Texas Fall 2024

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Yukon Cornelius
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#121 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Thu Sep 19, 2024 5:06 pm

So much for no more 100s. 101 currently.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#122 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 19, 2024 5:11 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:So much for no more 100s. 101 currently.


Lol I think some people here are ready to fire the mets...

All I can say is this next few days better be it or I'm joining them :spam: I mean are they ever right
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#123 Postby Ntxw » Thu Sep 19, 2024 6:07 pm

Brent wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:So much for no more 100s. 101 currently.


Lol I think some people here are ready to fire the mets...

All I can say is this next few days better be it or I'm joining them :spam: I mean are they ever right


It can't get cooler if there isn't cooler air to the north. The only other source would be from rain-cooled air which we haven't received either. LaLaLand models isn't trustworthy currently.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#124 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 19, 2024 10:49 pm

Well it finally rained at least (3rd latest first rainfall in September)

And apparently there was a tornado or microburst in Pawnee

Maybe things are slowly changing
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#125 Postby snownado » Fri Sep 20, 2024 6:56 am

DFW set a record maximum low of 79*F yesterday.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#126 Postby Ntxw » Sat Sep 21, 2024 11:40 am

Hot today and tomorrow, then we cool off quite a bit from it.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#127 Postby wxman22 » Sat Sep 21, 2024 12:33 pm

Yep,it looks like a taste of Fall is coming next week, and some much needed rain.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#128 Postby Ntxw » Sat Sep 21, 2024 12:41 pm

wxman22 wrote:Yep,it looks like a taste of Fall is coming next week, and some much needed rain.


The models have shifted where an upper level trough will cutoff and absorb the gulf system. While we're likely on the drier side, because of the blocking in Canada we trap the cooler upper level feature.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#129 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 21, 2024 2:03 pm

Monday may struggle to 70 here after today is making another run at 100

Also I just saw from Colorado it's the first snow for the mountains coming up

It's in the 60s in the Oklahoma panhandle right now
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#130 Postby Ntxw » Sat Sep 21, 2024 2:33 pm

Decent front end of the 12z Euro to begin October.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#131 Postby Ntxw » Sun Sep 22, 2024 10:50 am

For DFW including today got us above normal (I really count anything ~0.5F either way as "near normal.") but it will actually be a coolish week to end the month. Quite possible we dip back below 0F anomaly average for the month of September which has been 1/3rd cool, 1/3rd hot, and possibly 1/3rd normal-to cool. So in the end roughly an average September anomaly wise.

Normal for late September is mid 80s for highs and mid 60s for lows.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#132 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 22, 2024 12:01 pm

Front just hours away here and I also noticed it appears the end of the week might be a bit cool and unsettled
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#133 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Sep 22, 2024 1:45 pm

Euro/ GFS and the CMC are all starting to show some legit cooler fall air moving out of canada with a little more ridging over alaska helping to build up a cool air pool, which eventually gets dislodged south
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#134 Postby wxman22 » Sun Sep 22, 2024 8:42 pm

I have picked up over 1" inch of rain today and it's still raining. :D
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#135 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Sep 23, 2024 5:13 am

wxman22 wrote:I have picked up over 1" inch of rain today and it's still raining. :D

Storms woke me up early and I don't care. Storms are good.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#136 Postby Brent » Mon Sep 23, 2024 11:35 am

Still in the 60s here at lunch

Goodbye summer
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#137 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Sep 23, 2024 2:00 pm

Brent wrote:Still in the 60s here at lunch

Goodbye summer


Don't Jinx it :wink:
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#138 Postby Brent » Mon Sep 23, 2024 2:26 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:
Brent wrote:Still in the 60s here at lunch

Goodbye summer


Don't Jinx it :wink:


Lol I'm still seeing signs that the remnants of Helene get over here by the weekend and by then it's October
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#139 Postby Ntxw » Mon Sep 23, 2024 2:53 pm

The current cool down is due to an upper level trough stuck over the region. This is a result of a record breaking -NAO for September.

There really isn't yet a cold air mass as the northern latitudes remains very warm. For now.
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Re: Texas Fall 2024

#140 Postby Stratton23 » Mon Sep 23, 2024 6:32 pm

18z GEFS has a decent cold front around the 1/2nd of October, hopefully we can get in a pattern in which we get a FROPA every 7-10 days or so
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