Texas Winter 2022-2023
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9296
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1607393610022154241
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1607394567262806019
https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1607394567262806019
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The amount of derogative comments this guy gets on Twitter is crazy!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Itryatgolf wrote:Ntxw wrote:orangeblood wrote:Happy Holidays….how about a Wave-1, 6 sigma Strat Warm event to start off the New Year!![]()
This last cold snap maybe just the appetizer!!
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fk241nmWYAA4jpX?format=jpg&name=900x900
Bottom up then top down. We'll already be within -AO territory when it happens before it tanks. It's a milder pattern right now but it's a mild pattern because of wave-1 Aleutian low attack. Seeding the fruits of labor. Models are already hinting at EPO relaxation in the long range.
Ntxw, I think you meant epo coming back instead of relaxation but I could be incorrect.
I meant EPO relaxation from the positive levels we're in for short term. -EPO not yet will take some time down the road, you won't get one until the Aleutian low pattern retracts closer to Sea of Okhotsk.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
harp wrote:Twitter is a sewer. That’s why I’ll have no part of it.
It's getting a lot better now.
Note that the Joe B hate mostly has nothing to do with his weather forecasts.
Anyway, nice to get past the super cold for now here. This week looks fantastic for DFW.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
harp wrote:Twitter is a sewer. That’s why I’ll have no part of it.
I only have Twitter to get weather and sports info. And I barely signed up for it a couple weeks ago. I’ll never post anything on there though. Just seemed like so many people were posting stuff from Twitter on here so I just decided to make an account so I could browse through it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cpv17 wrote:
The amount of derogative comments this guy gets on Twitter is crazy!
He’s earned it.
6 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2629
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
I hope you all had a merry Christmas!
Hopefully things will cool later in January but with snow.
Hopefully things will cool later in January but with snow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
More ensembles and other guidance show jet retraction. Again you never know if the models are seeing changes too quickly but the signs continue to increase. Raised heights over the Arctic region and possible jet cut underneath. Long range CFS is another continental cold plunge type pattern into the latter half of January. Big -EPO.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Quixotic wrote:Cpv17 wrote:
The amount of derogative comments this guy gets on Twitter is crazy!
He’s earned it.
He’s that bad? I mean he still has clients though, doesn’t he? I feel like he got this cold snap right though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cpv17 wrote:Quixotic wrote:Cpv17 wrote:
The amount of derogative comments this guy gets on Twitter is crazy!
He’s earned it.
He’s that bad? I mean he still has clients though, doesn’t he? I feel like he got this cold snap right though.
Nothing to do with his weather forecasting skills (still inciteful), which are now roughly 30 percent of his twitter posts
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ntxw wrote:More ensembles and other guidance show jet retraction. Again you never know if the models are seeing changes too quickly but the signs continue to increase. Raised heights over the Arctic region and possible jet cut underneath. Long range CFS is another continental cold plunge type pattern into the latter half of January. Big -EPO.
Just looked at the 12z GEFS and 12z EPS and that Aleutian trough looks really stubborn. Doesn’t hardly budge on the ensembles.
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-
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 231
- Joined: Mon Mar 22, 2010 3:42 pm
- Location: Richardson, Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
dpep4 wrote:harp wrote:Twitter is a sewer. That’s why I’ll have no part of it.
It's getting a lot better now.
Note that the Joe B hate mostly has nothing to do with his weather forecasts.
Anyway, nice to get past the super cold for now here. This week looks fantastic for DFW.

1 likes
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cpv17 wrote:Quixotic wrote:Cpv17 wrote:
The amount of derogative comments this guy gets on Twitter is crazy!
He’s earned it.
He’s that bad? I mean he still has clients though, doesn’t he? I feel like he got this cold snap right though.
He was a good forecaster. Might still be. He rants about unrelated issues so I doubt him.
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- txtwister78
- Category 5
- Posts: 1874
- Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: San Antonio
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Quixotic wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Quixotic wrote:
He’s earned it.
He’s that bad? I mean he still has clients though, doesn’t he? I feel like he got this cold snap right though.
He was a good forecaster. Might still be. He rants about unrelated issues so I doubt him.
Speaking for myself of course but some may have noticed that offering "opinions" seems to be a thing now on social media these days for everybody (weather personalities included) as it relates to all sorts of topics

I think as it relates to his field of expertise, he still provides a service for those who enjoy weather. That's how I look at it. Free to follow or not.
Hope everyone had a great Christmas and looking forward to a healthy, prosperous and snow filled New Year!
2 likes
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9296
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:orangeblood wrote:Happy Holidays….how about a Wave-1, 6 sigma Strat Warm event to start off the New Year!![]()
This last cold snap maybe just the appetizer!!
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fk241nmWYAA4jpX?format=jpg&name=900x900
Holy moly, that would be a Massive SSW if it verified, was there a massive SSW in January 2021 before it's effects came here in February 2021? I would like to know how strong it was.
Yes there was. Around the same period as well late December to early January. Aleutian low wave 1 pattern kicked off the SSW. This is not a pseudo Aleutian low pattern, it is one. The recovery of the stratPV now just sets it up to be a major one if it occurs.
https://i.imgur.com/yRhLRFs.png
Um, I don't want to ask this, but, is this Winter 2020-2021 all over again in terms of this setup?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Holy moly, that would be a Massive SSW if it verified, was there a massive SSW in January 2021 before it's effects came here in February 2021? I would like to know how strong it was.
Yes there was. Around the same period as well late December to early January. Aleutian low wave 1 pattern kicked off the SSW. This is not a pseudo Aleutian low pattern, it is one. The recovery of the stratPV now just sets it up to be a major one if it occurs.
https://i.imgur.com/yRhLRFs.png
Um, I don't want to ask this, but, is this Winter 2020-2021 all over again in terms of this setup?
Since 1983 was brought up so much during the Feb 21 event I decided to google winter of 1985 and the first headline was a winter storm of the century lol.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 9296
- Age: 21
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Gotwood wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:
Yes there was. Around the same period as well late December to early January. Aleutian low wave 1 pattern kicked off the SSW. This is not a pseudo Aleutian low pattern, it is one. The recovery of the stratPV now just sets it up to be a major one if it occurs.
https://i.imgur.com/yRhLRFs.png
Um, I don't want to ask this, but, is this Winter 2020-2021 all over again in terms of this setup?
Since 1983 was brought up so much during the Feb 21 event I decided to google winter of 1985 and the first headline was a winter storm of the century lol.
Winter of 1985 featured this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1985_North_American_cold_wave
2 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:Gotwood wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Um, I don't want to ask this, but, is this Winter 2020-2021 all over again in terms of this setup?
Since 1983 was brought up so much during the Feb 21 event I decided to google winter of 1985 and the first headline was a winter storm of the century lol.
Winter of 1985 featured this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1985_North_American_cold_wave
History repeats its self. No offense south Texas but I hope that snow storm gets sent to north Texas instead lol.
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