Texas Winter 2022-2023

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
TexasF6
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 788
Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:33 pm
Location: Austin, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5441 Postby TexasF6 » Tue Jan 31, 2023 7:55 am

Austin is a dangerous place to drive this morning. KVUE is reporting people either jumped off a bridge to avoid sliding vehicles or may have been thrown from vehicles. Don't drive if you don't have to folks! Please!!!
2 likes   

User avatar
CaptinCrunch
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8579
Age: 56
Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
Location: Lake Worth, TX (Tarrant Co.)

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5442 Postby CaptinCrunch » Tue Jan 31, 2023 7:59 am

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
228 AM CST Tue Jan 31 2023


TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311630-
/O.EXT.KFWD.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230202T1200Z/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-
Navarro-Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-
Limestone-Leon-Milam-Robertson-
Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Gainesville, Sherman,
Denison, Bonham, Paris, Graham, Olney, Jacksboro, Decatur,
Bridgeport, Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano,
McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper,
Sulphur Springs, Breckenridge, Mineral Wells, Weatherford, Briar,
Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman,
Forney, Canton, Grand Saline, Wills Point, Van, Edgewood, Emory,
East Tawakoni, Point, Cisco, Eastland, Ranger, Gorman,
Stephenville, Dublin, Granbury, Oak Trail Shores, Glen Rose,
Cleburne, Burleson, Waxahachie, Ennis, Midlothian, Athens,
Gun Barrel City, Comanche, De Leon, Goldthwaite, Hamilton, Hico,
Clifton, Meridian, Valley Mills, Hillsboro, Corsicana, Teague,
Fairfield, Wortham, Palestine, Lampasas, Copperas Cove,
Gatesville, Killeen, Temple, Fort Hood, Waco, Marlin, Mexia,
Groesbeck, Buffalo, Centerville, Jewett, Normangee, Oakwood,
Cameron, Rockdale, Hearne, Franklin, and Calvert
228 AM CST Tue Jan 31 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation, primarily in the form of freezing
rain and/or sleet is expected. Total ice or sleet
accumulations between one quarter and one half of an inch are
possible. Pockets of heavier sleet accumulation will be
possible.

* WHERE...North and Central Texas.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Significant impacts to travel will continue through at
least Wednesday night. Already hazardous road conditions will
continue and likely deteriorate as much of North and Central
Texas will remain near or below freezing through Wednesday
night.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, slow down and use extreme caution
particularly when approaching bridges and overpasses. Keep an
extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an
emergency.
1 likes   

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3334
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5443 Postby orangeblood » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:01 am

Gotwood wrote:Can confirm that despite radar signatures over here near Weatherford barely anything is reaching the ground.



That’ll change shortly, S/W approaching with plenty of moisture to work with
3 likes   

User avatar
Tammie
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 291
Joined: Thu Dec 05, 2013 7:49 am
Location: Sherman, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5444 Postby Tammie » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:02 am

Gotwood wrote:Can confirm that despite radar signatures over here near Weatherford barely anything is reaching the ground.


Same for Sherman. Radar is lit, but nothing coming down.
1 likes   
Tammie - Sherman TX

User avatar
ColdFusion
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 406
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2008 3:46 pm
Location: Addison, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5445 Postby ColdFusion » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:03 am

Image
3 likes   

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3334
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5446 Postby orangeblood » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:04 am

CaptinCrunch wrote:URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
228 AM CST Tue Jan 31 2023


TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-311630-
/O.EXT.KFWD.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-230202T1200Z/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-
Navarro-Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-
Limestone-Leon-Milam-Robertson-
Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Gainesville, Sherman,
Denison, Bonham, Paris, Graham, Olney, Jacksboro, Decatur,
Bridgeport, Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano,
McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper,
Sulphur Springs, Breckenridge, Mineral Wells, Weatherford, Briar,
Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman,
Forney, Canton, Grand Saline, Wills Point, Van, Edgewood, Emory,
East Tawakoni, Point, Cisco, Eastland, Ranger, Gorman,
Stephenville, Dublin, Granbury, Oak Trail Shores, Glen Rose,
Cleburne, Burleson, Waxahachie, Ennis, Midlothian, Athens,
Gun Barrel City, Comanche, De Leon, Goldthwaite, Hamilton, Hico,
Clifton, Meridian, Valley Mills, Hillsboro, Corsicana, Teague,
Fairfield, Wortham, Palestine, Lampasas, Copperas Cove,
Gatesville, Killeen, Temple, Fort Hood, Waco, Marlin, Mexia,
Groesbeck, Buffalo, Centerville, Jewett, Normangee, Oakwood,
Cameron, Rockdale, Hearne, Franklin, and Calvert
228 AM CST Tue Jan 31 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation, primarily in the form of freezing
rain and/or sleet is expected. Total ice or sleet
accumulations between one quarter and one half of an inch are
possible. Pockets of heavier sleet accumulation will be
possible.

* WHERE...North and Central Texas.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Significant impacts to travel will continue through at
least Wednesday night. Already hazardous road conditions will
continue and likely deteriorate as much of North and Central
Texas will remain near or below freezing through Wednesday
night.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, slow down and use extreme caution
particularly when approaching bridges and overpasses. Keep an
extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an
emergency.


Doubling accumulations and extending time 24 hrs…I guess in the weather forecasting world, it’s not where you start but how you finish ?
2 likes   

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3334
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5447 Postby orangeblood » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:08 am

Get ready, a large portion of North Texas is about to become encased in ice over the next several hours. Hopefully, all of you got your grocery shopping done!
2 likes   

Gotwood
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 354
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2022 7:18 pm
Location: Brock Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5448 Postby Gotwood » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:10 am

Can now confirm the worst possible news it is raining at 24 degrees.
2 likes   

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21523
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5449 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:10 am

Things are lighting up south/southwest of DFW. Lightning strikes around Stephenville. Moisture stretch across the state back to MX border.
2 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3334
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5450 Postby orangeblood » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:15 am

Gotwood wrote:Can now confirm the worst possible news it is raining at 24 degrees.


800-850mb level still quite warm (7-8 C) but hopefully will begin to cool the column enough to turn over to sleet
1 likes   

Gotwood
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 354
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2022 7:18 pm
Location: Brock Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5451 Postby Gotwood » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:16 am

orangeblood wrote:
Gotwood wrote:Can now confirm the worst possible news it is raining at 24 degrees.


800-850mb level still quite warm (7-8 C) but hopefully will begin to cool the column enough to turn over to sleet

Yeah I was not expecting rain lol praying it turns soon or stuff is really going to get bad.
0 likes   

losf1981
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 96
Joined: Fri Dec 15, 2017 2:09 pm
Location: Wichita Falls, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5452 Postby losf1981 » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:16 am

anybody have any insight on the wichita falls area. Just got a small band of freezing rain. My weather app doesnt like our chances today or tomorrow for much of anything.
0 likes   

WacoWx
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 595
Joined: Mon Dec 28, 2009 4:14 pm
Location: NOT Waco, TX ----> Dallas, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5453 Postby WacoWx » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:19 am

Lightning all the way back to Brownwood, also. It’s really picking up on radar. Looks to be a precip train forming, heading for the metroplex
2 likes   

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3334
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5454 Postby orangeblood » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:21 am

losf1981 wrote:anybody have any insight on the wichita falls area. Just got a small band of freezing rain. My weather app doesnt like our chances today or tomorrow for much of anything.


Should stay in the clear until the main ULL reaches the state tomorrow…conditions should start deteriorating in your area starting around noon Wednesday
1 likes   

serenata09
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 166
Joined: Fri Jan 18, 2008 7:55 pm
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5455 Postby serenata09 » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:26 am

Heavy sleet just passed through West Dallas. Looks like another is about to pass through.
1 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9787
Age: 61
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: South Austin, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5456 Postby Portastorm » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:27 am

Portastorm wrote:
bohai wrote:Here in Texas Hill Country, Comfort to be exact, between Kerrville and Boerne, about 50 mi NW of San Antonio. 1970 ft elevation. Temp hit 30 briefly today after dipping below freezing around 730 AM. Hovered around 29 most of the day and now at 28. Branches are starting to have ice on them but not heavy, mainly from freezing fog. Roads are fairly clear at this point. NWS Aus?SAT indicate anywhere from 0.25" to 0.75" ice accumulation. That would definitely bring down some branches and probably impair power. Our subdivision is on well water and if we lose power, we lose water. Tub is full. We have a 400 ft elevation gain from wells to homes. Wish they had backup generators onsite but they do not. Could be a long two days but at least not as bad as Feb two years ago when the temp got to 2.8F.


