Texas winter wx thread#4 - big changes on the way eventually

[Extremeweatherguy]

Just thought I would make a mention of today's cold front...

It is quickly approaching the Houston area at this time. It has already passed through College station and a pretty good temperature drop follows. In the last 2 hrs. College station has fallen from 71F to 57F with gusty winds and in Brenham they have gone from 72F to 54F within an hour and a half. If anything, this front seems to be carrying with it more of a punch than expected. Don't be surprised to see forecast lows dropped for tonight and highs lowered for tomorrow, and also don't be surprised to see a 10-20F temperature drop within the first two hours of it's passage.

The front should clear the Houston metro by late this afternoon or early this evening.

BTW: Within the first hour of frontal passage, most stations have been recording wind gusts to 25mph+. So don't be surprised to see a brief period of gusty winds.

[southerngale]

Blah Blah Blah...the next time I entertain the idea of getting some snow is when I see it falling from the sky!







At least that's the plan.

[Portastorm]

Blah Blah Blah...the next time I entertain the idea of getting some snow is when I see it falling from the sky!







At least that's the plan.

Ha! Lucy got YOU this time, didn't she?!

[southerngale]

Lucy? Who?

I have NO idea what you're talking about. I'm not even in this thread.

[Portastorm]

Lucy? Who?

I have NO idea what you're talking about. I'm not even in this thread.

Oh geez, I have to spell it out now ... I've always used the analogy that getting excited about snow and ice in our part of Texas is like Charlie Brown and Lucy and the whole "kicking the football" thing. You know how Lucy is always pulling the ball from ol' Charlie right before he kicks it? And how she's always assuring him that next time, she won't pull it and she always does?

I'd have used a Bon Jovi analogy but I don't have any!

[weatherrabbit_tx]

seems like she is warming up!

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

Lucy? Who?

I have NO idea what you're talking about. I'm not even in this thread.

Oh geez, I have to spell it out now ... I've always used the analogy that getting excited about snow and ice in our part of Texas is like Charlie Brown and Lucy and the whole "kicking the football" thing. You know how Lucy is always pulling the ball from ol' Charlie right before he kicks it? And how she's always assuring him that next time, she won't pull it and she always does?

I'd have used a Bon Jovi analogy but I don't have any!

How about "Living on a Prayer?"

Ol' Portastorm has missed the ball some many times he's bound to have a sore behind.

I , on the other hand, actually got to kick the ball once and boy was it a game winner!

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

Portastorm, you mentioned that Bastardi stated there would be an arctic outbreak the first to middle of January because of upper level changes. Was the reason because the ridge went up east the Caspian. When that happens, there is usually a two week lull before the arctic air hits the lower 48.

Isn't that the "Cahir's Connection" that you're talking about?

Yikes! IF that happens down the road, get ready to re do your landscape come March. Chairs Connection and McFarland patterns usually mean a cold series of shots for Texas and for the south, period.

[Brent]

LOL! I agree. Time to stick a fork in these snow chances. Sorry folks.

[southerngale]

Lucy? Who?

I have NO idea what you're talking about. I'm not even in this thread.

Oh geez, I have to spell it out now ... I've always used the analogy that getting excited about snow and ice in our part of Texas is like Charlie Brown and Lucy and the whole "kicking the football" thing. You know how Lucy is always pulling the ball from ol' Charlie right before he kicks it? And how she's always assuring him that next time, she won't pull it and she always does?

I'd have used a Bon Jovi analogy but I don't have any!

hehe...I knew exactly what you were talking about. I have even made a comment here and there to you about it. I was being sarcastic.
Feel free to bring up Bon Jovi to me anytime though!


Btw, I'm still not in this thread.

[weatherrabbit_tx]

EWG, the front may be in the cypress area by looking at obs off some local weatherstations, like weather underground

hockley area down to upper 50s now

[double D]

The 18z NAM brings down a 1040mb high and it appears the upper low may be a bit more north than the gfs is showing. It will be interesting to see if the 18z gfs shows something similar.

[Opal storm]

Lucy? Who?

I have NO idea what you're talking about. I'm not even in this thread.

Oh geez, I have to spell it out now ... I've always used the analogy that getting excited about snow and ice in our part of Texas is like Charlie Brown and Lucy and the whole "kicking the football" thing. You know how Lucy is always pulling the ball from ol' Charlie right before he kicks it? And how she's always assuring him that next time, she won't pull it and she always does?

GFS is Lucy and EWG is Charlie Brown.

[tornadolvr]

looks like you'll need to go to Colorado for a white christmas. I'm suprised there's no thread for the current blizzard out there.

[gboudx]

Appears that Accuweather White Christmas map that was scoffed at, may actually be right afterall.

[JenBayles]

FROPA under the Bear Creek Dome about 10 minutes ago with light rain and quickly dropping temps. What a wonderful change from the soup we were in an hour ago.

[Yankeegirl]

Yeah, I was at McDonalds when it came through...A little on the gusty side for the winds, but it didnt last too long... Currently sitting at 61.5....Very nice change!!

[double D]

from the San Antonio/Austin NWS:

THE 2ND UPPER LOW THIS FORECAST CYCLE IS THE WELL-ADVERTISED RAIN
(AND POTENTIAL SNOW)-MAKER...FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS WEEKEND. ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL INCREASE
RAPIDLY ON SATURDAY AFTER ANOTHER COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING AND THE LOW DEEPENS AND APPROACHES. THE 12Z MODEL
SOLUTIONS PUT A 555-562DAM 500MB LOW WEST OF DEL RIO AND SOUTH OF
THE BIG BEND SATURDAY EVENING. HIGHEST POPS THIS CYCLE WILL BE
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THAT IS WHEN SOME OF THE RAIN COULD MIX WITH
AND TURN OVER TO SNOW ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRYGIVEN 12Z NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND EXTRAPOLATION BEYOND 84H. SOME
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL WAIT FOR A COUPLE MORE
MODEL RUNS BEFORE TALKING TOO MUCH ABOUT AMOUNTS DUE TO THE
BORDER-LINE SCENARIO AND LOWER CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE.
CONFIDENCE...HOWEVER...IS HIGH THAT WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ARE ON THE WAY BEGINNING SATURDAY AND WILL HOLD-ON THROUGH AT
LEAST CHRISTMAS.

[vbhoutex]

Too wierd!! I read Jen's fropa comment, jumped over to weatherbug and as I did the winds switched from SE to NW and the temp started dropping. It was 75º 5 mins ago and it is now 66º!!! BTW, this is Galleria area at Buffalo Bayou.

[JenBayles]

Looks like the front picked up a little steam, huh vb?!

I notice NWS is calling for 53-54 degrees here in the Houston area for a low tonite. It's already in the 50's with the FROPA, so do you think that forecast low will be updated, or will the cloud cover not let temps drop much more?