Texas winter wx thread#4 - big changes on the way eventually
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Just thought I would make a mention of today's cold front...
It is quickly approaching the Houston area at this time. It has already passed through College station and a pretty good temperature drop follows. In the last 2 hrs. College station has fallen from 71F to 57F with gusty winds and in Brenham they have gone from 72F to 54F within an hour and a half. If anything, this front seems to be carrying with it more of a punch than expected. Don't be surprised to see forecast lows dropped for tonight and highs lowered for tomorrow, and also don't be surprised to see a 10-20F temperature drop within the first two hours of it's passage.
The front should clear the Houston metro by late this afternoon or early this evening.
BTW: Within the first hour of frontal passage, most stations have been recording wind gusts to 25mph+. So don't be surprised to see a brief period of gusty winds.
It is quickly approaching the Houston area at this time. It has already passed through College station and a pretty good temperature drop follows. In the last 2 hrs. College station has fallen from 71F to 57F with gusty winds and in Brenham they have gone from 72F to 54F within an hour and a half. If anything, this front seems to be carrying with it more of a punch than expected. Don't be surprised to see forecast lows dropped for tonight and highs lowered for tomorrow, and also don't be surprised to see a 10-20F temperature drop within the first two hours of it's passage.
The front should clear the Houston metro by late this afternoon or early this evening.
BTW: Within the first hour of frontal passage, most stations have been recording wind gusts to 25mph+. So don't be surprised to see a brief period of gusty winds.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Wed Dec 20, 2006 3:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- southerngale
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- Portastorm
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- southerngale
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- Portastorm
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southerngale wrote:Lucy? Who?
I have NO idea what you're talking about. I'm not even in this thread.
Oh geez, I have to spell it out now ... I've always used the analogy that getting excited about snow and ice in our part of Texas is like Charlie Brown and Lucy and the whole "kicking the football" thing. You know how Lucy is always pulling the ball from ol' Charlie right before he kicks it? And how she's always assuring him that next time, she won't pull it and she always does?
I'd have used a Bon Jovi analogy but I don't have any!

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- weatherrabbit_tx
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- cctxhurricanewatcher
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Portastorm wrote:southerngale wrote:Lucy? Who?
I have NO idea what you're talking about. I'm not even in this thread.
Oh geez, I have to spell it out now ... I've always used the analogy that getting excited about snow and ice in our part of Texas is like Charlie Brown and Lucy and the whole "kicking the football" thing. You know how Lucy is always pulling the ball from ol' Charlie right before he kicks it? And how she's always assuring him that next time, she won't pull it and she always does?
I'd have used a Bon Jovi analogy but I don't have any!
How about "Living on a Prayer?"
Ol' Portastorm has missed the ball some many times he's bound to have a sore behind.
I , on the other hand, actually got to kick the ball once and boy was it a game winner!

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- cctxhurricanewatcher
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Portastorm wrote:aggiecutter wrote:Portastorm, you mentioned that Bastardi stated there would be an arctic outbreak the first to middle of January because of upper level changes. Was the reason because the ridge went up east the Caspian. When that happens, there is usually a two week lull before the arctic air hits the lower 48.
Isn't that the "Cahir's Connection" that you're talking about?
Yikes! IF that happens down the road, get ready to re do your landscape come March. Chairs Connection and McFarland patterns usually mean a cold series of shots for Texas and for the south, period.
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- southerngale
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Portastorm wrote:southerngale wrote:Lucy? Who?
I have NO idea what you're talking about. I'm not even in this thread.
Oh geez, I have to spell it out now ... I've always used the analogy that getting excited about snow and ice in our part of Texas is like Charlie Brown and Lucy and the whole "kicking the football" thing. You know how Lucy is always pulling the ball from ol' Charlie right before he kicks it? And how she's always assuring him that next time, she won't pull it and she always does?
I'd have used a Bon Jovi analogy but I don't have any!
hehe...I knew exactly what you were talking about. I have even made a comment here and there to you about it. I was being sarcastic.

Feel free to bring up Bon Jovi to me anytime though!
Btw, I'm still not in this thread.
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- weatherrabbit_tx
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EWG, the front may be in the cypress area by looking at obs off some local weatherstations, like weather underground
hockley area down to upper 50s now
hockley area down to upper 50s now
Last edited by weatherrabbit_tx on Wed Dec 20, 2006 4:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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GFS is Lucy and EWG is Charlie Brown.Portastorm wrote:southerngale wrote:Lucy? Who?
I have NO idea what you're talking about. I'm not even in this thread.
Oh geez, I have to spell it out now ... I've always used the analogy that getting excited about snow and ice in our part of Texas is like Charlie Brown and Lucy and the whole "kicking the football" thing. You know how Lucy is always pulling the ball from ol' Charlie right before he kicks it? And how she's always assuring him that next time, she won't pull it and she always does?

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- Yankeegirl
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from the San Antonio/Austin NWS:
THE 2ND UPPER LOW THIS FORECAST CYCLE IS THE WELL-ADVERTISED RAIN
(AND POTENTIAL SNOW)-MAKER...FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS WEEKEND. ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL INCREASE
RAPIDLY ON SATURDAY AFTER ANOTHER COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING AND THE LOW DEEPENS AND APPROACHES. THE 12Z MODEL
SOLUTIONS PUT A 555-562DAM 500MB LOW WEST OF DEL RIO AND SOUTH OF
THE BIG BEND SATURDAY EVENING. HIGHEST POPS THIS CYCLE WILL BE
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THAT IS WHEN SOME OF THE RAIN COULD MIX WITH
AND TURN OVER TO SNOW ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRYGIVEN 12Z NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND EXTRAPOLATION BEYOND 84H. SOME
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL WAIT FOR A COUPLE MORE
MODEL RUNS BEFORE TALKING TOO MUCH ABOUT AMOUNTS DUE TO THE
BORDER-LINE SCENARIO AND LOWER CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE.
CONFIDENCE...HOWEVER...IS HIGH THAT WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ARE ON THE WAY BEGINNING SATURDAY AND WILL HOLD-ON THROUGH AT
LEAST CHRISTMAS.
THE 2ND UPPER LOW THIS FORECAST CYCLE IS THE WELL-ADVERTISED RAIN
(AND POTENTIAL SNOW)-MAKER...FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS WEEKEND. ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL INCREASE
RAPIDLY ON SATURDAY AFTER ANOTHER COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING AND THE LOW DEEPENS AND APPROACHES. THE 12Z MODEL
SOLUTIONS PUT A 555-562DAM 500MB LOW WEST OF DEL RIO AND SOUTH OF
THE BIG BEND SATURDAY EVENING. HIGHEST POPS THIS CYCLE WILL BE
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THAT IS WHEN SOME OF THE RAIN COULD MIX WITH
AND TURN OVER TO SNOW ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRYGIVEN 12Z NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND EXTRAPOLATION BEYOND 84H. SOME
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE...BUT WILL WAIT FOR A COUPLE MORE
MODEL RUNS BEFORE TALKING TOO MUCH ABOUT AMOUNTS DUE TO THE
BORDER-LINE SCENARIO AND LOWER CONFIDENCE OF OCCURRENCE.
CONFIDENCE...HOWEVER...IS HIGH THAT WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ARE ON THE WAY BEGINNING SATURDAY AND WILL HOLD-ON THROUGH AT
LEAST CHRISTMAS.
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