Texas Winter 2018-2019
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Gotta give props to Joe Bastardi for calling this one days ago!
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Tammie - Sherman TX
Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
It is sleeting here at the Rain Cave. First winter precipitation so far this winter.
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Resident Rain Miser
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Another round of snow/sleet/graupel here at work around 11:30. Not sticking long enough for a decent pic. I can't upload a better video that I took. Anyway. Just a few in wipers.
Icemaggaedon 2019.


Icemaggaedon 2019.


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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
So when folks say DFW, more south DFW or is the whole area looking at a potential? I'm north side of DFW so my question is concerning that area, but DFW as a whole too.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
HockeyTx82 wrote:So when folks say DFW, more south DFW or is the whole area looking at a potential? I'm north side of DFW so my question is concerning that area, but DFW as a whole too.
Currently the winter advisory only covers counties directly south of DFW and that’s where the precipitation is located as of now. However, it’s hard to accurately say where these things are going to go so potential exists for northern burbs and dfw proper still.
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Graduate Meteorology Student at the University of Oklahoma!
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- spencer817
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
As salty as I am that I probably won't see anything in DFW, I'm happy for you C TX folks, enjoy it while you can. 

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I'm going to go to school for this stuff 

Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Still going on in 78723. A little accumulation on neighbor's well insulated roofs; just a little.
(Ignore the Big Bend dust layer underneath.)

(Ignore the Big Bend dust layer underneath.)

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Looking at some of the pictures we might need to have Abbott declare a federal emergency and get FEMA deployed.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
HockeyTx82 wrote:Looking at some of the pictures we might need to have Abbott declare a federal emergency and get FEMA deployed.

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
HockeyTx82 wrote:Looking at some of the pictures we might need to have Abbott declare a federal emergency and get FEMA deployed.

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Light sleet/graupel mix in NW Harris County now
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Brent wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Looking at some of the pictures we might need to have Abbott declare a federal emergency and get FEMA deployed.
Easy with the laughter, chumlee. We got thundersleet down here. What you got?

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
stormlover2013 wrote:big joe nailed it
I don't know if I'd go that far. Didn't he call for Winter Storm Watches and all of that? This event currently is a far cry from that. Right now it's a novelty event and there is no impact on roads or bridges. To his credit he was bullish on an event which few models outside of the Euro picked up on that far out. But the magnitude so far is nothing, really, as evidenced by the photos we are sharing and the chuckling go on.

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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Last Thursday morning, I posted a graphic comparing the 00Z Jan 30th forecast from the GFS and the FV3-GFS. The forecast was for 12Z this morning (6am). FV3 was going 14 in DFW while the GFS was predicting 43. Looks like the FV3-GFS won, as it hit 23-24 in DFW. Not 14, but closer than 43. GFS was consistently too warm (sad, for me).


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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Portastorm wrote:Brent wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Looking at some of the pictures we might need to have Abbott declare a federal emergency and get FEMA deployed.
Easy with the laughter, chumlee. We got thundersleet down here. What you got?
What we always get...

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Wife said graupel in Palestine. Looks like the band is shifting north and has its sights set on Tyler now so I may start seeing some here shortly.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Cerlin wrote:Take this with a pellet of graupel, but it doesn’t look like the precip on the radar is losing any steam as it travels NE...could it maintain its structure and impact DFW eventually? Or is it very likely it’ll fade away before it reaches here.
Seems unlikely given lack of model support. However, DFW has been running 2-5F below what models had been calling for through noon and at least a portion of that is a due to a deeper cloud layer. Maybe that also points to better overall moisture return? Won't know for sure until 00z balloon.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019
Brent wrote:Portastorm wrote:Brent wrote:
Easy with the laughter, chumlee. We got thundersleet down here. What you got?
What we always get...
Listen, I went years ... decades ... centuries down here without sleet or snow. Now, we're the Graupel Capital of Texas (thanks aggiecutter). These things come around. I'm serious when I say I would be shocked if DFW went all winter without at least a minor winter weather event. It WILL happen for y'all.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
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