Texas Winter 2021-2022

Winter Weather Discussion

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Yukon Cornelius
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5461 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Sun Feb 06, 2022 3:19 pm

Granted it’s a 10 day forecast and accuracy is probably not perfect. However, it doesn’t look good for any type of cold or even cool temps. Hopefully that can and will change. It’s way too early for spring.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5462 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Feb 06, 2022 7:30 pm

With the expected warm up over the next 10 days maybe we can score a snowstorm between Feb 18 to early March. After that we can go into full spring mode. Winter has flown by.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5463 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 07, 2022 8:54 am

What's all this garbage I've been reading about me loving cold weather? I don't want to ever see ANY temperature below 80F. :firedevil:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5464 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon Feb 07, 2022 9:04 am

wxman57 wrote:What's all this garbage I've been reading about me loving cold weather? I don't want to ever see ANY temperature below 80F. :firedevil:


And he's back :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5465 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon Feb 07, 2022 10:31 am

Hopefully, we can get some freezes still until the end of the month. Don't want an early spring. May need to put the preemergent down next weekend.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5466 Postby funster » Mon Feb 07, 2022 2:35 pm

wxman57 wrote:What's all this garbage I've been reading about me loving cold weather? I don't want to ever see ANY temperature below 80F. :firedevil:


Even for lows? Seems evil.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5467 Postby orangeblood » Mon Feb 07, 2022 4:14 pm

Starting to become a little more intrigued by Feb 16-18th system...Euro ENS is going towards a very similar setup to last weeks system, just not as cold at this point. GEFS isn't as convinced but a few show some potential

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5468 Postby Haris » Mon Feb 07, 2022 5:18 pm

Image

This Saturday
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5469 Postby 869MB » Mon Feb 07, 2022 5:29 pm

orangeblood wrote:Starting to become a little more intrigued by Feb 16-18th system...Euro ENS is going towards a very similar setup to last weeks system, just not as cold at this point. GEFS isn't as convinced but a few show some potential

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-ensemble-avg/namer/z500_anom/1644235200/1645012800-Da3lKU7Cvco.png

https://images.weatherbell.com/meteogram/ecmwf-ensemble/KDFW/indiv_snow_24/1644235200/1644235200-thDG5zrYvQo.png


The GEFS has been hinting around at that particular setup but it has been really inconsistent the past five days.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5470 Postby Golf7270 » Mon Feb 07, 2022 6:37 pm

orangeblood wrote:Starting to become a little more intrigued by Feb 16-18th system...Euro ENS is going towards a very similar setup to last weeks system, just not as cold at this point. GEFS isn't as convinced but a few show some potential

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-ensemble-avg/namer/z500_anom/1644235200/1645012800-Da3lKU7Cvco.png

https://images.weatherbell.com/meteogram/ecmwf-ensemble/KDFW/indiv_snow_24/1644235200/1644235200-thDG5zrYvQo.png

Would we need alot of changes to get it more exciting for us? It's still 9 days out.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5471 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Feb 07, 2022 6:45 pm

Was coming to post that after the 12z Euro. This system looks to dig more but it ejects farther north and the air over the top isn't as cold. Either way, this looks like it could be a nice soaker for Texas.

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5472 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Feb 07, 2022 8:52 pm

This may not be Texas related, but Alaska has recorded a wind chill of -91°F earlier today.
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All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5473 Postby TheProfessor » Tue Feb 08, 2022 7:09 am

orangeblood wrote:Starting to become a little more intrigued by Feb 16-18th system...Euro ENS is going towards a very similar setup to last weeks system, just not as cold at this point. GEFS isn't as convinced but a few show some potential

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-ensemble-avg/namer/z500_anom/1644235200/1645012800-Da3lKU7Cvco.png

https://images.weatherbell.com/meteogram/ecmwf-ensemble/KDFW/indiv_snow_24/1644235200/1644235200-thDG5zrYvQo.png



Was going to bring up the setup has shades of last week. Need that northern wave to slow a bit. I'll take the rain over snow though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5474 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Feb 08, 2022 10:45 am

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5475 Postby wxman22 » Tue Feb 08, 2022 11:09 am

Some models are bringing back the pre valentines storm.

Image

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5476 Postby Brent » Tue Feb 08, 2022 11:38 am

That day 9 storm on the GFS is looking more interesting for something. Of course to be fair it's day 9
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5477 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Feb 08, 2022 11:46 am

Brent wrote:That day 9 storm on the GFS is looking more interesting for something. Of course to be fair it's day 9

The GFS may be developing consistency & it has trended further south compared to 6z GFS.

Edit to add: KFOR has taken note of this in the same timeframe, they do have a 30% Confidence level because of the high uncertainty between either Severe Storms or a Snowstorm for this system.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5478 Postby wxman57 » Tue Feb 08, 2022 11:51 am

YES! More cold, snow, sleet, and freezing rain possible for Texas next week! I can't wait! :thermo: :jacket:

What the hell are you talking about? This system looks much less severe and more progressive. Sure, we'll get a little cold air, but winter is on its way out now. :firedevil: :onfire:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#5479 Postby SoupBone » Tue Feb 08, 2022 12:02 pm

wxman57 wrote:YES! More cold, snow, sleet, and freezing rain possible for Texas next week! I can't wait! :thermo: :jacket:

What the hell are you talking about? This system looks much less severe and more progressive. Sure, we'll get a little cold air, but winter is on its way out now. :firedevil: :onfire:



Dear Mr. Groundhog, would you care to weigh in on a projected weather day for Feb. 20th, way down in New Orleans? Asking for a friend who is riding in a Mardi Gras parade. :lol:
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