NWS Houston mentions threat of winter precip

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PTrackerLA
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NWS Houston mentions threat of winter precip

#1 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Jan 17, 2004 4:33 pm

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
320 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2004

.DISCUSSION...
STORMS/CLOUDS FINALLY MOVING OFF TO THE E/NE THIS AFTN ALONG WITH
THE ASSOCIATED S/W. WHILE LOW-LEVEL WINDS HAVE TURNED TO THE W/SW
AND THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE MUCH BY WAY OF BOUNDARIES AND AD-
DITIONAL SPEED MAXS DOWNSTREAM...NOT RULING OUT POPS ENTIRELY FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE LATE AFTN/EARLY EVENING HOURS. HEATING ALONG
WITH THE INCOMING FRONT COULD PRODUCE A STORM OR TWO. WILL CONTIN-
UE WITH 20-30 POPS. CLOUDS/POPS TO RETURN (AS IF THEY EVER REALLY
LEFT!!) OVERNIGHT IN THE COLD POST-FRONTAL REGIME. WHILE THE CORE
OF THE LOW DOES APPEAR TO MOVE RIGHT ACROSS THE CWA...NOT SURE IF
THE LOWER/MID LEVELS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO SUSTAIN/PRODUCE FREE-
ZING PCPN FOR THE NRN ZONES SUNDAY NIGHT
. A FLATT-ISH UPPER RIDGE
BUILDING IN BEHIND THE APPROACHING TROF SHOULD GIVE WAY TO A MORE
SUSTAINED DRYING/CLOUD LESS ENVIRONMENT FOR THE BEGINNING PART OF
NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER THIS COMES TO AN END BY MID WEEK WITH THE WIND
UP OF THE NEXT UPPER TROF AT/AROUND THE CALIFORNIA BAJA. MID/HIGH
CLOUDS AND LOW POPS (IN ASSOCIATION WITH S/W ENERGY EJECTING FROM
THE DEEPENING SYSTEM) PROGGED FOR THE REST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
41/45

They don't seem to be too excited about the chances but hey it's something to look forward to. I would not rule out some flurries Sunday night around here.
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#2 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Jan 17, 2004 5:08 pm

Where are all the snow geese??

By the way accuweather is showing a low of 26 for me Monday night which is about 10 degrees colder than the low forecasted a few days ago. This happened with the last cold front, low temp forecasts dropped right up until the front came through. Now if we can just get some moisture thrown in here monday night we'd be ready to roll :lol:
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#3 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Jan 17, 2004 5:13 pm

We.re outside in our speedos takin' a sun bath!!! Sun is out and it is 73º!! Gotta work on that tan when ever ya get a chance ya know. :lol: That says Northern zones which is about 100 miles N of us here. We can only hope and honk and pray that the wrap around somehow makes down to Houston with enough cold in place for winter precip.
Last edited by vbhoutex on Sun Jan 18, 2004 1:32 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#4 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Jan 17, 2004 5:16 pm

I know it's the northern zones but at least they mentioned it and it'll be something to look out for. It's hard to believe that it could happen because like you said it's really warm out right now.
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#5 Postby Lindaloo » Sun Jan 18, 2004 10:40 am

They certainly did not mention the fog!! Can't see a thing.
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#6 Postby OtherHD » Sun Jan 18, 2004 12:50 pm

I am so tired of this weather. If it's not brutally cold, its muggy and cloudy. I hate it.
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#7 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Jan 18, 2004 1:26 pm

OtherHD wrote:I am so tired of this weather. If it's not brutally cold, its muggy and cloudy. I hate it.


For once you and I agree on the winter weather SN!! Opps, I mean OHD!!
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#8 Postby Guest » Sun Jan 18, 2004 1:31 pm

Well its colder here on the East side - down to 51 degrees. Very overcast. I don't think we have to worry about any frozen precip - it ain't gonna happen. As for any artic blast - I guess its a wait and see game. I hope not. My propane heater went out in the main part of the house and don't have the fund to replace it right now - over $300 to get a new one.

Patricia
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#9 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Jan 18, 2004 1:34 pm

No speedo's today!! Cloudy and 51º! Precip is in the forecast, but it'll be rain unless we have a big surprise!
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#10 Postby bfez1 » Sun Jan 18, 2004 2:06 pm

71º here right now. Is it spring???
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#11 Postby southerngale » Sun Jan 18, 2004 3:06 pm

I guess the cold front hasn't passed New Orleans yet Bonnie. It's 51° here with the windchill making it feel a little cooler.
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#12 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Jan 18, 2004 10:34 pm

Well it definitely passed here!!! The temp has dropped all day with winds around 15-25 mph and it has been COLD(in my book). Currently 42º with drizzle!!(YUCK!!)
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#13 Postby Johnny » Mon Jan 19, 2004 11:07 am

Well it didn't happen. I live up in Conroe and when the rap around moisture came through, it was 39 degrees out (conroe). Just a very very cold rain. It looks like Wednesdays potential isn't there for us here in Southeast, Texas and it might be out the window for the folks up towards Dallas. It will be a pretty chilly week for most of us and Tuesday morning will be very cold with ideal conditions for radiational cooling. This weekend and into next week look pretty nasty.
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#14 Postby Guest » Mon Jan 19, 2004 11:26 am

Johnny wrote:It will be a pretty chilly week for most of us and Tuesday morning will be very cold with ideal conditions for radiational cooling. This weekend and into next week look pretty nasty.


What do you mean it looks nasty for us Johnny? Explain please.

Thanks,
Patricia
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#15 Postby Phyde » Mon Jan 19, 2004 12:07 pm

Most long-range forecasts are calling for more rain Tue night into Wed, and over the weekend. We shall see!
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#16 Postby Guest » Mon Jan 19, 2004 1:55 pm

Hi Phyde - Welcome to storm2k. What part of Houston are you from? I'm on the east side in Houston.

Patricia aka Ticka1
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#17 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Jan 20, 2004 9:24 am

Brrrrrrr! I thought we weren't supposed to get to cooler temps until mid-week?
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#18 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Jan 20, 2004 10:41 am

It was 26 here this morning, brrrr!
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#19 Postby CaptinCrunch » Tue Jan 20, 2004 11:02 am

it was 26 here as well, however they have taken all chances of winter precip out of our forecast. Looking at highs in the mid to upper 40's today and tomorrow and a return to the 60's by early next week. :(
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