Texas Winter 2010-2011

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iorange55
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3881 Postby iorange55 » Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:05 pm

Ntxw wrote:The winter that could've been! We're paying dearly for all the snow we got last year for sure. Probably another 5 years worth lol. But hey! The averages are rising now and pretty soon the sun angle will be similar to what it is in October. Not too long now before severe weather season. You can always count on those in Texas!



You and wxman have switched bodies over night!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3882 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:06 pm

iorange55 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:The winter that could've been! We're paying dearly for all the snow we got last year for sure. Probably another 5 years worth lol. But hey! The averages are rising now and pretty soon the sun angle will be similar to what it is in October. Not too long now before severe weather season. You can always count on those in Texas!



You and wxman have switched bodies over night!


Reverse psychology baby! Always works! Seriously though, today was really nice. Great outdoors weather.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3883 Postby srainhoutx » Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:12 pm

Ntxw wrote:The winter that could've been! We're paying dearly for all the snow we got last year for sure. Probably another 5 years worth lol. But hey! The averages are rising now and pretty soon the sun angle will be similar to what it is in October. Not too long now before severe weather season. You can always count on those in Texas!


It may happen sooner than you think. :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3884 Postby bevolon » Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:17 pm

I step away for 45 minutes, come back and have to check my calander to make sure I didn't fall asleep for two months, with all the talk about spring and severe weather!! :double:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3885 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:19 pm

Longer range is hinting La Nina could be taking control Middle of Feb into March. +PNA is predicted to go negative middle of the month. That 80 isotherm can be seen via Wxman57's super amplified telescope! Late run of the 18z GFS shows signs of a Gulf of Alaska vortex rearing it's head!
Last edited by Ntxw on Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3886 Postby iorange55 » Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:19 pm

bevolon wrote:I step away for 45 minutes, come back and have to check my calander to make sure I didn't fall asleep for two months, with all the talk about spring and severe weather!! :double:



Let's keep talking about it....till the 0z runs and if they're more in our favor we keep talking about them. If they still are party poopers then we'll just mope.


I'm going mad! No really the good thing about Texas is you're never really bored. Let's hope that holds true for this coming week.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3887 Postby SouthernMet » Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:24 pm

18z GFS more progressive than 12z with front 96-108 hours. Just a small trend
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3888 Postby BigB0882 » Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:27 pm

Ntxw wrote:Longer range is hinting La Nina could be taking control Middle of Feb into March. +PNA is predicted to go negative middle of the month. That 80 isotherm can be seen via Wxman57's super amplified telescope! Late run of the 18z GFS shows signs of a Gulf of Alaska vortex rearing it's head!


What does that mean? lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3889 Postby orangeblood » Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:28 pm

Since most of the model runs have been fairly depressing today, everyone on here needs to go check out todays 18Z DGEX run for late next week!!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3890 Postby txagwxman » Fri Jan 28, 2011 6:36 pm

Link to dgex?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3891 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Jan 28, 2011 7:09 pm

wxman57 wrote:My favorite model, the Tahiti model, indicates warm, sunny weather all next week, as you can see below: ;-)
http://www.destination360.com/australia ... eaches.jpg


Patience my friend. It will be coming soon. :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3892 Postby orangeblood » Fri Jan 28, 2011 7:15 pm

txagwxman wrote:Link to dgex?


Link doesn't work unless you have a subscription

It shows the energy that got cut-off over the southwest to finally move across the state late on Friday spreading snow from the Red River all the way down to Austin over to just north of Houston.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3893 Postby orangeblood » Fri Jan 28, 2011 7:18 pm

txagwxman wrote:Link to dgex?


Try this: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/18zdgex.html
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#3894 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Jan 28, 2011 8:00 pm

When does the next round of models come out? Some good news is needed on this forum! Keep the faith!
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Re:

#3895 Postby iorange55 » Fri Jan 28, 2011 8:02 pm

gpsnowman wrote:When does the next round of models come out? Some good news is needed on this forum! Keep the faith!



The mayhem will start with the NAM. Around 8:30 or so?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#3896 Postby amawea » Fri Jan 28, 2011 8:06 pm

BigB0882 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Longer range is hinting La Nina could be taking control Middle of Feb into March. +PNA is predicted to go negative middle of the month. That 80 isotherm can be seen via Wxman57's super amplified telescope! Late run of the 18z GFS shows signs of a Gulf of Alaska vortex rearing it's head!


What does that mean? lol


What he's saying is an early Spring. :sun:
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#3897 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 28, 2011 8:17 pm

NAM initializes in 30 mins or so. A lot is riding on this set of runs for a happy weekend weather wise! Either it stops the bleeding or we all go into surgery lol.
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Re:

#3898 Postby iorange55 » Fri Jan 28, 2011 8:26 pm

Ntxw wrote:NAM initializes in 30 mins or so. A lot is riding on this set of runs for a happy weekend weather wise! Either it stops the bleeding or we all go into surgery lol.



This run will decide if we need to go into the ICU and then the next set of runs would be life support.
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Re: Re:

#3899 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 28, 2011 8:33 pm

iorange55 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:NAM initializes in 30 mins or so. A lot is riding on this set of runs for a happy weekend weather wise! Either it stops the bleeding or we all go into surgery lol.



This run will decide if we need to go into the ICU and then the next set of runs would be life support.


We have a savior. Orangeblood has been onto something about late next week a few days after the big storm. Baroclinic zone will be much more south and usually it's the tail end of the arctic outbreaks that brings out a hidden storm. GFS/Euro doesn't have it now but in time I think something will spring up! That would be our life support! (Optimism)
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#3900 Postby txagwxman » Fri Jan 28, 2011 9:19 pm

You guys should be have been here during the old days...when we had the NGM/MRF and no 12z runs from the MRF.

WXMAN57 probably remembers the LFM.

Then we got the Eta model and it handled the cold air so much better than the NGM.
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