Deep South Winter 2024-2025
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- ArcticOutbreak1989
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
For whatever reason, maybe it’s -removed- but I’m feeling a major event is about to go down for many.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
ArcticOutbreak1989 wrote:For whatever reason, maybe it’s -removed- but I’m feeling a major event is about to go down for many.
Safe bet if it is as widespread and as heavy as being indicated it will be a bench mark historical weather event for a century or MORE!
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Okay, I'm calling it! It's forecast time for the girlfriends kids, co-workers, and family. Man, if this one busts out, it'll be way worse than the big gulp getting thrown at Nicholas Cage!
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- ArcticOutbreak1989
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
3090 wrote:ArcticOutbreak1989 wrote:For whatever reason, maybe it’s -removed- but I’m feeling a major event is about to go down for many.
Safe bet if it is as widespread and as heavy as being indicated it will be a bench mark historical weather event for a century or MORE!
I also have a feeling the precipitation shield moves further north as we get closer to the event. I’m not a meteorologist and won’t pretend to be, just a Winter Weather fan but keeping up with winter weather forecast in the south for almost 35 years, if it shows up in the 7-day, the models often lose it 5-6 days before the event then find it, as the case with this potential event. Hoping this ends up being one of those storms we look back on and say wow. I told my 15 year old son, this could be his ‘93.
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Latest GFS still looking great, especially for SETX but extending into LA. Models seem to be going away from the ice storm idea and going all snow. Would love for that to hold. We are threading the needle here so hopefully things can just stay like this. I would normally get excited but I feel like I need models to be showing this all the way to Saturday or even Sunday to feel confident.
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- ArcticOutbreak1989
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
BigB0882 wrote:Latest GFS still looking great, especially for SETX but extending into LA. Models seem to be going away from the ice storm idea and going all snow. Would love for that to hold. We are threading the needle here so hopefully things can just stay like this. I would normally get excited but I feel like I need models to be showing this all the way to Saturday or even Sunday to feel confident.
Thanks for the update
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
BigB0882 wrote:And the CMC had an epic snowstorm. Just insane.
If the Canadian came true I'd never ask for snow again. That's nuts.
Euro=Bullseyes around Houston and Tally, both around 6-7 inches.
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Great runs overnight. 4 days out now
Euro, Icon, GFS, UKmet and Canadian all have our Gulf coast snow now




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Euro, Icon, GFS, UKmet and Canadian all have our Gulf coast snow now





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Michael
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Looking like an incredible set up for everyone across the Deep South.
Last edited by Ralph's Weather on Fri Jan 17, 2025 5:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Huge HIT on 06z GFS!
6 inches along the Gulf coast!
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6 inches along the Gulf coast!

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Michael
- Ivanhater
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Forecast is showing 3 inches for Pensacola!

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Michael
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Ralph's Weather wrote:Looking like an incredible set up for everyone across the Deep South.
It has been so long, especially for coastal Alabama and Florida. Hopefully models are locking in!
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Michael
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
The only issue I've seen in the past is the Gulf low trending too far north and pushing the rain line further north. Do want to see that for the coast
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Michael
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Ivanhater wrote:The only issue I've seen in the past is the Gulf low trending too far north and pushing the rain line further north. Do want to see that for the coast
I am rooting for you down south. These do have a tendency to shift north so I worry that the I10 corridor ends up more of a mix. That shift would be great for I20 corridor that missed the last storm though. This air mass is so cold I didn't think many will have to deal with 34F rain but just hoping for snow on the coast and not icy.
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Ralph's Weather wrote:Ivanhater wrote:The only issue I've seen in the past is the Gulf low trending too far north and pushing the rain line further north. Do want to see that for the coast
I am rooting for you down south. These do have a tendency to shift north so I worry that the I10 corridor ends up more of a mix. That shift would be great for I20 corridor that missed the last storm though. This air mass is so cold I didn't think many will have to deal with 34F rain but just hoping for snow on the coast and not icy.
Yeah. I was I'm glad models trended away from ice!
Anyone have access to 06z Euro by chance?
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Michael
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Very similar to other models. A 6 inch band from Houston to Central LA. Widespread snow from Central Texas all the way across the south. Some ice on the coast with heavier ice for South Central Texas and North Florida.Ivanhater wrote:Ralph's Weather wrote:Ivanhater wrote:The only issue I've seen in the past is the Gulf low trending too far north and pushing the rain line further north. Do want to see that for the coast
I am rooting for you down south. These do have a tendency to shift north so I worry that the I10 corridor ends up more of a mix. That shift would be great for I20 corridor that missed the last storm though. This air mass is so cold I didn't think many will have to deal with 34F rain but just hoping for snow on the coast and not icy.
Yeah. I was I'm glad models trended away from ice!
Anyone have access to 06z Euro by chance?
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
Area forecasts are starting to embrace the possibility. Instead of 20% chance of snow showers, we have:
Lake Charles (Lake Charles NWS)
Monday Night
A 40 percent chance of snow showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Tuesday
Snow showers likely, mainly before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
New Orleans (Slidell NWS)
Monday Night
A 20 percent chance of snow showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Blustery, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph.
Tuesday
Snow showers likely, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph.
Tuesday Night
A chance of snow showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Pensacola (Mobile/Pensacola NWS)
Monday Night
A slight chance of snow showers and sleet after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday Night
A chance of snow showers before midnight, then a slight chance of snow showers and freezing rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Lake Charles (Lake Charles NWS)
Monday Night
A 40 percent chance of snow showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Tuesday
Snow showers likely, mainly before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
New Orleans (Slidell NWS)
Monday Night
A 20 percent chance of snow showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Blustery, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph.
Tuesday
Snow showers likely, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph.
Tuesday Night
A chance of snow showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Pensacola (Mobile/Pensacola NWS)
Monday Night
A slight chance of snow showers and sleet after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday Night
A chance of snow showers before midnight, then a slight chance of snow showers and freezing rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Deep South Winter 2024-2025
I love to see it Steve!
Just watching closely for the dreaded North trend with the low bringing the rain line further north for the coast
Just watching closely for the dreaded North trend with the low bringing the rain line further north for the coast
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Michael
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