Be safe out there! In our part of the start we expect the heaviest precip to occur tomorrow night into Wednesday. If y’all remain at that 28-29 mark, it’s going to be rough out there.

Here in the Austin area, I’m still not convinced this is going to be a bad event for us. In the outlying areas of the county … yes, definitely. But for most of the county we have been holding today around 32-33 degrees. I’ve seen these events so many times over the years and usually when we hit the floor on temps, they don’t budge much further. To really see an ice impact, you’ve got to be in the 30 degree and below range.

Most of the short range models keep us here and even the 18z NAM warms us up a degree or two. The WRF-ARW and RGEM are the only models I’ve seen which drop our temps a few degrees over the next 48 hours.


UPDATE … well, unfortunately, temperatures here did fall into the upper 20s and this morning every elevated roadway of bridge is ice glazed. We’ve already had a traffic fatality and tons of accidents across the area. And this event in terms of QPF is just getting started! :eek:
2 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.

Gotwood
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 354
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2022 7:18 pm
Location: Brock Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5457 Postby Gotwood » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:31 am

Thunder sleet now in progress.
1 likes   

User avatar
gboudx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4047
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:39 pm
Location: Rockwall, Tx but from Harvey, La

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5458 Postby gboudx » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:33 am

Gotwood wrote:Thunder sleet now in progress.

Where are you located? Your location isn’t showing.
0 likes   

User avatar
txtwister78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1061
Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
Location: San Antonio

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5459 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:34 am

Patches of freezing rain falling north of highway 90 this morning. All major school districts now closed. A few degrees colder. Things will deteriorate tonight into Wednesday morning per latest HRRR.

Image
Last edited by txtwister78 on Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:35 am, edited 2 times in total.
1 likes   

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3334
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5460 Postby orangeblood » Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:34 am

Portastorm wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
bohai wrote:Here in Texas Hill Country, Comfort to be exact, between Kerrville and Boerne, about 50 mi NW of San Antonio. 1970 ft elevation. Temp hit 30 briefly today after dipping below freezing around 730 AM. Hovered around 29 most of the day and now at 28. Branches are starting to have ice on them but not heavy, mainly from freezing fog. Roads are fairly clear at this point. NWS Aus?SAT indicate anywhere from 0.25" to 0.75" ice accumulation. That would definitely bring down some branches and probably impair power. Our subdivision is on well water and if we lose power, we lose water. Tub is full. We have a 400 ft elevation gain from wells to homes. Wish they had backup generators onsite but they do not. Could be a long two days but at least not as bad as Feb two years ago when the temp got to 2.8F.


Be safe out there! In our part of the start we expect the heaviest precip to occur tomorrow night into Wednesday. If y’all remain at that 28-29 mark, it’s going to be rough out there.

Here in the Austin area, I’m still not convinced this is going to be a bad event for us. In the outlying areas of the county … yes, definitely. But for most of the county we have been holding today around 32-33 degrees. I’ve seen these events so many times over the years and usually when we hit the floor on temps, they don’t budge much further. To really see an ice impact, you’ve got to be in the 30 degree and below range.

Most of the short range models keep us here and even the 18z NAM warms us up a degree or two. The WRF-ARW and RGEM are the only models I’ve seen which drop our temps a few degrees over the next 48 hours.


UPDATE … well, unfortunately, temperatures here did fall into the upper 20s and this morning every elevated roadway of bridge is ice glazed. We’ve already had a traffic fatality and tons of accidents across the area. And this event in terms of QPF is just getting started! :eek:


This airmass is the real deal and King Canadian model had this from the start. Very unique set of circumstances parked this Siberian HP right over our state…

Image
Last edited by orangeblood on Tue Jan 31, 2023 8:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
4 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests