I'd never ask for snow again. That's nuts.

Euro=Bullseyes around Houston and Tally, both around 6-7 inches.
1 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11153
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#169 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 17, 2025 2:19 am

Great runs overnight. 4 days out now

Euro, Icon, GFS, UKmet and Canadian all have our Gulf coast snow now ImageImageImageImageImage

Sent from my motorola razr plus 2023 using Tapatalk
4 likes   
Michael

Ralph's Weather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3269
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
Location: Lindale, TX
Contact:

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#170 Postby Ralph's Weather » Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:13 am

Looking like an incredible set up for everyone across the Deep South.
Last edited by Ralph's Weather on Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
2 likes   
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11153
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#171 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:16 am

Huge HIT on 06z GFS!

6 inches along the Gulf coast!Image

Sent from my motorola razr plus 2023 using Tapatalk
2 likes   
Michael

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11153
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#172 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:52 am

Forecast is showing 3 inches for Pensacola!
Image

Sent from my motorola razr plus 2023 using Tapatalk
2 likes   
Michael

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11153
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#173 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 17, 2025 6:13 am

Ralph's Weather wrote:Looking like an incredible set up for everyone across the Deep South.


It has been so long, especially for coastal Alabama and Florida. Hopefully models are locking in!
3 likes   
Michael

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11153
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#174 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 17, 2025 6:51 am

The only issue I've seen in the past is the Gulf low trending too far north and pushing the rain line further north. Do want to see that for the coast
1 likes   
Michael

Ralph's Weather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3269
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
Location: Lindale, TX
Contact:

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#175 Postby Ralph's Weather » Fri Jan 17, 2025 6:59 am

Ivanhater wrote:The only issue I've seen in the past is the Gulf low trending too far north and pushing the rain line further north. Do want to see that for the coast

I am rooting for you down south. These do have a tendency to shift north so I worry that the I10 corridor ends up more of a mix. That shift would be great for I20 corridor that missed the last storm though. This air mass is so cold I didn't think many will have to deal with 34F rain but just hoping for snow on the coast and not icy.
1 likes   
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11153
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#176 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 17, 2025 7:01 am

Ralph's Weather wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:The only issue I've seen in the past is the Gulf low trending too far north and pushing the rain line further north. Do want to see that for the coast

I am rooting for you down south. These do have a tendency to shift north so I worry that the I10 corridor ends up more of a mix. That shift would be great for I20 corridor that missed the last storm though. This air mass is so cold I didn't think many will have to deal with 34F rain but just hoping for snow on the coast and not icy.


Yeah. I was I'm glad models trended away from ice!

Anyone have access to 06z Euro by chance?
1 likes   
Michael

Ralph's Weather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3269
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
Location: Lindale, TX
Contact:

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#177 Postby Ralph's Weather » Fri Jan 17, 2025 7:10 am

Ivanhater wrote:
Ralph's Weather wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:The only issue I've seen in the past is the Gulf low trending too far north and pushing the rain line further north. Do want to see that for the coast

I am rooting for you down south. These do have a tendency to shift north so I worry that the I10 corridor ends up more of a mix. That shift would be great for I20 corridor that missed the last storm though. This air mass is so cold I didn't think many will have to deal with 34F rain but just hoping for snow on the coast and not icy.


Yeah. I was I'm glad models trended away from ice!

Anyone have access to 06z Euro by chance?
Very similar to other models. A 6 inch band from Houston to Central LA. Widespread snow from Central Texas all the way across the south. Some ice on the coast with heavier ice for South Central Texas and North Florida.
2 likes   
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11153
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#178 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 17, 2025 7:15 am

Snagged a graphic for 06z Euro Image
1 likes   
Michael

User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9591
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Not a state-caster

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#179 Postby Steve » Fri Jan 17, 2025 9:14 am

Area forecasts are starting to embrace the possibility. Instead of 20% chance of snow showers, we have:

Lake Charles (Lake Charles NWS)
Monday Night
A 40 percent chance of snow showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tuesday
Snow showers likely, mainly before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

New Orleans (Slidell NWS)
Monday Night
A 20 percent chance of snow showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Blustery, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph.

Tuesday
Snow showers likely, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph.

Tuesday Night
A chance of snow showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Pensacola (Mobile/Pensacola NWS)
Monday Night
A slight chance of snow showers and sleet after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Tuesday Night
A chance of snow showers before midnight, then a slight chance of snow showers and freezing rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
2 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11153
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025

#180 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jan 17, 2025 9:18 am

I love to see it Steve!

Just watching closely for the dreaded North trend with the low bringing the rain line further north for the coast
2 likes   
Michael


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 83 guests