INVEST 99L,East of Windwards

#481 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:35 pm

I need to go to bed...but I hate waking up not knowing whats going on!

Normandy · #482 Postby **Normandy** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:35 pm

^Dont mean to imply the system is weakening, just that convection isnt as intense as it was an hour ago.

Website · #483 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:35 pm

Duddy wrote:Sexy!

I'm seriously turned on...

Ummm.... ok

hurricanefloyd5 · #484 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:36 pm

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:I dont see it weakening as of yet!!!!!!!!!!

anyone have any ship reports from 99L???????

#485 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:37 pm

well the old LLC is gone folks and the new one is trying to form underneath that mass of convection well NE of the previous positioin -- that means again that a westrunner into the Western GOM likelyhood is lessening...

Notice the tendency of the blob to want to gain lattitude ever so slightly......

gosh I hope it doesn't gain too much more...

Throw out the models until the LLC finally forms.

HurricaneHunter914 · #486 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:39 pm

After looking at this system now, maybe it will last longer than tomorrow. Also, it appears that some moisture has formed just ahead of the system so maybe the dry air won't kill it yet.

#487 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:42 pm

well im sure the convection will die off some and then everyone will write this off tomorrow...but I think this has a good shot

Regit · #488 Postby **Regit** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:42 pm

Duddy wrote:Sexy!

I'm seriously turned on...

Have you considered seeing anyone about this? :lol:

hurricanefloyd5 · #489 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:43 pm

INVEST 99L,East of Windwards
[ Go to page: 1 ... 23, 24, 25 ]

this is what im seeing at my end is 25pages!!!!!!!

MiamiensisWx · #490 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:45 pm

Over the previous several hours, the stable mid-level air mass has been eroding - look here. Favorable convective parameters have increased - instability has intensified west of the system. These trends could indicate a positive sign for future development. I would monitor structural changes... the upper-air pattern is very conducive. Shear is low; there is substantial sfc convergence; and a definite sfc low could develop over the next 24 hours. Do you see a mid-level anticyclone? The persistent organization and inflow should receive attention - I think we will witness eventual development to a TD.

hurricanefloyd5 · #491 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:50 pm

well i hope it will become a TD#4 soon!!!!!!!!!

#492 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:50 pm

Just for laughs LONG range 0Z GFS brings it in the Gulf around New Orleans Aug. 11th.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_264l.gif

#493 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:51 pm

Upper air pattern looks scary for Louisiana and Texas. :eek:

hurricanefloyd5 · #494 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:54 pm

could then again become a SEUS

Kerry04 · #495 Postby **Kerry04** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:55 pm

KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Upper air pattern looks scary for Louisiana and Texas.

How is the pattern scary??

hurricanefloyd5 · #496 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:55 pm

could wehappen to see :double:

storms before AUG.1????

Normandy · #497 Postby **Normandy** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:56 pm

gatorcane wrote:well the old LLC is gone folks and the new one is trying to form underneath that mass of convection well NE of the previous positioin -- that means again that a westrunner into the Western GOM likelyhood is lessening...

Notice the tendency of the blob to want to gain lattitude ever so slightly......

gosh I hope it doesn't gain too much more...

Throw out the models until the LLC finally forms.

Surely you don't see this going north of the islands do you? And if it doesnt go north of the islands, is there going to be a trough strong enough to grab it from the carribean? U know thats pretty rare.

hurricanefloyd5 · #498 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:58 pm

anything can and dose happen from time to time!!!!!!!!!

hurricanefloyd5 · #499 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:59 pm

I hope florida gets rain from this system

Normandy · #500 Postby **Normandy** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:59 pm

^I understand that, hold your horses.

But also understand that it takes a helluva trough to grab a storm from the carribean and recurve it.

INVEST 99L,East of Windwards

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