Fox news just reported

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jes
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Fox news just reported

#1 Postby jes » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:36 pm

Fox news just said that Rita is supposed to strengthen to a Cat 4 by noon tomorrow. Some national weather man also said there is just a 5% chance that Rita will hit NO or East of NO. Some of us have been wondering what the chances are that Rita's path could move East.
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#2 Postby mahmoo » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:38 pm

Cat 4 i can believe.......possible hit on NO seems a little far fetched (just my opinion).
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Re: Fox news just reported

#3 Postby txwatcher91 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:39 pm

jes wrote:Fox news just said that Rita is supposed to strengthen to a Cat 4 by noon tomorrow. Some national weather man also said there is just a 5% chance that Rita will hit NO or East of NO. Some of us have been wondering what the chances are that Rita's path could move East.


That would be horrible if it hit to the west of New Orleans as it might break the levees again and let all of the toxic water back into the city.
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#4 Postby CronkPSU » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:40 pm

5 percent is pretty much the definition of far fetched isn't it?
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Re: Fox news just reported

#5 Postby Terrell » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:41 pm

jes wrote:Fox news just said that Rita is supposed to strengthen to a Cat 4 by noon tomorrow. Some national weather man also said there is just a 5% chance that Rita will hit NO or East of NO. Some of us have been wondering what the chances are that Rita's path could move East.


I heard the same thing on CNN only they said Cat 4 by 1400 EDT tomorrow.
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#6 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:44 pm

WOW. Cat 4 so soon :eek: I think its pretty safe bet NO is not in the equation anymore with Rita.Shes a Texas devil
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#7 Postby WindRunner » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:47 pm

Now the funny thing is that the official forecast never strengthens it to a cat 4, even though it probably will later. 115kts is not a cat 4.
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#8 Postby inotherwords » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:48 pm

Oh man, here we go again. :(

To quote one of our other beloved members,

HOLY CRAP! :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#9 Postby James » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:52 pm

WindRunner wrote:Now the funny thing is that the official forecast never strengthens it to a cat 4, even though it probably will later. 115kts is not a cat 4.


115kts is the minimum threshold for CAT 4 I believe. It equates to 132mph, and the boundary for a CAT 4 is 131mph.
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#10 Postby Florida_TSR » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:52 pm

Um 115 is a CAT 4. :roll:
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#11 Postby scostorms » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:55 pm

hm
Last edited by scostorms on Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:56 pm, edited 5 times in total.
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#12 Postby txwatcher91 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:55 pm

Florida_TSR wrote:Um 115 is a CAT 4. :roll:


115KTS. Multiply 1.15 x 115 to get 132.
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#13 Postby jkt21787 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:56 pm

scostorms wrote:
Florida_TSR wrote:Um 115 is a CAT 4. :roll:


No way. Cat 4 is 131 mph to 155 mph. Duhh.

He means knots. 115 kts is 132 mph. Cat 4.
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Florida_TSR

#14 Postby Florida_TSR » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:56 pm

115 knots is 132 MPH. You must be using that JB math again! :lol:
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#15 Postby CharleySurvivor » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:56 pm

Don't forget we are talking still 4 days out! I say the next 24 hours we will know more.
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#16 Postby EDR1222 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:31 pm

Right Now SE Louisiana is not in the cone. The reliable model guidance has remained tightly clustered along the Texas Coast throughout the day. Obviously things can change and everyone should keep their guard up, but the focus is on Texas right now.
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#17 Postby soonertwister » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:34 pm

CharleySurvivor wrote:Don't forget we are talking still 4 days out! I say the next 24 hours we will know more.


It could be less than 3-1/2 days to landfall, and less than 2 days to start evacuations from some areas, due to surge ahead of the storm cutting off low-lying areas.

48 hours isn't exactly luxury time.
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#18 Postby coolwater » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:34 pm

canegrl04 wrote:WOW. Cat 4 so soon :eek: I think its pretty safe bet NO is not in the equation anymore with Rita.Shes a Texas devil


I wouldn't be so sure of that.
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#19 Postby ChaserUK » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:36 pm

I have been watching Fox since I got home from work this evening (again) and find it odd they seem very reluctant to mention Cat 5? Why is that?

Rita has a whole lot of GOM water to move over and nothing really to stop her reaching that status.
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#20 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:40 pm

All I can say is God Bless Texas...I have lots of family in Houston. I am in Baton Rouge and I feel pretty confident from the model consensus that I am ok here. I just pray for you guys in Texas... :(
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